Sugary-Dessert — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$123

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,985

lifetime

Volume

$186.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-08 07:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

48% — —

Politics

27% — —

Crypto

12% — —

Sports

11% 33% $-123

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	63	$11.1K	16,061	0	+16,061	open	—	01-03 07:08
si hit 90 high jan 2026 157 295 494	75	$8.5K	5,823	3,023	+2,800	open	—	01-15 08:22
will silver si hit high 140 by end of january 438 122 492	43	$8.0K	5,016	3,199	+1,817	open	—	01-30 04:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	17	$6.2K	7,000	0	+7,000	open	—	03-27 18:17
will pltr close below 186 week january 2 2026	1	$6.0K	6,049	0	+6,049	open	—	01-02 17:02
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	6	$5.8K	2,990	2,990	+0	open	—	03-15 16:33
will trump visit greenland by march 31	63	$4.4K	2,728	2,499	+229	open	—	02-03 03:37
Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	22	$4.2K	3,011	1,965	+1,046	open	—	05-02 03:50
will the charlotte hornets make the nba playoffs 311	88	$4.2K	3,827	3,655	+172	open	—	04-16 04:33
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	12	$4.2K	1,827	3,032	-1,206	open	—	01-24 02:34
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	9	$4.1K	2,166	2,166	+0	open	—	04-16 04:47
will the boston celtics finish as the 1 seed in the 20252026 nba eastern conference	3	$4.0K	2,041	2,041	+0	open	—	04-04 02:53
will kuwait strike iran by march 31	8	$3.9K	2,325	2,325	+0	open	—	03-17 06:18
will trump meet with giorgia meloni in january 2026	28	$3.9K	1,981	1,981	+0	open	—	01-29 18:38
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?	48	$3.4K	2,548	2,129	+419	open	—	01-23 15:13
will trump talk to nicols maduro in january	13	$3.4K	1,792	1,792	+0	open	—	01-18 23:53
Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	16	$3.4K	1,701	1,701	+0	open	—	03-22 02:15
Iran leadership change by March 13?	6	$3.2K	1,710	1,710	+0	open	—	03-15 03:17
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	15	$3.1K	2,382	1,000	+1,382	open	—	01-30 16:48
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	32	$3.0K	3,277	3,387	-110	open	—	01-15 23:50
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	23	$2.9K	1,683	1,785	-102	open	—	02-10 02:24
will jessica pegula win the 2026 womens australian open	17	$2.8K	1,460	1,460	+0	open	—	01-29 14:54
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?	51	$2.8K	5,689	4,945	+744	open	—	01-31 17:01
gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	21	$2.8K	2,868	0	+2,868	open	—	01-30 04:56
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	8	$2.8K	2,197	2,131	+66	open	—	02-25 12:55
bitcoin outperforms sp 500 in december	1	$2.3K	0	2,414	-2,414	open	—	01-01 00:28
will qatar strike iran by march 31	8	$2.2K	1,496	1,496	+0	open	—	03-17 06:18
will trump visit china by march 31	28	$2.1K	2,289	2,289	+0	open	—	03-17 01:49
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	11	$2.1K	1,241	1,241	-0	open	—	02-05 05:39
will the atlanta hawks make the nba playoffs 928	17	$2.0K	1,671	2,165	-494	open	—	03-20 04:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 07:29:42	Will Aljamain Sterling become UFC champion in 2026?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$28	0xaf5e33…
06-10 05:57:19	Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x96b850…
06-10 03:50:16	Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xbc91f8…
05-29 15:23:23	Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?	No	SELL	358	91¢	$325	0x2defcb…
05-28 17:09:54	Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xa4717f…
05-26 08:05:56	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	430	4¢	$17	0xe52c5f…
05-13 10:16:37	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xb0680f…
05-12 23:39:07	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xf50333…
05-12 21:55:56	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	423	51¢	$217	0x7cac80…
05-12 21:50:27	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	1,384	83¢	$1,142	0xa8229f…
05-11 04:53:11	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0x214873…
05-10 04:28:26	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0x1a1a86…
05-10 04:27:40	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0x385c87…
05-10 04:25:27	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xa63c0e…
05-10 04:25:27	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	SELL	82	50¢	$41	0x7c65b0…
05-10 04:25:24	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x24e7d5…
05-10 04:03:26	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0xd4f999…
05-10 04:02:49	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xf21c3c…
05-09 12:51:32	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xe8fdbc…
05-09 12:51:15	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x9da31d…
05-09 12:26:33	UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)	Jeremy Stephens	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x2b6a5d…
05-09 12:23:18	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xc2cbff…
05-09 12:20:08	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Sean Brady	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xee2e23…
05-09 12:19:57	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xd8262b…
05-09 11:58:57	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x45bd7a…
05-09 11:58:43	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xeef406…
05-09 11:51:12	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	121	82¢	$99	0xc4d8dc…
05-06 13:09:04	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3b370e…
05-06 13:08:18	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x3f1c99…
05-06 13:02:32	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xf84288…
05-02 03:50:24	Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	153	99¢	$151	0x45cb3f…
05-02 03:28:22	Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x466c90…
05-02 03:26:34	Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	385	99¢	$381	0xa8051e…
05-02 03:25:40	Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	231	98¢	$227	0xc598be…
05-02 03:25:14	Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	231	99¢	$228	0x3c7d5a…
05-02 03:24:38	Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	615	98¢	$603	0x3c3ea8…
05-02 03:23:08	Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	300	97¢	$291	0xf3d1eb…
05-02 03:23:04	Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	37	96¢	$36	0x3b3919…
05-02 03:22:58	Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x272168…
05-02 02:31:38	Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	405	74¢	$300	0x3dc117…
05-02 02:25:32	Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	405	74¢	$300	0xcb6add…
05-02 02:24:38	Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	405	74¢	$300	0x2df71f…
05-02 02:24:28	Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	405	74¢	$300	0xeaa42e…
05-02 02:23:58	Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	405	74¢	$300	0xe3a810…
05-02 02:23:42	Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0x15d83b…
05-02 02:23:14	Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xf19113…
05-02 02:22:58	Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x738026…
05-02 02:22:24	Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x5d8a48…
05-02 02:20:22	Will Toronto Raptors advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xca69a4…
05-02 02:19:16	Will Toronto Raptors advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x9a8f34…
05-02 02:18:52	Will Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	1,482	9¢	$134	0xcd26c0…
05-01 02:48:58	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlos Prates	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x0c98fe…
05-01 02:47:52	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlos Prates	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xe81394…
05-01 02:41:20	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x2a0b2c…
05-01 02:39:00	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x49ed19…
04-30 01:27:50	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	SELL	109	7¢	$7	0xf5b68e…
04-29 15:25:54	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlos Prates	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0xd3fdc9…
04-29 02:16:04	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x161e96…
04-29 02:15:14	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xd05bc5…
04-29 02:11:58	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0x1e3294…
04-29 02:07:54	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x294f2f…
04-27 12:29:10	Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	68	87¢	$59	0xd71179…
04-27 08:21:34	Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xca0c9d…
04-27 06:30:24	Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xcb0bbd…
04-27 02:08:56	Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x4e73ff…
04-24 07:41:46	Will Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	520	13¢	$67	0xb65df8…
04-24 02:11:04	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	171	36¢	$61	0x6fcec3…
04-18 03:21:22	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Warriors	SELL	71	42¢	$30	0xdc1ae2…
04-18 02:24:18	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Warriors	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x8fb29d…
04-18 02:22:28	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Warriors	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x9e5640…
04-18 02:18:00	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Warriors	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x96a7dc…
04-17 13:14:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,600	35¢	$561	0x17c6d1…
04-17 09:36:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	600	73¢	$438	0xaa68e7…
04-17 09:22:10	Will Toronto Raptors advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xa6b495…
04-17 09:20:12	Will Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xe7f8d6…
04-17 09:18:22	Will Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x930063…
04-17 06:43:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	500	74¢	$370	0x40715f…
04-17 06:41:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	300	74¢	$222	0xf99a89…
04-17 06:39:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x4e69db…
04-16 04:47:20	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	2,166	100¢	$2,164	0x41d8b1…
04-16 04:33:38	will the charlotte hornets make the nba playoffs 311	No	SELL	35	38¢	$13	0xb7468c…
04-16 04:30:24	will the orlando magic make the nba playoffs 794	No	SELL	623	56¢	$351	0x4624d1…
04-16 04:27:08	will the orlando magic make the nba playoffs 794	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xe254c5…
04-16 02:04:04	will the orlando magic make the nba playoffs 794	No	SELL	24	40¢	$10	0xd1a6b6…
04-16 02:00:24	will the orlando magic make the nba playoffs 794	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xedb40a…
04-16 01:59:56	will the orlando magic make the nba playoffs 794	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xdc6cf9…
04-16 01:35:18	will the philadelphia 76ers make the nba playoffs 553	No	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xd468ca…
04-16 01:35:10	will the philadelphia 76ers make the nba playoffs 553	No	SELL	43	20¢	$9	0x70e3d6…
04-16 01:32:12	will the philadelphia 76ers make the nba playoffs 553	No	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x87fa75…
04-16 01:32:02	will the philadelphia 76ers make the nba playoffs 553	No	SELL	41	15¢	$6	0x4a5ffa…
04-16 01:21:22	will the philadelphia 76ers make the nba playoffs 553	No	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0xe0425e…
04-16 01:18:48	will the philadelphia 76ers make the nba playoffs 553	No	SELL	41	26¢	$11	0xfec395…
04-16 00:35:08	will the orlando magic make the nba playoffs 794	No	SELL	155	28¢	$44	0xed895c…
04-15 02:27:24	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	566	97¢	$550	0x90f995…
04-15 02:22:52	will the miami heat make the nba playoffs 867	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x0c472b…
04-15 02:22:42	will the miami heat make the nba playoffs 867	No	SELL	107	97¢	$104	0xb27147…
04-15 02:22:42	will the miami heat make the nba playoffs 867	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x954c71…
04-15 02:16:14	will the miami heat make the nba playoffs 867	No	SELL	146	97¢	$142	0x6b2825…
04-15 01:41:52	will the miami heat make the nba playoffs 867	No	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0xcdce27…
04-15 01:12:00	will the miami heat make the nba playoffs 867	No	SELL	581	75¢	$436	0x47e630…