Will Belal Muhammad become UFC champion in 2026?
open
Total volume
$75
Trades
32
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$795
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-30
last 08-06 12:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-10.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $10
vs crowd: 10% YES on $70)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $5 | $21 | $16 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $0 | $41 | $41 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $41 | $41 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| unranked | 4 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quixotic-Tabby 0x1102…af36 | No | +45 | $41 | $41 | 2 | 06-17 02:18 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +19 | $0 | $2 | 6 | 08-06 12:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xf23e…fab9 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-28 12:23 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-05 09:00 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 6 | 07-28 12:23 |
| Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-30 16:52 |
| Scented-Hygienic 0x8af8…adc5 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-05 05:34 |
| Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | +6 | $1 | $2 | 4 | 07-28 12:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 12:40:08 | Definite-Tone 0x40f9…fbbf | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xda25e1… |
| 08-06 12:40:08 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xda25e1… |
| 08-05 09:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2c9ece… |
| 08-05 09:00:00 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2c9ece… |
| 08-05 09:00:00 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2c9ece… |
| 07-28 12:23:43 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcdfec2… |
| 07-28 12:23:43 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcdfec2… |
| 07-28 12:23:43 | (anonymous) 0xf23e…fab9 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcdfec2… |
| 07-19 16:58:09 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6552a6… |
| 07-19 16:58:09 | Jumpy-Cyclamen 0x9fe7…95c3 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x6552a6… |
| 06-17 02:18:13 | Quixotic-Tabby 0x1102…af36 | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $11 | 0x32cf1e… |
| 06-17 02:18:13 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x32cf1e… |
| 06-17 02:18:13 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x32cf1e… |
| 06-17 02:18:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x48f95f… |
| 06-17 02:18:01 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x48f95f… |
| 06-17 02:18:01 | Quixotic-Tabby 0x1102…af36 | No | BUY | 33 | 91¢ | $30 | 0x48f95f… |
| 06-15 04:28:18 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa99b93… |
| 06-15 04:28:18 | (anonymous) 0xf737…2f72 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa99b93… |
| 06-15 04:26:25 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x600442… |
| 06-15 04:26:25 | (anonymous) 0xf737…2f72 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x600442… |
| 06-10 17:15:52 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0760cf… |
| 06-10 17:15:52 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0760cf… |
| 06-10 06:44:22 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x3c4d59… |
| 06-10 06:44:22 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x3c4d59… |
| 06-10 06:43:49 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3248b5… |
| 06-10 06:43:49 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x3248b5… |
| 06-05 19:53:45 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xde6a04… |
| 06-05 19:53:45 | Jumpy-Cyclamen 0x9fe7…95c3 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xde6a04… |
| 06-05 05:34:00 | Scented-Hygienic 0x8af8…adc5 | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xeb4a7d… |
| 06-05 05:34:00 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xeb4a7d… |
| 05-30 16:52:42 | Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x28e139… |
| 05-30 16:52:42 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x28e139… |