Realized P&L
+$16.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
76.0%
Resolved
88,001
Trades
648,553
lifetime
Volume
$94.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$74
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 10-30 13:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 256 days
Categories
Other
71% 33% +$12,074
Crypto
11% 26% +$50
Sports
8% 28% +$1,904
Politics
8% 51% +$1,768
Tech
2% 58% +$600
Pop-Culture
1% 23% +$52
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2181 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes -80 -$3 69¢ $-55 -$52 05-04 04:57
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? Yes -100 -$1 6¢ $-5 -$5 06-15 11:16
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? Yes +133 -$8 1¢ $1 +$9 10-30 02:38
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +20 $0 5¢ $1 +$1 10-28 13:02
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +100 -$1 1¢ $1 +$2 06-12 08:15
Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes -100 -$3 1¢ $-1 +$2 08-29 13:02
Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship? Yes +150 -$1 0¢ $1 +$2 10-26 19:58
Will VfB Stuttgart win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +100 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 07-09 13:24
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day? Yes +150 -$2 0¢ $1 +$3 10-26 04:05
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +150 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-29 21:53
Will Mainz 05 be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +150 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 09-25 05:49
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026? Yes +50 -$3 1¢ $0 +$3 09-22 08:28
Will David Brekalo win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes +33 $0 1¢ $0 +$1 10-27 19:00
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -100 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-03 05:50
Will Kingston Flemings win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +150 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 10-21 08:48
Will Frosinone win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +150 -$3 0¢ $0 +$3 10-22 07:20
Will Werder Bremen be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +150 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 09-23 10:31
Will Alexandre Pantoja be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? Yes +150 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-24 23:29
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? Yes +140 -$3 0¢ $0 +$4 10-21 15:10
Will VfB Stuttgart be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +100 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 09-17 20:52
Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +75 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-13 14:31
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? Yes +150 $0 0¢ $0 +$1 09-23 16:52
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 05-13 23:04
Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +42 -$3 1¢ $0 +$3 10-26 05:44
Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +150 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-27 13:24
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? Yes +150 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 09-23 01:23
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +150 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 09-26 07:32
Will Zuby Ejiofor win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +150 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-15 17:15
Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +150 $1 0¢ $0 $0 10-01 12:15
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? Yes +149 $0 0¢ $0 +$1 10-21 16:16