Will Jack Della Maddalena become UFC champion in 2026?
open
Total volume
$819
Trades
24
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$1,798
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-07-01
last 08-12 16:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $0 | $105 | $105 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $15 | $567 | $552 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 4 | — | $273 | $273 |
| Below median | 3 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $105 | $105 |
| unranked | 7 | $15 | $294 | $279 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xf23e…fab9 | Yes | +576 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-27 15:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc56…05e7 | No | +130 | $127 | $127 | 1 | 07-27 15:52 |
| Vivacious-Blackfish 0x141a…95a9 | No | +108 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 07-29 18:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xb673…ce79 | No | +95 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 07-27 15:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd9b…d2a1 | No | +85 | $83 | $83 | 1 | 07-27 15:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xb80f…14d2 | No | +75 | $73 | $73 | 1 | 07-27 15:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72c…9902 | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 07-27 15:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x511a…dd4d | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 07-27 15:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x881c…25fd | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 07-27 15:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x9870…710f | No | +41 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-27 15:52 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +24 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 08-12 16:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xe272…e1c7 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-01 17:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 16:03:00 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2bd1a4… |
| 08-12 16:03:00 | (anonymous) 0x3789…dfc7 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x2bd1a4… |
| 08-05 08:58:33 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x386b96… |
| 08-05 08:58:33 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x386b96… |
| 07-29 18:24:57 | Vivacious-Blackfish 0x141a…95a9 | No | BUY | 108 | 98¢ | $105 | 0xcef0ad… |
| 07-29 18:24:57 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0xcef0ad… |
| 07-29 18:24:57 | Quixotic-Tabby 0x1102…af36 | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xcef0ad… |
| 07-27 15:52:33 | (anonymous) 0x9870…710f | No | BUY | 41 | 97¢ | $40 | 0xc165b2… |
| 07-27 15:52:33 | (anonymous) 0xb673…ce79 | No | BUY | 95 | 97¢ | $93 | 0xc165b2… |
| 07-27 15:52:33 | (anonymous) 0xbd9b…d2a1 | No | BUY | 85 | 97¢ | $83 | 0xc165b2… |
| 07-27 15:52:33 | (anonymous) 0xd72c…9902 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0xc165b2… |
| 07-27 15:52:33 | (anonymous) 0xb80f…14d2 | No | BUY | 75 | 97¢ | $73 | 0xc165b2… |
| 07-27 15:52:33 | (anonymous) 0x511a…dd4d | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0xc165b2… |
| 07-27 15:52:33 | (anonymous) 0x881c…25fd | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0xc165b2… |
| 07-27 15:52:33 | (anonymous) 0xf23e…fab9 | Yes | BUY | 576 | 3¢ | $15 | 0xc165b2… |
| 07-27 15:52:33 | (anonymous) 0xbc56…05e7 | No | BUY | 130 | 97¢ | $127 | 0xc165b2… |
| 07-26 07:01:45 | (anonymous) 0x3789…dfc7 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x23d9b3… |
| 07-26 07:01:45 | Quixotic-Tabby 0x1102…af36 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x23d9b3… |
| 07-08 05:45:25 | Quixotic-Tabby 0x1102…af36 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x744d23… |
| 07-08 05:45:25 | Violet-Terracotta 0x9a67…024e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x744d23… |
| 07-01 17:31:04 | Quixotic-Tabby 0x1102…af36 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xa29842… |
| 07-01 17:31:04 | (anonymous) 0x14d5…8ba8 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa29842… |
| 07-01 17:30:50 | (anonymous) 0x14d5…8ba8 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xd4b93f… |
| 07-01 17:30:50 | (anonymous) 0xe272…e1c7 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xd4b93f… |