Realized P&L
-$17
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
3.8%
Resolved
5
Trades
3,714
lifetime
Volume
$9.07K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$10
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 06-30 09:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
70% 0% $-4
Politics
16% 50% $-11
Tech
8%
Crypto
2%
Sports
2% 0% $-1
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 160 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -261 $-2 $-3 $-1 05-29 16:51
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026? Yes -309 $-0 $-1 $-0 06-06 09:30
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes +261 $1 $1 $-0 06-29 06:17
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? Yes +23 $0 $0 +$0 06-27 05:11
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes +35 $0 $0 +$0 06-27 02:50
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June? Yes -377 $-4 $-0 +$3 06-23 00:08
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? Yes -374 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-23 17:25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? Yes +161 $1 $0 $-1 06-29 14:31
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes +154 $2 $0 $-1 06-21 22:16
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? Yes -291 $-3 $-0 +$2 06-11 10:52
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +174 $1 $0 $-1 06-29 07:46
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? Yes -252 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-29 17:24
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes -250 $-3 $-0 +$3 06-26 04:47
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? Yes +235 $1 $0 $-1 06-19 00:36
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? Yes +94 $1 $0 $-1 06-20 12:48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes +215 $1 $0 $-1 06-30 05:23
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Yes -212 $0 $-0 $-0 06-19 03:02
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +33 $0 $0 $-0 06-22 17:33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Yes +194 $1 $0 $-1 06-29 02:43
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes +59 $0 $0 $-0 06-26 03:51
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $0 $0 $-0 06-23 06:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes +158 $1 $0 $-1 06-27 00:04
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Yes -77 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-28 08:11
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June? Yes +76 $1 $0 $-1 06-25 23:49
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30? Yes +72 $1 $0 $-1 06-19 13:10
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June? Yes +45 $0 $0 $-0 06-27 08:23
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? Yes +133 $1 $0 $-1 06-27 00:21
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? Yes +33 $1 $0 $-1 06-18 03:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes +82 $1 $0 $-1 06-17 08:27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes +60 $1 $0 $-0 06-20 14:30