Realized P&L
+$18.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.13K
Hit rate
66.3%
Resolved
61,078
Trades
237,883
lifetime
Volume
$2.74M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$27.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 11-12 14:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 181 days
Categories
Other
87% 57% +$16,823
Politics
9% 65% -$369
Sports
3% 61% +$1,267
Crypto
1% 55% -$55
Tech
0% 65% +$351
Pop-Culture
0% 78% +$101
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2978 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,918 $3,973 66¢ $3.9K -$94 11-10 03:29
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,835 $1,735 34¢ $2.0K +$278 11-09 22:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,111 $2,069 94¢ $2.0K -$94 11-12 15:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,706 $1,319 97¢ $1.7K +$332 11-10 13:30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,419 $1,397 100¢ $1.4K +$16 11-10 13:30
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +1,328 $1,081 99¢ $1.3K +$238 11-11 21:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,265 $1,259 100¢ $1.3K +$3 11-10 13:30
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,254 $1,248 100¢ $1.2K -$1 11-06 14:58
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +879 $594 94¢ $826 +$232 11-11 14:06
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +818 $812 99¢ $812 +$1 11-12 15:28
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien end in a draw? No +988 $576 78¢ $776 +$200 11-11 17:04
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +819 $724 91¢ $745 +$21 11-12 03:25
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +734 $733 100¢ $733 $0 11-11 14:44
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +797 $342 89¢ $709 +$367 11-12 15:28
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on November 12? Yes -710 -$743 100¢ $-709 +$35 11-12 13:48
Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-11-14? No +676 $665 100¢ $674 +$9 11-11 21:14
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,071 $201 62¢ $659 +$458 11-06 11:06
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? No +607 $515 99¢ $603 +$88 11-08 09:04
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +916 $711 62¢ $572 -$139 11-09 01:48
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +568 $567 100¢ $567 +$1 11-05 15:35
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +497 $313 99¢ $493 +$180 11-04 15:51
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +492 $485 99¢ $489 +$4 11-12 15:28
Will Huddersfield Town AFC win on 2026-11-14? No +479 $471 99¢ $476 +$5 11-12 11:26
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? No +473 $432 100¢ $472 +$40 11-11 14:14
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +464 $330 100¢ $462 +$133 11-03 22:49
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,040 $790 43¢ $448 -$342 11-06 14:58
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +445 $335 99¢ $442 +$107 10-28 05:15
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +437 $379 99¢ $435 +$55 11-04 04:59
Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +434 $433 99¢ $429 -$4 11-08 20:37
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +511 $421 84¢ $427 +$6 11-10 21:01