bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d12…e1cd2e
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$776
Unrealized P&L
+$48
Hit rate
96.9%
Resolved
15
Trades
1,006
lifetime
Volume
$41.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$2.59K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 17:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
63% 75% +$680
Other
26% 33% $-47
Sports
11% 62% +$143
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -290 $-250 86¢ $-248 +$1 06-08 01:28
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -220 $-213 97¢ $-214 $-1 06-04 21:55
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -200 $-195 98¢ $-197 $-1 06-08 02:33
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +199 $181 92¢ $183 +$2 05-30 15:53
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -190 $-165 88¢ $-166 $-1 06-08 02:12
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No -146 $-143 98¢ $-142 +$0 06-09 12:41
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? No +161 $137 86¢ $137 +$0 06-09 17:36
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -138 $-120 87¢ $-120 $-0 06-03 23:05
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +128 $100 78¢ $99 $-1 06-08 09:10
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +110 $75 80¢ $89 +$13 06-07 12:13
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? No +100 $86 87¢ $87 +$1 05-31 04:02
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +80 $68 89¢ $71 +$3 06-09 17:43
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -70 $-66 97¢ $-68 $-2 06-07 21:08
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026? No +87 $67 77¢ $67 $-0 06-09 17:26
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes -100 $-66 66¢ $-66 $-0 06-07 04:21
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? No +86 $58 76¢ $65 +$6 06-05 03:52
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -85 $-59 68¢ $-57 +$1 06-01 08:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -60 $-50 82¢ $-50 +$0 06-08 02:05
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +70 $47 68¢ $48 +$1 06-09 07:11
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +60 $48 80¢ $48 $-0 06-08 10:22
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -50 $-46 94¢ $-47 $-1 06-02 09:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +50 $35 86¢ $43 +$8 06-02 21:21
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? No +49 $35 84¢ $41 +$7 05-30 12:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +170 $35 24¢ $40 +$5 06-08 09:52
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No +47 $39 84¢ $39 +$0 05-30 13:19
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? No +40 $35 91¢ $36 +$2 06-09 14:48
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? No +50 $36 72¢ $36 +$0 06-07 23:31
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +40 $28 74¢ $29 +$1 06-07 08:41
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +40 $29 73¢ $29 +$0 06-09 08:57
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +40 $26 69¢ $28 +$2 05-31 13:06