bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d12…e1cd2e
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$776
Unrealized P&L
+$92
Hit rate
96.9%
Resolved
15
Trades
1,172
lifetime
Volume
$47.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$5.41K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 00:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
61% 75% +$680
Other
29% 33% $-47
Sports
10% 62% +$143
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30? No -487 $-486 100¢ $-486 +$0 06-30 16:51
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +500 $440 86¢ $430 $-10 06-30 16:51
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No -427 $-418 100¢ $-427 $-8 06-10 08:28
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30? No -290 $-288 100¢ $-289 $-1 06-17 06:53
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +299 $272 93¢ $279 +$7 06-14 15:23
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? No +298 $254 89¢ $265 +$11 06-13 21:12
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? No -260 $-256 100¢ $-259 $-3 06-16 08:44
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -290 $-250 87¢ $-253 $-3 06-08 01:28
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -220 $-213 100¢ $-220 $-6 06-04 21:55
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -200 $-195 100¢ $-200 $-4 06-08 02:33
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -200 $-188 94¢ $-187 +$1 06-28 14:00
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -200 $-186 92¢ $-184 +$2 06-21 12:33
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -190 $-165 90¢ $-172 $-7 06-08 02:12
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +190 $161 85¢ $161 +$0 06-29 17:34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -151 $-204 100¢ $-150 +$54 06-19 21:48
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +198 $155 73¢ $144 $-11 06-18 19:50
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +183 $134 72¢ $132 $-2 06-24 16:57
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -138 $-120 90¢ $-124 $-3 06-03 23:05
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026? No +124 $93 100¢ $124 +$31 06-11 22:31
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +130 $111 90¢ $116 +$6 06-21 06:30
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +250 $126 44¢ $111 $-15 06-17 18:07
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +140 $105 80¢ $111 +$6 06-30 00:50
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +100 $87 88¢ $88 +$2 06-24 11:29
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +87 $75 92¢ $81 +$5 06-20 14:14
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +80 $68 99¢ $79 +$11 06-09 17:43
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? No +93 $63 83¢ $77 +$14 06-12 11:12
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No -70 $-69 99¢ $-70 $-0 06-28 10:44
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -70 $-66 99¢ $-70 $-4 06-07 21:08
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? No +70 $60 94¢ $66 +$5 06-15 15:03
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? No +60 $44 99¢ $59 +$15 06-22 01:08