Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?
open
Total volume
$207
Trades
27
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$187
Latest YES mid
47¢
Latest NO mid
53¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-20 02:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+5.8¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $42
vs crowd: 94% YES on $103)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $43 | — | +$43 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | — | +— |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $5 | $1 | +$4 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $50 | $5 | +$45 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $42 | — | +$42 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Below median | 3 | $25 | — | +$25 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| unranked | 3 | $12 | $5 | +$7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonely-Bog 0xe542…0a37 | Yes | +350 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-19 06:01 |
| Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | Yes | +67 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-18 15:12 |
| Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | +65 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-14 04:41 |
| Mediocre-Finger 0x5173…c07c | Yes | +30 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-19 06:01 |
| Measly-Downforce 0xa450…7a2a | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-20 02:22 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-20 02:22 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 21:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 02:22:21 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x5a9fb8… |
| 07-20 02:22:21 | Measly-Downforce 0xa450…7a2a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x5a9fb8… |
| 07-14 04:41:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 25¢ | $4 | 0xa7a431… |
| 07-14 04:41:04 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 18¢ | $12 | 0xa7a431… |
| 07-14 04:41:04 | Sharp-Usage 0x9fbb…77ee | Yes | SELL | 49 | 16¢ | $8 | 0xa7a431… |
| 07-09 07:32:07 | Sharp-Usage 0x9fbb…77ee | Yes | BUY | 49 | 15¢ | $7 | 0xf034e5… |
| 07-09 07:32:07 | Criminal-Repayment 0xbade…b0d9 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 15¢ | $7 | 0xf034e5… |
| 06-25 17:34:59 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xab0a7a… |
| 06-25 17:34:59 | Criminal-Repayment 0xbade…b0d9 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xab0a7a… |
| 06-25 17:34:59 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xab0a7a… |
| 06-25 17:33:16 | Criminal-Repayment 0xbade…b0d9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x45b615… |
| 06-25 17:33:16 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x45b615… |
| 06-19 06:01:17 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | SELL | 7 | 81¢ | $6 | 0xa10d14… |
| 06-19 06:01:17 | Flat-Wok 0xe523…f087 | Yes | SELL | 401 | 13¢ | $51 | 0xa10d14… |
| 06-19 06:01:17 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa10d14… |
| 06-19 06:01:17 | Lonely-Bog 0xe542…0a37 | Yes | BUY | 350 | 12¢ | $42 | 0xa10d14… |
| 06-19 06:01:17 | Mediocre-Finger 0x5173…c07c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0xa10d14… |
| 06-19 06:01:17 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 7 | 81¢ | $6 | 0xa10d14… |
| 06-18 15:12:38 | Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 30¢ | $10 | 0x405a4e… |
| 06-18 15:12:38 | Flat-Wok 0xe523…f087 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 30¢ | $10 | 0x405a4e… |
| 06-18 15:01:34 | Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 30¢ | $10 | 0xdd0c41… |
| 06-18 15:01:34 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0xdd0c41… |
| 06-18 15:01:34 | Flat-Wok 0xe523…f087 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 30¢ | $8 | 0xdd0c41… |
| 06-03 21:44:31 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 3 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x77e95c… |
| 06-03 21:44:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x77e95c… |
| 05-30 12:15:42 | Shameless-Legacy 0x3d6e…db2d | Yes | SELL | 3 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xbbf574… |
| 05-30 12:15:42 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 3 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xbbf574… |