bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d12…e1cd2e
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$858
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
70.2%
Resolved
478
Trades
6,202
lifetime
Volume
$186.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$7.90K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 23:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 140 days
Categories
Other
47% 67% +$1,341
Politics
40% 51% -$661
Sports
10% 57% +$165
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Tech
0% 100% +$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 183 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -599 -$497 92¢ $-548 -$51 10-27 23:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +585 $502 88¢ $518 +$16 10-27 18:51
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? No +470 $470 88¢ $411 -$59 10-29 05:45
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? No +396 $292 99¢ $392 +$100 10-06 23:31
Trump out as President before 2027? No -400 -$395 96¢ $-384 +$11 10-11 03:01
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,069 $514 18¢ $367 -$147 10-19 18:27
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +416 $275 82¢ $343 +$68 10-28 08:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -360 -$363 94¢ $-337 +$26 10-19 18:29
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +373 $326 90¢ $334 +$8 10-26 05:27
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +335 $287 88¢ $296 +$8 10-29 17:31
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +319 $228 92¢ $291 +$64 10-28 08:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -300 -$288 96¢ $-289 $0 09-07 15:40
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No -300 -$288 96¢ $-288 -$1 10-12 09:53
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +315 $257 87¢ $274 +$17 10-28 08:27
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +290 $269 93¢ $269 +$0 10-29 05:44
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +279 $257 92¢ $258 +$1 10-29 17:49
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -210 -$207 95¢ $-199 +$8 09-30 18:52
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? No +220 $200 88¢ $194 -$6 10-29 17:30
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -200 -$195 97¢ $-194 +$1 07-22 14:50
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -200 -$189 96¢ $-191 -$2 10-13 02:47
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -200 -$186 95¢ $-190 -$4 06-21 12:33
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,100 $175 17¢ $184 +$8 08-17 21:39
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +179 $157 93¢ $167 +$9 10-24 04:27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -400 -$134 40¢ $-160 -$26 05-27 21:49
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? No +166 $131 92¢ $154 +$23 09-29 16:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +153 $72 98¢ $150 +$78 10-28 01:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +174 $143 82¢ $142 -$2 10-28 01:08
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +173 $248 80¢ $139 -$109 10-28 23:30
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +170 $130 72¢ $122 -$9 10-28 20:53
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -120 -$110 96¢ $-115 -$4 09-20 20:52