Measly-Downforce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$92

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$458

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 07-29 16:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

41% 0% $-95

Other

31% — —

Politics

22% 100% +$3

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$80	96	+96	Sean Strickland	$-80	05-05 05:55
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	1	$50	85	+85	open	—	07-29 16:10
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	2	$20	29	+29	open	—	03-17 01:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$15	25	+25	open	—	04-28 20:34
f1 australian grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 07	1	$10	33	+33	open	—	03-06 03:40
f1 australian grand prix driver pole position leclerc 2026 03 07	1	$10	19	+19	open	—	03-06 03:42
trump out as president by march 31	1	$10	270	+270	open	—	01-26 04:11
will sinners win best original score at the 98th academy awards	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-14 01:04
Fight to Go the Distance?	1	$10	14	+14	Yes	$-10	05-05 05:47
will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	01-26 04:12
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	07-20 02:07
f1 australian grand prix red flag 2026 03 07	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	03-06 03:44
f1 japanese grand prix h2h colapinto vs gasly 2026 03 29	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	03-19 05:09
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$5	15	+15	open	—	03-06 03:49
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	1	$5	8	+8	Yes	+$3	01-26 04:10
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	03-10 01:03
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$5	17	+17	open	—	03-11 04:20
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$5	17	+17	open	—	03-06 03:57
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$5	28	+28	open	—	03-06 03:51
will i lied to you sinners win best original song at the 98th academy awards	1	$5	39	+39	open	—	03-14 01:02
will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in march 2026	1	$5	14	+14	open	—	03-01 16:28
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$5	11	+11	open	—	03-06 03:50
will sinners win best sound at the 98th academy awards	1	$5	32	+32	open	—	03-14 01:03
will shame be said at the oscars	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	03-14 01:09
minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	1	$5	14	+14	open	—	01-26 04:11
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	03-14 01:00
will one battle after another win 3 or fewer awards at the oscars	1	$5	56	+56	open	—	03-14 01:08
ufc san1 sam2 2026 07 25	1	$5	20	+20	open	—	07-20 02:14
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	1	$5	14	+14	No	$-5	05-05 05:47
ufc ram10 ste14 2026 07 25	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	07-20 02:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 16:10:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xaafd72…
07-22 22:44:58	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x172451…
07-20 02:23:00	Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x1758ae…
07-20 02:22:21	Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x5a9fb8…
07-20 02:15:55	ufc jan nav 2026 08 01	Jan Blachowicz	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x33cf32…
07-20 02:15:21	ufc dan7 uro 2026 08 01	Uroš Medic	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x094ec6…
07-20 02:14:55	ufc san1 sam2 2026 07 25	Santiago Ponzinibbio	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd97ca1…
07-20 02:14:27	ufc ram10 ste14 2026 07 25	Steve Erceg	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6a1716…
07-20 02:09:31	will anthropic remove paid plan access for fable 5 by july 31 2026 20260713185755112	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x707528…
07-20 02:07:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xe17679…
07-20 02:07:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xea827a…
07-20 01:53:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa82a94…
07-20 01:52:37	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x74ca2c…
07-20 01:44:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe9b4a9…
07-15 05:39:01	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xefbdeb…
05-05 05:55:32	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	84	83¢	$70	0xf01d4e…
05-05 05:47:28	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xab8b77…
05-05 05:47:14	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x41c91c…
05-05 05:46:42	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xd2ee7e…
04-28 20:34:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x2877fc…
04-28 20:33:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x19cca5…
04-19 00:53:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x6c2027…
03-19 05:10:11	f1 japanese grand prix h2h ocon vs bearman 2026 03 29	Bearman	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xfe6a0b…
03-19 05:09:33	f1 japanese grand prix h2h colapinto vs gasly 2026 03 29	Colapinto	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x450c8d…
03-19 05:07:33	f1 japanese grand prix safety car 2026 03 29	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x92859f…
03-19 05:07:01	f1 japanese grand prix winner russell 2026 03 29	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x3cfe73…
03-17 01:47:33	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x1bf415…
03-14 05:43:45	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xa18441…
03-14 01:09:47	will shame be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xed52f1…
03-14 01:08:39	will one battle after another win 3 or fewer awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xd502d9…
03-14 01:07:29	will sinners win 3 or fewer awards at the oscars	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc44e1f…
03-14 01:04:39	will sinners win best original score at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x80617c…
03-14 01:03:53	will sinners win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x262737…
03-14 01:03:35	will sinners win best sound at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x001de0…
03-14 01:03:07	will sinners win best casting at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe78899…
03-14 01:02:43	will i lied to you sinners win best original song at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x4dbe3c…
03-14 01:00:39	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xec40ab…
03-14 00:58:25	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x83966e…
03-14 00:52:15	Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x7d0f42…
03-14 00:51:25	military action against iran ends by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd560fc…
03-14 00:49:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb34697…
03-11 04:20:57	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xdd44e6…
03-10 01:03:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x60e898…
03-06 03:57:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xca0edf…
03-06 03:54:19	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xe8b13a…
03-06 03:53:55	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xa010fe…
03-06 03:53:25	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x29af14…
03-06 03:51:43	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xb18d27…
03-06 03:50:31	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x113f73…
03-06 03:49:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x519fe6…
03-06 03:44:37	f1 australian grand prix red flag 2026 03 07	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3951a1…
03-06 03:43:49	f1 australian grand prix driver fastest lap verstappen 2026 03 07	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xdc2c39…
03-06 03:43:19	f1 australian grand prix constructor scores 1st mercedes 2026 03 07	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb34709…
03-06 03:42:21	f1 australian grand prix driver pole position leclerc 2026 03 07	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x5e50e9…
03-06 03:40:21	f1 australian grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 07	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x0facc8…
03-01 16:28:33	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in march 2026	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xf7afb5…
01-26 05:19:50	ufc dan6 ben8 2026 01 31	Saint Denis	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc6bfc4…
01-26 05:19:24	ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	Volkanovski	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc91826…
01-26 05:15:06	will the us strike somalia next 656	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe80de0…
01-26 04:12:44	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xed34ae…
01-26 04:12:06	will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x629009…
01-26 04:11:38	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	BUY	270	4¢	$10	0x6ca9de…
01-26 04:11:14	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x757b87…
01-26 04:10:58	will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x897c1d…
01-26 04:10:28	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x0dd42a…