(anonymous) 0x16e462…a5f27c Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$102
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
45.6%
Resolved
41
Trades
82
lifetime
Volume
$560
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$98
23 positions
First seen
2026-09-02
last 11-05 17:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Crypto
39% 19% -$105
Other
34% 46% -$11
Politics
19% 67% +$34
Sports
5% — —
Tech
4% 0% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? Yes +50 $25 29¢ $14 -$11 10-18 17:10
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +13 $9 97¢ $12 +$3 10-30 00:12
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +28 $5 38¢ $11 +$6 11-03 12:47
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +43 $1 21¢ $9 +$8 09-02 11:19
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +59 $1 14¢ $8 +$7 09-02 11:18
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10 $5 63¢ $7 +$2 10-20 13:59
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +30 $5 20¢ $6 +$1 11-04 17:39
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +26 $5 20¢ $5 +$0 11-04 17:54
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? Yes +6 $5 73¢ $5 $0 10-23 13:37
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +28 $5 12¢ $3 -$2 10-29 07:11
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? No +11 $5 28¢ $3 -$2 10-18 17:10
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +10 $1 29¢ $3 +$2 09-02 11:19
Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? Yes +8 $5 33¢ $3 -$2 10-23 13:42
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +200 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 10-24 23:02
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +6 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 10-20 14:00
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +45 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 11-05 17:29
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +38 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 11-04 18:05
Trump impeached and removed before 2028? Yes +5 $1 21¢ $1 +$0 11-04 06:24
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +4 $1 24¢ $1 $0 11-05 17:29
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +91 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-24 12:56
Will Club Brugge win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +250 $1 0¢ $1 $0 11-05 17:28
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +143 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-29 07:10
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $1 6¢ $1 $0 10-20 13:58