Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026? open
← all wallets
Total volume
$856
$1,425 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$2,895
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-06-10
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 16:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -0.1¢ (top1%: 0% YES on $238 vs crowd: 0% YES on $855)
By volume tier
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🐋 Whale 1 — $167 $167
🐬 Dolphin 5 — $448 $448
🐟 Fish 4 — $234 $234
🦐 Shrimp 3 $1 $5 $4
By P&L percentile
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🎯 Top 1% 1 — $238 $238
🏆 Top 5% 3 — $60 $60
✅ Top 10% 1 — $5 $5
Median 2 — $117 $117
⚠️ Bottom 10% 1 — $5 $5
🔻 Bottom 5% 3 — $430 $430
unranked 2 $1 — +$1
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
Wallet Side Net shares Cost basis Volume Trades Last activity
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f No +254 $238 $238 5 05-16 14:16
Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 No +183 $167 $167 4 05-16 14:16
Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 No +160 $150 $150 1 05-14 14:53
Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 No +120 $112 $112 5 05-15 14:11
Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e No +120 $112 $112 4 05-14 14:56
Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 No +30 $27 $27 1 05-14 01:17
Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 No +30 $28 $28 1 05-16 16:26
Verifiable-Geography 0x0c15…03de Yes +8 $1 $1 1 05-14 19:48
Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 No +5 $5 $5 1 05-14 14:53
Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 No +5 $5 $5 1 05-14 14:53
Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b No +5 $5 $5 1 05-14 14:56
Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 No +5 $4 $4 1 05-16 01:03