Realized P&L
+$197
Unrealized P&L
-$165
Hit rate
67.8%
Resolved
430
Trades
1,944
lifetime
Volume
$38.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$4.39K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 10-26 16:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 116 days
Categories
Other
41% 37% -$360
Crypto
29% 62% +$340
Tech
19% 50% +$250
Sports
7% 26% -$10
Politics
5% 43% -$22
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +2,948 $1,927 64¢ $1.9K -$26 10-26 16:30
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No -399 -$290 96¢ $-384 -$95 09-23 04:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -222 -$217 96¢ $-213 +$4 08-19 07:14
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +261 $215 81¢ $211 -$3 10-26 16:26
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No -155 -$139 98¢ $-152 -$13 05-24 15:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -147 -$144 98¢ $-143 +$1 09-15 02:22
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -140 -$130 97¢ $-135 -$5 06-18 15:26
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -135 -$148 97¢ $-132 +$16 09-10 03:35
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -114 -$95 90¢ $-102 -$7 05-06 04:17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +108 $153 91¢ $98 -$56 10-26 16:38
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -106 -$35 88¢ $-93 -$58 06-18 15:21
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -89 -$107 97¢ $-86 +$21 09-12 09:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +178 $95 38¢ $69 -$26 10-26 09:50
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +69 $61 92¢ $63 +$3 10-26 09:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -60 -$80 97¢ $-59 +$22 09-21 11:12
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? Yes +71 $19 82¢ $58 +$39 10-26 09:35
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +91 $41 56¢ $51 +$11 10-21 02:31
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +143 $46 33¢ $47 +$1 10-26 09:36
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -44 -$41 98¢ $-43 -$2 05-16 18:16
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -41 -$38 96¢ $-40 -$2 05-22 17:08
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +177 $22 22¢ $39 +$17 10-09 01:57
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +87 $30 42¢ $36 +$6 09-15 02:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -37 -$38 98¢ $-36 +$2 09-15 01:46
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +211 $25 16¢ $34 +$9 10-09 02:06
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes +583 $45 6¢ $32 -$13 10-22 15:20
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +72 $40 40¢ $28 -$12 10-26 09:50
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -30 -$22 94¢ $-28 -$6 05-22 18:10
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +362 $15 7¢ $25 +$10 09-12 09:20
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? Yes +151 $25 16¢ $25 $0 09-15 02:37
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No -23 -$20 96¢ $-22 -$2 06-20 20:42