Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026?
open
Total volume
$741
$464 in 24h
Trades
46
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$78
Latest YES mid
20¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-21 21:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $142 | — | +$142 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $7 | $93 | $86 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $7 | $42 | $35 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $80 | $38 | +$42 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $12 | $52 | $39 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 2 | — | $25 | $25 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $7 | $7 | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $142 | $87 | +$55 |
| unranked | 4 | $74 | $3 | +$71 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scented-Hygienic 0x8af8…adc5 | No | +144 | $87 | $87 | 3 | 07-13 11:12 |
| Quixotic-Tabby 0x1102…af36 | No | +60 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-29 19:17 |
| Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | No | +35 | $24 | $24 | 4 | 06-02 21:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1b0…4d1e | No | +32 | $-5 | $26 | 2 | 07-13 11:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1b0…4d1e | Yes | +23 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-13 11:12 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +20 | $-6 | $20 | 2 | 07-13 11:12 |
| Intentional-Bankbook 0xf139…dc51 | Yes | +20 | $-57 | $201 | 5 | 06-08 18:32 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-11 18:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +4 | $-5 | $20 | 3 | 07-21 21:51 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-10 08:38 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-26 19:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 21:51:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x3cc1d4… |
| 07-21 21:51:49 | (anonymous) 0x1129…6703 | No | SELL | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x3cc1d4… |
| 07-13 11:12:22 | Scented-Hygienic 0x8af8…adc5 | No | BUY | 68 | 83¢ | $57 | 0x7910c0… |
| 07-13 11:12:22 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 17¢ | $7 | 0x7910c0… |
| 07-13 11:12:22 | (anonymous) 0xf1b0…4d1e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x7910c0… |
| 07-13 11:12:22 | (anonymous) 0xf1b0…4d1e | No | SELL | 18 | 84¢ | $15 | 0x7910c0… |
| 06-28 23:52:23 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x413b3b… |
| 06-28 23:52:23 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0x413b3b… |
| 06-26 19:17:40 | (anonymous) 0x1129…6703 | No | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0xde5113… |
| 06-26 19:17:40 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xde5113… |
| 06-11 18:58:22 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xdc2fab… |
| 06-11 18:58:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 29¢ | $7 | 0xdc2fab… |
| 06-11 18:58:22 | Scented-Hygienic 0x8af8…adc5 | No | BUY | 33 | 71¢ | $24 | 0xdc2fab… |
| 06-10 08:38:34 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x1103f5… |
| 06-10 08:38:34 | Scented-Hygienic 0x8af8…adc5 | No | BUY | 42 | 15¢ | $7 | 0x1103f5… |
| 06-10 08:38:34 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 25 | 21¢ | $5 | 0x1103f5… |
| 06-10 08:38:34 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | No | SELL | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x1103f5… |
| 06-10 03:50:07 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x02a12c… |
| 06-10 03:50:07 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x02a12c… |
| 06-10 03:50:07 | (anonymous) 0xf1b0…4d1e | No | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x02a12c… |
| 06-10 03:50:07 | (anonymous) 0xfe48…5895 | No | SELL | 122 | 21¢ | $25 | 0x02a12c… |
| 06-10 03:50:07 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 26¢ | $6 | 0x02a12c… |
| 06-10 03:50:07 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x02a12c… |
| 06-10 03:50:07 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | No | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x02a12c… |
| 06-08 18:32:42 | Intentional-Bankbook 0xf139…dc51 | Yes | BUY | 109 | 32¢ | $35 | 0x4d21d5… |
| 06-08 18:32:42 | (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | Yes | SELL | 109 | 32¢ | $35 | 0x4d21d5… |
| 06-08 18:32:09 | Intentional-Bankbook 0xf139…dc51 | Yes | SELL | 109 | 65¢ | $71 | 0x868ffb… |
| 06-08 18:32:09 | (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | Yes | BUY | 109 | 65¢ | $71 | 0x868ffb… |
| 06-08 18:31:15 | (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | Yes | SELL | 108 | 34¢ | $37 | 0xee1281… |
| 06-08 18:31:15 | Intentional-Bankbook 0xf139…dc51 | Yes | BUY | 108 | 34¢ | $37 | 0xee1281… |
| 06-08 18:30:16 | Intentional-Bankbook 0xf139…dc51 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 64¢ | $12 | 0xb27e8b… |
| 06-08 18:30:16 | (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | Yes | BUY | 19 | 64¢ | $12 | 0xb27e8b… |
| 06-08 18:29:36 | (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | Yes | BUY | 90 | 66¢ | $59 | 0xd42c66… |
| 06-08 18:29:36 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0xd42c66… |
| 06-08 18:29:36 | Intentional-Bankbook 0xf139…dc51 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 66¢ | $46 | 0xd42c66… |
| 06-02 21:32:05 | Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | No | BUY | 13 | 76¢ | $10 | 0x876663… |
| 06-02 21:32:05 | (anonymous) 0xf1b0…4d1e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x876663… |
| 05-29 19:17:02 | Muffled-Zoologist 0x6d04…0e1b | No | SELL | 60 | 60¢ | $36 | 0x1897ae… |
| 05-29 19:17:02 | Quixotic-Tabby 0x1102…af36 | No | BUY | 60 | 60¢ | $36 | 0x1897ae… |
| 05-28 21:43:05 | Muffled-Zoologist 0x6d04…0e1b | No | SELL | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x5a1287… |
| 05-28 21:43:05 | Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | No | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x5a1287… |
| 05-28 21:42:40 | Muffled-Zoologist 0x6d04…0e1b | No | SELL | 4 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xfc7760… |
| 05-28 21:42:40 | Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xfc7760… |
| 05-28 21:42:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 1 | 64¢ | $0 | 0xfc7760… |
| 05-28 21:32:03 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 16 | 64¢ | $10 | 0x55d5ca… |
| 05-28 21:32:03 | Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | No | BUY | 16 | 64¢ | $10 | 0x55d5ca… |