Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,041
$464 in 24h
Trades
101
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$78
Latest YES mid
20¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-10 10:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $143 | $28 | +$115 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $12 | $117 | $105 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $11 | $42 | $32 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $80 | $125 | $45 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $16 | $52 | $36 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | $36 | $35 |
| Below median | 3 | $5 | $25 | $20 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $7 | $22 | $15 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $142 | $87 | +$55 |
| unranked | 6 | $75 | $90 | $15 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scented-Hygienic 0x8af8…adc5 | No | +144 | $87 | $87 | 3 | 07-13 11:12 |
| Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | No | +35 | $24 | $24 | 4 | 06-02 21:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1b0…4d1e | No | +32 | $-5 | $26 | 2 | 07-13 11:12 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $22 | $34 | 3 | 08-09 04:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1b0…4d1e | Yes | +23 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-13 11:12 |
| Intentional-Bankbook 0xf139…dc51 | Yes | +20 | $-57 | $201 | 5 | 06-08 18:32 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | +18 | $-0 | $9 | 13 | 08-10 10:24 |
| Attentive-Overload-Allergist 0xb792…04f7 | No | +13 | $21 | $153 | 21 | 08-10 10:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 08-07 14:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:50 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +5 | $-12 | $33 | 8 | 08-10 10:24 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $4 | 2 | 08-06 15:32 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-10 08:38 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-26 19:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 10:24:09 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x7efea9… |
| 08-10 10:24:09 | Attentive-Overload-Allergist 0xb792…04f7 | No | SELL | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0x7efea9… |
| 08-10 10:24:09 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x7efea9… |
| 08-10 10:24:07 | Attentive-Overload-Allergist 0xb792…04f7 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x74f5e2… |
| 08-10 10:24:07 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x74f5e2… |
| 08-09 04:24:22 | Quixotic-Tabby 0x1102…af36 | No | SELL | 60 | 76¢ | $45 | 0x358603… |
| 08-09 04:24:22 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 22 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x358603… |
| 08-09 04:24:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x358603… |
| 08-09 04:24:22 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x358603… |
| 08-09 04:24:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 76¢ | $23 | 0x358603… |
| 08-07 14:40:37 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0xb9938c… |
| 08-07 14:40:37 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xb9938c… |
| 08-07 14:40:37 | Attentive-Overload-Allergist 0xb792…04f7 | No | SELL | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0xb9938c… |
| 08-07 14:40:36 | Attentive-Overload-Allergist 0xb792…04f7 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0xe7bf00… |
| 08-07 14:40:36 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe7bf00… |
| 08-07 14:40:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe7bf00… |
| 08-07 14:38:00 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x40df65… |
| 08-07 14:38:00 | Attentive-Overload-Allergist 0xb792…04f7 | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xa4d353… |
| 08-07 14:38:00 | Attentive-Overload-Allergist 0xb792…04f7 | No | SELL | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x40df65… |
| 08-07 14:38:00 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xa4d353… |
| 08-07 14:38:00 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x40df65… |
| 08-07 11:36:10 | Attentive-Overload-Allergist 0xb792…04f7 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xf539b1… |
| 08-07 11:36:10 | Attentive-Overload-Allergist 0xb792…04f7 | No | SELL | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x892ada… |
| 08-07 11:36:10 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x892ada… |
| 08-07 11:36:10 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xf539b1… |
| 08-07 10:14:00 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x6359d3… |
| 08-07 10:14:00 | Attentive-Overload-Allergist 0xb792…04f7 | No | SELL | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x6359d3… |
| 08-07 10:13:58 | Attentive-Overload-Allergist 0xb792…04f7 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x90a5c1… |
| 08-07 10:13:58 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x90a5c1… |
| 08-07 10:13:58 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x90a5c1… |
| 08-06 15:32:56 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xde20ee… |
| 08-06 15:32:56 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xe5796b… |
| 08-06 15:32:56 | Attentive-Overload-Allergist 0xb792…04f7 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xe5796b… |
| 08-06 15:32:56 | Attentive-Overload-Allergist 0xb792…04f7 | No | SELL | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xde20ee… |
| 08-04 03:19:27 | Attentive-Overload-Allergist 0xb792…04f7 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x1e1cec… |
| 08-04 03:19:27 | Attentive-Overload-Allergist 0xb792…04f7 | No | SELL | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0xa6a4b7… |
| 08-04 03:19:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x1e1cec… |
| 08-04 03:19:27 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0xa6a4b7… |
| 08-04 03:19:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x1e1cec… |
| 08-03 22:23:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0xcdc405… |
| 08-03 22:23:24 | Attentive-Overload-Allergist 0xb792…04f7 | No | SELL | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0xcdc405… |
| 08-03 22:23:23 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x2890c4… |
| 08-03 22:23:23 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x2890c4… |
| 08-03 22:23:23 | Attentive-Overload-Allergist 0xb792…04f7 | No | BUY | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0x2890c4… |
| 08-03 21:56:32 | Attentive-Overload-Allergist 0xb792…04f7 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x37a98d… |
| 08-03 21:56:32 | Attentive-Overload-Allergist 0xb792…04f7 | No | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xdcfa92… |
| 08-03 21:56:32 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x37a98d… |
| 08-03 21:56:32 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xdcfa92… |
| 07-31 19:57:42 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x77ea6d… |
| 07-31 19:57:42 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x77ea6d… |
| 07-31 19:57:42 | Attentive-Overload-Allergist 0xb792…04f7 | No | SELL | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x77ea6d… |
| 07-31 19:57:39 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xaac779… |
| 07-31 19:57:39 | Attentive-Overload-Allergist 0xb792…04f7 | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xaac779… |
| 07-31 19:49:29 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x9aa090… |
| 07-31 19:49:29 | Attentive-Overload-Allergist 0xb792…04f7 | No | BUY | 13 | 85¢ | $11 | 0x9aa090… |
| 07-21 21:51:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x3cc1d4… |
| 07-21 21:51:49 | (anonymous) 0x1129…6703 | No | SELL | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x3cc1d4… |
| 07-13 11:12:22 | (anonymous) 0xf1b0…4d1e | No | SELL | 18 | 84¢ | $15 | 0x7910c0… |
| 07-13 11:12:22 | Scented-Hygienic 0x8af8…adc5 | No | BUY | 68 | 83¢ | $57 | 0x7910c0… |
| 07-13 11:12:22 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 17¢ | $7 | 0x7910c0… |
| 07-13 11:12:22 | (anonymous) 0xf1b0…4d1e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x7910c0… |
| 06-28 23:52:23 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x413b3b… |
| 06-28 23:52:23 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0x413b3b… |
| 06-26 19:17:40 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xde5113… |
| 06-26 19:17:40 | (anonymous) 0x1129…6703 | No | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0xde5113… |
| 06-11 18:58:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 29¢ | $7 | 0xdc2fab… |
| 06-11 18:58:22 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xdc2fab… |
| 06-11 18:58:22 | Scented-Hygienic 0x8af8…adc5 | No | BUY | 33 | 71¢ | $24 | 0xdc2fab… |
| 06-10 08:38:34 | Scented-Hygienic 0x8af8…adc5 | No | BUY | 42 | 15¢ | $7 | 0x1103f5… |
| 06-10 08:38:34 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x1103f5… |
| 06-10 08:38:34 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 25 | 21¢ | $5 | 0x1103f5… |
| 06-10 08:38:34 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | No | SELL | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x1103f5… |
| 06-10 03:50:07 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 26¢ | $6 | 0x02a12c… |
| 06-10 03:50:07 | (anonymous) 0xfe48…5895 | No | SELL | 122 | 21¢ | $25 | 0x02a12c… |
| 06-10 03:50:07 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | No | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x02a12c… |
| 06-10 03:50:07 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x02a12c… |
| 06-10 03:50:07 | (anonymous) 0xf1b0…4d1e | No | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x02a12c… |
| 06-10 03:50:07 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x02a12c… |
| 06-10 03:50:07 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x02a12c… |
| 06-08 18:32:42 | Intentional-Bankbook 0xf139…dc51 | Yes | BUY | 109 | 32¢ | $35 | 0x4d21d5… |
| 06-08 18:32:42 | (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | Yes | SELL | 109 | 32¢ | $35 | 0x4d21d5… |
| 06-08 18:32:09 | Intentional-Bankbook 0xf139…dc51 | Yes | SELL | 109 | 65¢ | $71 | 0x868ffb… |
| 06-08 18:32:09 | (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | Yes | BUY | 109 | 65¢ | $71 | 0x868ffb… |
| 06-08 18:31:15 | (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | Yes | SELL | 108 | 34¢ | $37 | 0xee1281… |
| 06-08 18:31:15 | Intentional-Bankbook 0xf139…dc51 | Yes | BUY | 108 | 34¢ | $37 | 0xee1281… |
| 06-08 18:30:16 | (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | Yes | BUY | 19 | 64¢ | $12 | 0xb27e8b… |
| 06-08 18:30:16 | Intentional-Bankbook 0xf139…dc51 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 64¢ | $12 | 0xb27e8b… |
| 06-08 18:29:36 | (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | Yes | BUY | 90 | 66¢ | $59 | 0xd42c66… |
| 06-08 18:29:36 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0xd42c66… |
| 06-08 18:29:36 | Intentional-Bankbook 0xf139…dc51 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 66¢ | $46 | 0xd42c66… |
| 06-02 21:32:05 | Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | No | BUY | 13 | 76¢ | $10 | 0x876663… |
| 06-02 21:32:05 | (anonymous) 0xf1b0…4d1e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x876663… |
| 05-29 19:17:02 | Quixotic-Tabby 0x1102…af36 | No | BUY | 60 | 60¢ | $36 | 0x1897ae… |
| 05-29 19:17:02 | Muffled-Zoologist 0x6d04…0e1b | No | SELL | 60 | 60¢ | $36 | 0x1897ae… |
| 05-28 21:43:05 | Muffled-Zoologist 0x6d04…0e1b | No | SELL | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x5a1287… |
| 05-28 21:43:05 | Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | No | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x5a1287… |
| 05-28 21:42:40 | Muffled-Zoologist 0x6d04…0e1b | No | SELL | 4 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xfc7760… |
| 05-28 21:42:40 | Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xfc7760… |
| 05-28 21:42:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 1 | 64¢ | $0 | 0xfc7760… |
| 05-28 21:32:03 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 16 | 64¢ | $10 | 0x55d5ca… |