Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

+$413

Hit rate

55.4%

Resolved

Trades

154

lifetime

Volume

$54.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$352

Open exposure

$1.72K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-19 22:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Politics

92% 67% +$1,779

Other

7% 42% -$1,251

Crypto

1% 25% -$546

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+51,946	$623	2¢	$779	+$156	10-19 20:29
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+168,817	$338	0¢	$422	+$84	10-19 22:14
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+57,465	$172	1¢	$316	+$144	10-19 22:12
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+8,347	$109	2¢	$138	+$29	10-19 20:39
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+3,229	$63	2¢	$63	$0	10-19 20:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 7	22	$10.7K	22,944	0	+22,944	No	-$10,659	03-05 05:26
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	1	$5.9K	6,000	0	+6,000	No	+$114	02-08 19:12
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	34	$4.7K	4,800	0	+4,800	No	+$115	02-15 20:01
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$4.3K	22,507	0	+22,507	Yes	+$18,246	02-27 12:33
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	1	$3.7K	4,632	0	+4,632	No	+$926	01-15 01:47
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	15	$3.4K	0	3,872	-3,872	No	-$426	02-23 19:14
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$3.4K	3,460	0	+3,460	No	+$62	02-12 01:26
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$2.8K	3,829	0	+3,829	No	-$2,807	03-05 05:01
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	8	$2.8K	4,667	0	+4,667	No	-$2,804	03-05 05:07
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	1	$2.5K	2,665	0	+2,665	No	+$187	02-01 15:17
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$2.0K	11,704	0	+11,704	No	-$1,990	01-17 12:04
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$1.4K	2,364	1,153	+1,211	No	+$599	01-15 01:49
khamenei seen in public by march 2 179 218 146	4	$1.4K	1,428	0	+1,428	No	+$41	02-28 19:56
khamenei seen in public by march 3 664 585 642	2	$1.0K	1,048	0	+1,048	No	+$41	02-28 19:56
nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	5	$676	11,443	0	+11,443	No	-$676	03-03 15:39
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$623	51,946	0	+51,946	open	—	10-19 20:29
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	1	$464	2,636	0	+2,636	No	-$464	02-11 12:41
bitcoin above 68k on february 12	1	$435	1,036	0	+1,036	No	-$435	02-12 01:23
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$405	206	206	-0	Yes	+$7	03-03 16:26
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$338	168,817	0	+168,817	open	—	10-19 22:14
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$331	479	0	+479	Yes	+$148	03-05 05:04
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$172	57,465	0	+57,465	open	—	10-19 22:12
will nvda dip to 192 in march	18	$168	6,840	0	+6,840	Yes	-$168	03-01 16:18
khamenei seen in public by march 7 249 832 798 867	2	$142	145	0	+145	No	+$3	02-28 19:46
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$109	8,347	0	+8,347	open	—	10-19 20:39
bitcoin above 70k on february 12	2	$106	1,061	0	+1,061	No	-$106	02-12 01:32
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	2	$96	156	0	+156	No	+$60	01-15 01:47
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$63	3,229	0	+3,229	open	—	10-19 20:38
khamenei seen in public by march 14 884 469 913	1	$62	64	0	+64	No	+$2	02-28 19:41
khamenei seen in public by march 4 594 341 111	1	$39	40	0	+40	No	+$1	02-28 19:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 22:14:06	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	168,817	0¢	$338	0x67dd7f…
10-19 22:12:06	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	57,465	0¢	$172	0x81a355…
10-19 22:06:40	Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	Yes	BUY	186	15¢	$28	0x4acbf6…
10-19 20:39:32	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	8,347	1¢	$109	0x14a1da…
10-19 20:38:05	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	3,229	2¢	$63	0xe8dfdc…
10-19 20:29:41	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	51,946	1¢	$623	0xf1e57d…
03-05 05:26:45	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	1,252	24¢	$300	0x518d77…
03-05 05:26:09	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	617	24¢	$146	0xc53a0e…
03-05 05:24:33	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	115	20¢	$23	0x138169…
03-05 05:13:23	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	3,675	29¢	$1,060	0xb138c2…
03-05 05:08:11	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xfe2b5f…
03-05 05:08:11	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	179	39¢	$69	0xe216dd…
03-05 05:08:11	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$19	0x7ec24b…
03-05 05:08:11	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	1,711	39¢	$663	0x07715c…
03-05 05:07:29	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	121	49¢	$59	0xf8d182…
03-05 05:07:15	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	59	42¢	$24	0x24a5c5…
03-05 05:07:07	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	227	41¢	$92	0xbcb144…
03-05 05:05:23	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	72	47¢	$34	0x72bb87…
03-05 05:04:59	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	5,018	48¢	$2,409	0xde948f…
03-05 05:04:37	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x3857a5…
03-05 05:04:27	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	775	63¢	$486	0xd83fe3…
03-05 05:03:25	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x65300b…
03-05 05:03:19	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	3,136	54¢	$1,684	0xa9eb41…
03-05 05:02:53	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	195	64¢	$125	0xd9d4d7…
03-05 05:02:53	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	72	64¢	$46	0x7b11fc…
03-05 05:02:43	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	250	64¢	$160	0x0b081b…
03-05 05:02:41	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	345	53¢	$182	0x7f6af9…
03-05 05:02:41	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$7	0x4a2953…
03-05 05:02:23	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	271	75¢	$203	0xcf47cb…
03-05 05:02:19	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xd95152…
03-05 05:02:19	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	1,017	68¢	$689	0x90f161…
03-05 05:02:01	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	2,791	63¢	$1,766	0xfe1984…
03-05 05:02:01	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$13	0xe8296a…
03-05 05:01:51	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	279	71¢	$197	0x4ad7b7…
03-05 05:01:47	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	43	56¢	$24	0x2977e9…
03-05 05:01:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	3,829	73¢	$2,807	0x894063…
03-05 05:01:29	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	2,897	60¢	$1,739	0x42db05…
03-05 05:01:19	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xe48e5a…
03-05 05:01:17	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	2,585	53¢	$1,369	0xc7bcff…
03-04 15:01:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	37	14¢	$5	0xcf1a83…
03-04 15:00:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 14:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x58f6a7…
03-04 14:59:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc3243e…
03-03 16:26:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0xdfeb78…
03-03 15:39:23	nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,134	6¢	$68	0x74b1c3…
03-03 15:38:21	nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x1eb062…
03-03 15:31:35	nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xafbfe7…
03-03 15:31:29	Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	Yes	BUY	55	17¢	$9	0x4a618a…
03-03 15:31:25	nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb6ee3c…
03-03 15:31:21	nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	Yes	BUY	10,288	6¢	$606	0x5215b2…
03-01 16:52:55	will nvda reach 260 in march	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xc316c6…
03-01 16:52:31	will nvda reach 244 in march	Yes	BUY	290	4¢	$12	0x961d65…
03-01 16:52:21	will nvda reach 260 in march	Yes	BUY	95	3¢	$3	0xd85dca…
03-01 16:52:07	will nvda reach 280 in march	Yes	BUY	196	3¢	$5	0x9bee05…
03-01 16:18:55	will nvda dip to 192 in march	No	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x27d9e0…
03-01 16:18:33	will nvda dip to 192 in march	No	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x87ad0a…
03-01 15:47:05	will nvda dip to 192 in march	No	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x8cfb0f…
03-01 15:41:05	will nvda dip to 192 in march	No	BUY	339	2¢	$7	0xd1ee55…
03-01 15:30:25	will nvda dip to 192 in march	No	BUY	1,390	2¢	$31	0x7e30f2…
03-01 15:01:09	will nvda dip to 192 in march	No	BUY	85	2¢	$2	0xf5de7e…
03-01 14:37:53	will nvda dip to 192 in march	No	BUY	78	2¢	$2	0x33d63d…
03-01 14:37:41	will nvda dip to 192 in march	No	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x4410ce…
03-01 14:19:39	will nvda dip to 192 in march	No	BUY	2,022	2¢	$38	0xb2e110…
03-01 04:21:29	will nvda dip to 192 in march	No	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x877fb0…
03-01 04:00:39	will nvda dip to 192 in march	No	BUY	829	1¢	$10	0xdef5d5…
02-28 23:43:35	will nvda dip to 192 in march	No	BUY	411	3¢	$13	0x272228…
02-28 22:53:21	will nvda dip to 192 in march	No	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x3ac317…
02-28 22:29:35	will nvda dip to 192 in march	No	BUY	197	2¢	$4	0x6bf031…
02-28 21:15:37	will nvda dip to 192 in march	No	BUY	258	4¢	$11	0x7b1691…
02-28 20:45:15	will nvda dip to 192 in march	No	BUY	78	4¢	$3	0x968382…
02-28 20:18:35	will nvda dip to 192 in march	No	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0x07e65e…
02-28 20:17:43	will nvda dip to 192 in march	No	BUY	601	5¢	$32	0xe18e3e…
02-28 19:56:43	khamenei seen in public by march 2 179 218 146	No	BUY	445	96¢	$427	0x373cc3…
02-28 19:56:29	khamenei seen in public by march 3 664 585 642	No	BUY	988	96¢	$948	0xe21c72…
02-28 19:46:05	khamenei seen in public by march 7 249 832 798 867	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd9b37a…
02-28 19:45:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	137	96¢	$132	0x8bd30a…
02-28 19:45:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	69	96¢	$66	0x3cd447…
02-28 19:42:11	khamenei seen in public by march 3 664 585 642	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x2a8b94…
02-28 19:41:55	khamenei seen in public by march 14 884 469 913	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0xfff6e0…
02-28 19:41:47	khamenei seen in public by march 7 249 832 798 867	No	BUY	125	98¢	$122	0x5b5443…
02-28 19:41:11	khamenei seen in public by march 2 179 218 146	No	BUY	363	97¢	$352	0x11fc20…
02-28 19:40:05	khamenei seen in public by march 2 179 218 146	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xce8336…
02-28 19:39:59	khamenei seen in public by march 4 594 341 111	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x01067e…
02-28 19:39:11	khamenei seen in public by march 2 179 218 146	No	BUY	610	98¢	$598	0x2ca8dc…
02-27 12:33:59	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0xfdd975…
02-27 12:29:11	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0xc59cd3…
02-27 12:29:09	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xfadc7f…
02-27 12:29:09	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xc02e72…
02-27 12:29:01	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	21,017	19¢	$3,993	0x13478c…
02-27 12:28:51	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	1,390	18¢	$250	0x380719…
02-23 19:14:14	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	SELL	900	89¢	$801	0xa52391…
02-23 19:11:40	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xf8ad68…
02-23 19:07:26	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0xa1c638…
02-23 19:01:26	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x33ce9a…
02-23 19:00:34	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	SELL	13	89¢	$12	0x5cb333…
02-23 18:59:42	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	SELL	91	89¢	$81	0x030945…
02-23 18:52:26	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	SELL	124	89¢	$110	0xa2f027…
02-23 18:43:34	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	SELL	265	89¢	$236	0x0e06c5…
02-23 18:42:24	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	SELL	562	89¢	$500	0xba98a8…
02-23 18:42:00	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	SELL	22	89¢	$20	0x0fbd3b…
02-23 18:39:00	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	SELL	1,710	89¢	$1,522	0xd7abe5…