Realized P&L
+$224
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
79.1%
Resolved
28
Trades
1,655
lifetime
Volume
$62.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$2.29K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-13 22:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
43% 100% +$56
Sports
32% 59% +$13
Crypto
14%
Politics
7% 100% +$154
Pop-Culture
3%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clavicular sentenced to prison? No -294 $-249 86¢ $-255 $-6 06-21 21:36
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No -300 $-229 84¢ $-254 $-25 06-24 22:47
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -210 $-153 82¢ $-171 $-18 06-21 21:37
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -200 $-164 66¢ $-133 +$31 06-21 21:37
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -180 $-142 66¢ $-118 +$24 06-24 22:47
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -240 $-113 42¢ $-100 +$13 06-24 23:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027? No -100 $-93 94¢ $-94 $-1 07-04 23:45
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No -100 $-90 93¢ $-93 $-3 06-21 20:31
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -83 $-79 96¢ $-80 $-1 06-21 21:39
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? No -100 $-71 74¢ $-74 $-2 06-24 23:31
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes -190 $-75 38¢ $-73 +$2 07-03 01:59
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No -80 $-71 88¢ $-70 +$1 06-24 23:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -120 $-23 55¢ $-65 $-42 06-24 19:05
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? No -126 $-59 50¢ $-62 $-3 06-24 23:31
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No -63 $-63 97¢ $-61 +$2 06-21 21:08
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -68 $-57 88¢ $-60 $-3 07-04 23:46
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No -60 $-56 94¢ $-57 $-1 06-21 21:37
Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026? No +60 $36 80¢ $48 +$12 05-29 19:17
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026? No -50 $-47 93¢ $-46 +$1 07-03 02:01
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? Yes -151 $-43 30¢ $-45 $-2 06-24 23:11
Will Belal Muhammad become UFC champion in 2026? No +45 $41 98¢ $44 +$3 06-17 02:18
Will Deiveson Figueiredo become UFC champion in 2026? No +46 $43 93¢ $42 $-1 06-17 02:14
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +124 $42 33¢ $41 $-1 06-18 14:12
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No -40 $-38 96¢ $-39 $-0 06-21 21:39
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? No +40 $30 84¢ $34 +$4 06-16 20:42
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No +56 $32 60¢ $34 +$2 07-12 16:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $41 32¢ $32 $-10 06-01 09:08
Will Dricus Du Plessis become UFC champion in 2026? Yes +100 $12 26¢ $26 +$14 06-17 17:54
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +100 $24 24¢ $24 $-0 06-15 17:28
Will Jack Della Maddalena become UFC champion in 2026? No -20 $-20 97¢ $-19 +$0 07-08 05:45