Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?
open
Total volume
$431
Trades
52
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$187
Latest YES mid
29¢
Latest NO mid
71¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-30
last 08-07 22:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+61.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $46
vs crowd: 39% YES on $318)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $49 | $65 | $16 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $5 | $120 | $114 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $13 | $1 | +$12 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | $56 | $8 | +$48 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $46 | — | +$46 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $11 | $65 | $55 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $5 | $1 | +$5 |
| Median | 2 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| Below median | 5 | $33 | — | +$33 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $120 | $120 |
| unranked | 5 | $16 | $8 | +$8 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonely-Bog 0xe542…0a37 | Yes | +350 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-19 06:01 |
| Faint-Pork 0x6b3a…2841 | No | +129 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 07-25 17:06 |
| Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | +100 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 07-25 23:19 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +80 | $8 | $10 | 4 | 08-07 22:01 |
| Radiant-Divide 0x7df6…ac3b | No | +73 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 08-07 22:01 |
| Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | Yes | +67 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-18 15:12 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +62 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 08-05 08:49 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | +48 | $4 | $7 | 10 | 08-07 22:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-25 17:06 |
| Measly-Downforce 0xa450…7a2a | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-20 02:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-24 21:39 |
| Jumpy-Cyclamen 0x9fe7…95c3 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-23 13:25 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 21:44 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-24 22:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xf23e…fab9 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-27 15:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 22:01:37 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xbc21a9… |
| 08-07 22:01:37 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xbc21a9… |
| 08-07 22:01:37 | Radiant-Divide 0x7df6…ac3b | No | BUY | 73 | 88¢ | $64 | 0xbc21a9… |
| 08-05 08:49:08 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xe5e1da… |
| 08-05 08:49:08 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xe5e1da… |
| 08-05 08:49:08 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe5e1da… |
| 07-27 15:42:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x906820… |
| 07-27 15:42:15 | (anonymous) 0xf23e…fab9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x906820… |
| 07-25 23:19:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 29 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xdc3b1d… |
| 07-25 23:19:30 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xdc3b1d… |
| 07-25 23:19:30 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xdc3b1d… |
| 07-25 17:06:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x8ae0b4… |
| 07-25 17:06:13 | Faint-Pork 0x6b3a…2841 | No | BUY | 129 | 93¢ | $120 | 0x8ae0b4… |
| 07-25 17:06:13 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8ae0b4… |
| 07-25 17:06:13 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 44 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x8ae0b4… |
| 07-25 17:06:13 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x8ae0b4… |
| 07-24 22:30:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 3 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x0bc679… |
| 07-24 22:30:58 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 3 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x0bc679… |
| 07-24 21:39:58 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa70aba… |
| 07-24 21:39:58 | Mediocre-Finger 0x5173…c07c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xa70aba… |
| 07-24 21:39:58 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa70aba… |
| 07-24 21:39:58 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa70aba… |
| 07-24 21:39:58 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xa70aba… |
| 07-23 13:25:48 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x4d2acb… |
| 07-23 13:25:48 | Jumpy-Cyclamen 0x9fe7…95c3 | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x4d2acb… |
| 07-20 02:22:21 | Measly-Downforce 0xa450…7a2a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x5a9fb8… |
| 07-20 02:22:21 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x5a9fb8… |
| 07-14 04:41:04 | Sharp-Usage 0x9fbb…77ee | Yes | SELL | 49 | 16¢ | $8 | 0xa7a431… |
| 07-14 04:41:04 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 18¢ | $12 | 0xa7a431… |
| 07-14 04:41:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 25¢ | $4 | 0xa7a431… |
| 07-09 07:32:07 | Criminal-Repayment 0xbade…b0d9 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 15¢ | $7 | 0xf034e5… |
| 07-09 07:32:07 | Sharp-Usage 0x9fbb…77ee | Yes | BUY | 49 | 15¢ | $7 | 0xf034e5… |
| 06-25 17:34:59 | Criminal-Repayment 0xbade…b0d9 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xab0a7a… |
| 06-25 17:34:59 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xab0a7a… |
| 06-25 17:34:59 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xab0a7a… |
| 06-25 17:33:16 | Criminal-Repayment 0xbade…b0d9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x45b615… |
| 06-25 17:33:16 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x45b615… |
| 06-19 06:01:17 | Flat-Wok 0xe523…f087 | Yes | SELL | 401 | 13¢ | $51 | 0xa10d14… |
| 06-19 06:01:17 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | SELL | 7 | 81¢ | $6 | 0xa10d14… |
| 06-19 06:01:17 | Mediocre-Finger 0x5173…c07c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0xa10d14… |
| 06-19 06:01:17 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 7 | 81¢ | $6 | 0xa10d14… |
| 06-19 06:01:17 | Lonely-Bog 0xe542…0a37 | Yes | BUY | 350 | 12¢ | $42 | 0xa10d14… |
| 06-19 06:01:17 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa10d14… |
| 06-18 15:12:38 | Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 30¢ | $10 | 0x405a4e… |
| 06-18 15:12:38 | Flat-Wok 0xe523…f087 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 30¢ | $10 | 0x405a4e… |
| 06-18 15:01:34 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0xdd0c41… |
| 06-18 15:01:34 | Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 30¢ | $10 | 0xdd0c41… |
| 06-18 15:01:34 | Flat-Wok 0xe523…f087 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 30¢ | $8 | 0xdd0c41… |
| 06-03 21:44:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x77e95c… |
| 06-03 21:44:31 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 3 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x77e95c… |
| 05-30 12:15:42 | Shameless-Legacy 0x3d6e…db2d | Yes | SELL | 3 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xbbf574… |
| 05-30 12:15:42 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 3 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xbbf574… |