Icy-Disk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

3.8%

Resolved

Trades

3,727

lifetime

Volume

$9.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 07-10 21:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

70% 0% $-4

Politics

16% 50% $-11

Tech

8% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 160 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-261	$-2	1¢	$-2	$-0	05-29 16:51
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	Yes	+35	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	06-27 02:50
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+11	$0	1¢	$0	$-0	06-23 06:31
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5	$0	2¢	$0	$-0	07-06 10:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	50	$1.5K	2,261	2,338	-77	open	—	04-05 08:50
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	68	$589	486	500	-14	open	—	03-22 13:45
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?	30	$380	884	884	+0	open	—	04-25 07:45
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	28	$344	850	849	+1	open	—	04-22 15:45
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be less than 4 on april 12 2026	25	$203	5,601	5,601	+0	open	—	04-08 14:44
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	12	$186	163	163	+0	No	$-15	04-21 00:52
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	14	$157	168	168	+0	open	—	04-25 04:22
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	9	$155	1,139	1,139	+0	open	—	03-21 20:39
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 734	12	$152	149	175	-26	open	—	03-22 09:58
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	8	$151	121	121	+0	open	—	03-22 22:24
will mrbeasts next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 169	16	$124	153	153	+0	open	—	03-22 00:44
atp kuzuhar andrade 2026 04 07	5	$120	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-07 19:37
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	7	$114	92	92	+0	open	—	03-22 00:14
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$105	77	77	+0	open	—	03-21 18:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$105	59	59	+0	open	—	03-21 21:25
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 64 65f	10	$100	72	37	+35	open	—	03-22 10:57
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 Week of April 20 2026?	4	$94	247	247	+0	open	—	04-21 17:36
Uber # of trips above 3.4B in Q1?	3	$88	57	57	+0	Yes	$-4	04-15 22:01
highest temperature in wellington on march 22 2026 20c	6	$82	46	89	-44	open	—	03-22 00:30
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	6	$78	260	260	+0	open	—	03-21 22:07
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	8	$74	63	63	+0	open	—	03-21 19:34
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	5	$68	48	48	+0	open	—	03-22 10:08
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	7	$68	63	106	-43	open	—	03-21 23:55
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?	37	$68	2,726	2,726	+0	open	—	04-06 09:19
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 22 2026 19c	6	$64	18	50	-32	open	—	03-22 12:04
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	9	$63	189	189	+0	open	—	04-24 17:31
highest temperature in london on march 22 2026 12c	14	$59	209	156	+53	open	—	03-22 11:07
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	26	$57	3,165	3,738	-573	open	—	06-03 13:08
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	29	$52	639	639	+0	open	—	04-25 16:16
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$52	42	42	+0	open	—	03-22 10:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 21:03:14	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xbef9a1…
07-10 13:47:11	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xb9c2b3…
07-10 09:11:04	netanyahu out by july 31	Yes	BUY	42	1¢	$0	0xe91c96…
07-09 22:20:41	netanyahu out by july 31	Yes	SELL	59	1¢	$0	0x16b837…
07-08 10:25:49	netanyahu out by july 31	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xc80d04…
07-08 09:53:17	netanyahu out by july 31	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x909915…
07-08 07:56:14	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	17	20¢	$3	0x596bc8…
07-07 12:48:52	netanyahu out by july 31	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xc9bdf0…
07-07 09:49:22	netanyahu out by july 31	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x036212…
07-07 07:29:26	netanyahu out by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x406470…
07-06 22:28:25	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x0999d9…
07-06 10:41:31	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x85afb0…
07-05 12:30:37	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x25c6c5…
06-30 09:29:50	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	Yes	SELL	166	0¢	$0	0x7605f4…
06-30 05:23:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xfff208…
06-30 02:38:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xd5762e…
06-29 15:42:25	Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xd1d108…
06-29 14:31:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x85aa3c…
06-29 13:05:35	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x849d77…
06-29 12:54:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x1520c9…
06-29 12:30:41	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1d1be2…
06-29 09:44:17	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	134	0¢	$0	0x14d0c6…
06-29 07:46:59	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xd2ac42…
06-29 07:46:52	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x3aa5e6…
06-29 06:17:37	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x1bfe87…
06-29 02:43:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	78	0¢	$0	0x685c40…
06-29 02:39:32	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x50cf37…
06-29 01:36:47	Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x6de2e2…
06-28 12:02:53	Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xf3a438…
06-28 10:54:35	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x519fa3…
06-28 09:32:55	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x575efd…
06-28 09:19:38	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	74	0¢	$0	0xc59a2e…
06-28 09:04:28	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xf1691b…
06-28 08:39:55	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0x16efd4…
06-28 08:19:41	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	159	0¢	$0	0xaadb27…
06-28 08:11:46	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	157	0¢	$0	0x33a7af…
06-28 07:39:20	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	72	0¢	$0	0x68aa82…
06-28 07:27:43	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x95f618…
06-28 07:15:22	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xda861a…
06-28 06:59:11	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x6f2465…
06-28 06:40:47	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x0bb69d…
06-28 06:40:44	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xcff9c0…
06-28 06:40:40	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x734d72…
06-28 06:40:34	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x22c3eb…
06-28 06:22:04	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe1534b…
06-28 06:20:22	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	160	0¢	$0	0x5cf4ae…
06-28 03:33:35	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	206	0¢	$0	0x2e5839…
06-28 03:32:25	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xe7af44…
06-28 03:23:29	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xe7c3c8…
06-28 03:23:26	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf903ad…
06-28 02:41:17	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x7669a2…
06-28 01:29:29	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	139	0¢	$0	0x2a6d31…
06-28 01:08:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	112	0¢	$0	0xe0344a…
06-28 01:04:04	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7ac3f7…
06-27 13:28:29	Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x856533…
06-27 13:18:52	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x430134…
06-27 08:23:05	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x71ed34…
06-27 08:19:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x44f55a…
06-27 08:10:11	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xfdc6f3…
06-27 08:02:46	MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x69b7b7…
06-27 06:26:40	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x0916fe…
06-27 06:21:53	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xbee012…
06-27 06:09:14	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x9789b0…
06-27 05:13:59	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x3595f7…
06-27 05:11:50	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x5868d0…
06-27 03:03:17	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	116	0¢	$0	0xd25498…
06-27 02:58:05	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	46	0¢	$0	0xdd5e64…
06-27 02:55:31	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x17d54f…
06-27 02:50:47	StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0xdaf2dc…
06-27 02:28:11	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x117ff6…
06-27 02:23:35	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0xa908b5…
06-27 01:31:43	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	Yes	BUY	171	0¢	$0	0xac500c…
06-27 01:17:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x2e08f6…
06-27 01:13:23	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0x757e6d…
06-27 00:21:32	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0xb23293…
06-27 00:04:59	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	73	0¢	$0	0x0c3e26…
06-27 00:01:13	MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x93b291…
06-26 23:49:59	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xdd01ae…
06-26 23:38:44	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x13645a…
06-26 22:20:11	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0xaf1e2d…
06-26 22:16:55	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	0¢	$0	0x75898c…
06-26 22:16:46	Brex IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	56	1¢	$1	0x262ab0…
06-26 22:16:25	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	1¢	$1	0xfebe8c…
06-26 21:37:19	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xd1edf1…
06-26 08:55:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	135	0¢	$0	0xae6b10…
06-26 06:59:22	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5429be…
06-26 06:31:20	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x2b8d44…
06-26 05:53:41	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x62a399…
06-26 05:46:14	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x149a77…
06-26 05:26:01	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x73033b…
06-26 04:52:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x367922…
06-26 04:47:56	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x8110df…
06-26 04:47:46	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x075328…
06-26 04:45:49	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x5df345…
06-26 04:20:40	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xe0ee91…
06-26 04:19:47	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xb23c93…
06-26 04:16:01	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf847ff…
06-26 04:06:01	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x1c83f9…
06-26 03:51:53	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xf4a5bf…
06-26 03:15:23	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x5ad547…