Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$44

Unrealized P&L

+$22

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

Trades

446

lifetime

Volume

$19.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$1.32K

14 positions

First seen

2026-10-01

last 10-27 21:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Sports

47% 55% +$280

Other

28% 25% -$236

Crypto

15% — —

Politics

10% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	+200	$188	92¢	$185	-$3	10-25 11:39
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+200	$189	92¢	$185	-$4	10-25 11:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+200	$186	90¢	$179	-$7	10-23 09:04
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+200	$98	56¢	$111	+$13	10-25 12:56
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	+200	$112	52¢	$103	-$9	10-23 15:24
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$93	92¢	$92	$0	10-25 11:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$75	84¢	$84	+$10	10-22 22:58
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$79	84¢	$84	+$6	10-25 11:32
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	+100	$56	84¢	$84	+$27	10-23 13:41
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	+200	$96	38¢	$77	-$19	10-23 09:11
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	+88	$52	62¢	$54	+$2	10-25 13:42
No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+160	$36	24¢	$39	+$2	10-25 11:17
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+614	$33	4¢	$27	-$5	10-23 09:06
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	+40	$9	46¢	$18	+$9	10-22 22:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	10-27 21:18
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	4	$735	500	300	+200	open	—	10-25 11:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$660	400	400	+0	open	—	10-27 14:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$609	400	300	+100	open	—	10-22 22:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$550	400	200	+200	open	—	10-23 09:04
Jacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner engaged in 2026?	5	$512	445	245	+200	open	—	10-23 08:53
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	6	$509	300	300	+0	open	—	10-25 11:16
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	12	$389	348	260	+88	open	—	10-25 13:42
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	2	$372	200	200	+0	open	—	10-27 14:34
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	2	$372	200	200	+0	open	—	10-27 12:40
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	5	$354	375	0	+375	open	—	10-06 12:43
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$321	200	200	+0	open	—	10-27 21:18
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	6	$290	500	0	+500	Petr Yan	+$210	10-23 17:09
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	5	$283	300	0	+300	open	—	10-25 13:10
Will Josh Hokit be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	15	$278	400	0	+400	open	—	10-02 18:34
Will Conor McGregor fight Ian Garry next?	7	$273	191	116	+75	open	—	10-16 00:12
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	3	$267	300	0	+300	open	—	10-25 13:11
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$256	200	200	+0	open	—	10-11 22:13
Will Rafael Fiziev fight Quillan Salkilld next?	4	$243	128	128	-0	open	—	10-26 18:30
UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	3	$240	250	250	+0	Grant Dawson	+$0	10-23 12:07
Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	5	$236	480	0	+480	open	—	10-18 01:31
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?	4	$227	401	0	+401	Yes	+$173	10-23 06:24
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$220	200	200	+0	open	—	10-11 21:45
Will Raul Rosas Jr. fight Marlon Vera next?	2	$217	258	0	+258	open	—	10-06 12:50
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next?	7	$205	381	0	+381	open	—	10-16 00:05
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	8	$204	300	0	+300	open	—	10-16 20:56
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	13	$200	400	0	+400	Alexander Volkanovski	-$200	10-17 22:31
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?	1	$197	200	0	+200	Yes	+$3	10-06 23:12
Will Israel Adesanya fight Gregory Rodrigues next?	2	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	10-26 19:47
Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?	2	$188	200	0	+200	open	—	10-23 09:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:18:29	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0x8cbe44…
10-27 21:18:02	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	91¢	$273	0xfb43ac…
10-27 14:34:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0xcd6b7f…
10-27 14:34:12	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0xb2c53f…
10-27 12:40:56	Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x60d30a…
10-26 19:47:44	Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings?	Yes	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xffc6c8…
10-26 19:47:09	Will Israel Adesanya fight Gregory Rodrigues next?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x4b2363…
10-26 18:30:24	Will Rafael Fiziev fight Quillan Salkilld next?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x28879e…
10-25 13:42:08	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xeddf3e…
10-25 13:11:03	Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x4807e3…
10-25 13:10:57	Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	93¢	$50	0x40374a…
10-25 12:56:32	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	53¢	$48	0x2d9d8e…
10-25 11:42:06	Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x30fe9b…
10-25 11:39:51	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xe81c71…
10-25 11:35:23	Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x6911c2…
10-25 11:32:59	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x7cda4b…
10-25 11:28:47	Will Jiří Procházka become UFC champion in 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0xa86626…
10-25 11:28:47	Will Jiří Procházka become UFC champion in 2026?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x6fa91c…
10-25 11:28:38	Will Aljamain Sterling become UFC champion in 2026?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x556b1f…
10-25 11:27:53	Will Paddy Pimblett become UFC champion in 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xc9ce22…
10-25 11:27:53	Will Paddy Pimblett become UFC champion in 2026?	No	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0xc1eb31…
10-25 11:27:32	Will Magomed Ankalaev become UFC champion in 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xdd65dc…
10-25 11:26:42	Will Sean O'Malley become UFC champion in 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x274952…
10-25 11:26:35	Will Sean O'Malley become UFC champion in 2026?	No	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0x36e8b7…
10-25 11:23:57	Kim Kardashian announces passing the Bar Exam by 2027?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xde91ae…
10-25 11:23:39	Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x4a7599…
10-25 11:22:15	Next James Bond announced by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0x96fcd1…
10-25 11:21:36	Will Euphoria rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x063b16…
10-25 11:20:45	Will Michael rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x57b752…
10-25 11:19:17	Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	93¢	$74	0x0f7037…
10-25 11:19:05	Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	47	93¢	$44	0x6dfbd8…
10-25 11:17:12	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	160	23¢	$36	0x57b5d0…
10-25 11:16:12	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x69904c…
10-25 11:15:45	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0xd27af4…
10-25 11:14:05	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x5e41d9…
10-25 11:13:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x147572…
10-25 11:10:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xafbdb0…
10-23 22:16:15	Will the fight end before Round 2?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x9feb2d…
10-23 21:46:20	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0xc29189…
10-23 21:32:05	UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Main Card)	Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0xde657a…
10-23 20:23:50	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0xb6b6a0…
10-23 20:23:50	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x12f549…
10-23 20:10:21	UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Azamat Murzakanov	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xc3d4a0…
10-23 19:32:14	UFC Fight Night: Andre Petroski vs. Azamat Bekoev (Middleweight, Prelims)	Azamat Bekoev	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe042e0…
10-23 19:32:06	UFC Fight Night: Andre Petroski vs. Azamat Bekoev (Middleweight, Prelims)	Azamat Bekoev	BUY	92	60¢	$55	0xc85584…
10-23 18:01:53	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	25	85¢	$22	0x2380ee…
10-23 17:39:59	UFC 333: Abus Magomedov vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)	Abus Magomedov	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x3ae24e…
10-23 17:09:18	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	1	58¢	$0	0x8323c0…
10-23 16:51:11	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x875577…
10-23 16:34:29	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xf07889…
10-23 16:33:11	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x4ca8bc…
10-23 16:32:47	Power Slap 25: Nikica Vujicic vs. Pavol Horelican (Fight 1)	Pavol Horelican	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd6d093…
10-23 16:31:05	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	250	58¢	$145	0x8408a4…
10-23 16:30:42	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	47	58¢	$27	0x920ac6…
10-23 16:21:03	UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Main Card)	Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani	BUY	70	66¢	$46	0x4078e9…
10-23 15:24:11	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe3c36e…
10-23 15:24:11	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x62b1aa…
10-23 15:24:05	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xf82de8…
10-23 15:24:05	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0x661c03…
10-23 15:24:05	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0c73f5…
10-23 15:24:05	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0aae1b…
10-23 15:24:03	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe7d4d0…
10-23 15:24:03	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xc2ad51…
10-23 15:24:03	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1162f9…
10-23 15:23:27	UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Main Card)	Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0xabbf38…
10-23 15:19:29	Will Petr Yan win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0xf12565…
10-23 13:41:35	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x6814d1…
10-23 13:25:06	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	37	85¢	$31	0x6be1cd…
10-23 12:14:26	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xb063e4…
10-23 12:07:23	UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Nurullo Aliev	SELL	250	48¢	$120	0x68c846…
10-23 12:05:42	UFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Kody Steele	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xb4d086…
10-23 12:00:38	Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x355118…
10-23 11:57:02	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs Spirit Academy - Map 2 Winner	Spirit Academy	BUY	87	53¢	$46	0xd89656…
10-23 10:41:11	UFC 333: Abus Magomedov vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)	Abus Magomedov	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x7f1e87…
10-23 10:41:09	UFC 333: Abus Magomedov vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)	Abus Magomedov	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xac2654…
10-23 09:42:50	Next James Bond announced by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	80¢	$11	0x44db8e…
10-23 09:25:54	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	187	92¢	$172	0xfa2ebf…
10-23 09:21:12	Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xf2ee78…
10-23 09:16:32	Will the fight end in a decision or draw?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x2f86e5…
10-23 09:15:33	Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xb43a43…
10-23 09:15:06	Will Shang-Chi die in Avengers: Doomsday?	No	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0xdd334f…
10-23 09:14:56	Will Doctor Strange die in Avengers: Doomsday?	No	BUY	60	66¢	$40	0xc5ceb7…
10-23 09:14:14	Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xe77b38…
10-23 09:14:09	Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x41b6e3…
10-23 09:13:35	Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x1f9305…
10-23 09:12:38	Next James Bond announced by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	80¢	$17	0x734358…
10-23 09:12:38	Next James Bond announced by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x5ed6f2…
10-23 09:11:50	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x0f19ae…
10-23 09:11:32	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	147	56¢	$82	0x28cc56…
10-23 09:06:42	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	600	5¢	$32	0x6b76a6…
10-23 09:04:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x798030…
10-23 09:03:47	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xa15283…
10-23 09:00:48	Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x4b34a3…
10-23 09:00:39	Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	85	94¢	$80	0x608f51…
10-23 08:59:14	Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x3dbc81…
10-23 08:58:57	Will Jack Della Maddalena become UFC champion in 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa74e5d…
10-23 08:57:21	Will Jiří Procházka become UFC champion in 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd51cf0…
10-23 08:57:12	Will Paddy Pimblett become UFC champion in 2026?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x7f9940…
10-23 08:56:03	Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xe9b04b…
10-23 08:53:29	Jacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner engaged in 2026?	No	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x41f072…