bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d12…e1cd2e
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$776
Unrealized P&L
+$172
Hit rate
96.9%
Resolved
15
Trades
1,446
lifetime
Volume
$56.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$5.01K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 06:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
59% 75% +$680
Other
31% 33% $-47
Sports
10% 62% +$143
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -600 $-539 90¢ $-537 +$2 07-16 04:54
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +470 $383 80¢ $378 $-5 07-21 14:46
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +350 $299 92¢ $320 +$21 07-16 02:04
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +363 $268 79¢ $287 +$19 07-18 19:19
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? No +307 $262 88¢ $269 +$7 07-21 05:33
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -290 $-250 88¢ $-254 $-4 06-08 01:28
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -200 $-188 94¢ $-188 +$0 06-28 14:00
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -200 $-186 93¢ $-186 +$0 06-21 12:33
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +200 $181 92¢ $185 +$4 07-05 12:15
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +200 $180 90¢ $181 +$1 07-09 23:41
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +190 $161 90¢ $170 +$9 06-29 17:34
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No -170 $-144 89¢ $-151 $-7 07-04 23:38
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -160 $-149 94¢ $-150 $-1 07-17 22:21
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +200 $133 70¢ $141 +$8 07-15 01:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +170 $129 78¢ $133 +$4 07-16 00:22
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -138 $-120 92¢ $-127 $-7 06-03 23:05
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +166 $130 76¢ $127 $-3 07-12 11:21
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +180 $113 70¢ $125 +$12 07-10 02:30
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +140 $105 88¢ $123 +$19 06-30 00:50
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? No +138 $98 84¢ $117 +$19 07-09 03:44
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +122 $103 93¢ $113 +$11 07-12 19:50
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? No +100 $91 92¢ $92 +$0 07-05 22:38
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +100 $89 91¢ $91 +$2 07-20 15:31
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +100 $87 90¢ $90 +$4 06-24 11:29
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +100 $85 87¢ $87 +$1 07-15 21:10
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No -102 $-73 82¢ $-84 $-11 07-09 21:26
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +87 $75 96¢ $83 +$8 06-20 14:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +174 $30 46¢ $79 +$49 07-13 20:22
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +90 $65 78¢ $71 +$5 07-19 22:33
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +76 $62 90¢ $68 +$6 07-18 14:08