Realized P&L
-$1.51K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.15K
Hit rate
68.1%
Resolved
681
Trades
2,025
lifetime
Volume
$85.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$7.49K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-31 18:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 137 days
Categories
Other
41% 60% -$1,873
Sports
31% 53% +$235
Crypto
14% 71% +$187
Politics
10% 62% -$129
Pop-Culture
2% 60% +$173
Tech
1% 57% -$101
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -993 -$919 97¢ $-968 -$49 05-01 15:47
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -848 -$567 88¢ $-750 -$183 06-03 22:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -700 -$476 96¢ $-673 -$197 05-01 16:08
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -661 -$432 91¢ $-602 -$169 06-24 22:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -520 -$397 97¢ $-506 -$109 05-02 10:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -420 -$253 92¢ $-384 -$131 05-17 05:04
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? No -300 -$282 99¢ $-296 -$14 05-17 05:04
Clavicular sentenced to prison? No -294 -$249 94¢ $-277 -$28 06-21 21:36
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -213 -$185 97¢ $-207 -$22 06-24 23:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -203 -$173 98¢ $-199 -$26 05-10 05:28
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No -200 -$173 97¢ $-193 -$20 05-10 05:28
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -200 -$158 94¢ $-189 -$31 05-10 05:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -180 -$160 98¢ $-177 -$16 05-17 05:05
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No -200 -$159 88¢ $-175 -$16 06-24 22:47
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -200 -$164 80¢ $-161 +$3 06-21 21:37
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -210 -$153 72¢ $-152 +$1 06-21 21:37
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes -149 -$136 98¢ $-146 -$10 05-10 05:26
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -200 -$138 71¢ $-142 -$4 05-22 03:08
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -140 -$118 100¢ $-140 -$22 06-03 22:29
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -180 -$142 74¢ $-132 +$10 06-24 22:47
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,100 -$138 12¢ $-131 +$6 07-25 22:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -150 -$114 82¢ $-124 -$10 05-22 03:32
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes -218 -$163 53¢ $-116 +$48 06-21 21:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -120 -$23 88¢ $-106 -$83 06-24 19:05
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No -174 -$97 58¢ $-102 -$5 08-31 13:28
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -635 -$131 16¢ $-101 +$30 06-24 23:29
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No -100 -$90 95¢ $-95 -$5 06-21 20:31
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No -96 -$24 94¢ $-90 -$66 05-04 19:36
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -100 -$55 82¢ $-82 -$27 06-24 23:28
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -83 -$79 97¢ $-81 -$2 06-21 21:39