Realized P&L
+$18.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.44K
Hit rate
65.5%
Resolved
54,991
Trades
211,372
lifetime
Volume
$2.48M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$32.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 10-27 07:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 165 days
Categories
Other
89% 57% +$17,320
Politics
7% 67% -$376
Sports
3% 61% +$1,461
Crypto
1% 54% -$60
Tech
0% 63% -$467
Pop-Culture
0% 78% +$99
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2978 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,783 $2,774 99¢ $2.8K -$8 10-27 07:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,453 $1,925 94¢ $2.3K +$368 10-27 02:22
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,018 $2,039 64¢ $1.9K -$96 10-26 13:39
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,437 $1,654 70¢ $1.7K +$40 10-27 06:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,671 $1,662 100¢ $1.7K +$3 10-27 02:22
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +1,595 $1,167 84¢ $1.3K +$165 10-27 00:48
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +1,323 $1,028 97¢ $1.3K +$252 10-27 04:36
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,339 $1,166 92¢ $1.2K +$59 09-11 13:20
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,243 $1,238 97¢ $1.2K -$34 10-19 11:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,194 $1,187 100¢ $1.2K +$6 10-26 17:13
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,093 $1,089 100¢ $1.1K +$2 09-13 21:51
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +1,195 $999 90¢ $1.1K +$82 10-26 19:29
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +1,078 $675 98¢ $1.1K +$381 10-26 11:21
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +1,053 $835 98¢ $1.0K +$202 10-17 03:04
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,865 $795 36¢ $1.0K +$222 10-27 03:21
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2,018 $1,090 46¢ $920 -$170 10-24 07:10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +890 $872 99¢ $885 +$13 10-25 08:56
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,267 $905 68¢ $868 -$37 10-26 11:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +834 $829 99¢ $827 -$2 10-25 09:12
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,479 $773 30¢ $756 -$17 10-27 07:08
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +777 $711 92¢ $719 +$8 10-23 08:15
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +994 $794 72¢ $711 -$84 10-26 23:55
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,287 $515 55¢ $701 +$186 10-25 22:42
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +667 $644 96¢ $640 -$4 10-24 07:56
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +823 $640 76¢ $630 -$10 09-14 04:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +762 $573 78¢ $598 +$25 10-23 09:45
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +720 $586 83¢ $597 +$11 10-27 06:12
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +592 $591 100¢ $591 $0 10-26 12:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +602 $590 97¢ $586 -$4 10-22 11:48
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,740 $701 34¢ $583 -$118 10-22 02:37