Realized P&L
-$784
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
35.6%
Resolved
1,039
Trades
17,163
lifetime
Volume
$12.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$9
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 10-28 14:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 151 days
Categories
Other
63% 29% -$388
Politics
21% 24% -$295
Sports
7% 28% -$34
Tech
7% 27% -$57
Crypto
2% 42% -$8
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 370 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +50 $0 3¢ $2 +$1 09-10 11:51
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? Yes +25 $0 3¢ $1 +$1 09-29 14:50
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? Yes +54 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 09-14 17:04
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? Yes +12 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 09-07 23:49
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes +85 $1 0¢ $0 $0 09-05 17:33
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +223 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-08 16:23
Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31? Yes +167 $1 0¢ $0 $0 09-07 08:56
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +185 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-08 04:43
Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026? Yes +76 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-07 16:09
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +69 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-14 20:19
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +150 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-07 11:15
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +142 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-15 11:10
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6 $0 3¢ $0 $0 09-14 23:43
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +12 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-16 16:31
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? Yes +6 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 09-16 09:07
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +64 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-22 19:37
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +128 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-08 16:57
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +53 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 09-01 21:53
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? Yes +119 $2 0¢ $0 -$1 09-01 13:19
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026? Yes +118 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-17 08:32
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +12 $0 1¢ $0 $0 09-19 07:42
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +8 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 09-09 05:03
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 09-08 01:20
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +97 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-10 05:09
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +8 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 09-09 06:05
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +94 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 09-07 00:13
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +5 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 10-08 23:35
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? Yes +7 $0 2¢ $0 $0 09-08 01:23
Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +81 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-11 05:18
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6 $0 2¢ $0 $0 09-18 22:43