Realized P&L
+$18.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.36K
Hit rate
66.3%
Resolved
61,682
Trades
239,773
lifetime
Volume
$2.76M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$28.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 11-15 08:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 184 days
Categories
Other
87% 58% +$16,846
Politics
9% 65% -$425
Sports
3% 61% +$1,267
Crypto
1% 55% -$28
Tech
0% 65% +$351
Pop-Culture
0% 78% +$101
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2978 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,918 $3,973 65¢ $3.8K -$139 11-10 03:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,463 $2,388 91¢ $2.2K -$152 11-14 10:03
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,835 $1,735 34¢ $2.0K +$278 11-09 22:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,991 $1,597 96¢ $1.9K +$323 11-14 10:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,821 $1,798 100¢ $1.8K +$16 11-14 10:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,419 $1,413 100¢ $1.4K +$3 11-13 18:12
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +1,328 $1,081 99¢ $1.3K +$239 11-11 21:50
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,254 $1,248 100¢ $1.2K +$1 11-06 14:58
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +879 $594 95¢ $832 +$238 11-11 14:06
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +818 $812 99¢ $812 +$1 11-12 15:28
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,096 $216 70¢ $773 +$557 11-14 18:04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +797 $342 92¢ $737 +$395 11-12 15:28
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +734 $733 100¢ $732 -$1 11-11 14:44
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +819 $724 88¢ $723 -$1 11-12 03:25
Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-11-14? No +707 $696 100¢ $703 +$8 11-14 01:16
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? No +607 $515 99¢ $600 +$85 11-08 09:04
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +568 $567 100¢ $567 +$1 11-05 15:35
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +685 $565 80¢ $551 -$14 11-13 14:31
Will Huddersfield Town AFC win on 2026-11-14? No +541 $533 100¢ $539 +$6 11-14 10:02
Will Leyton Orient FC win on 2026-11-14? No +497 $493 100¢ $496 +$2 11-13 13:50
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +497 $313 100¢ $495 +$183 11-04 15:51
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +492 $485 99¢ $489 +$4 11-12 15:28
Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +476 $474 100¢ $474 $0 11-13 23:19
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? No +473 $432 100¢ $471 +$38 11-11 14:14
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +464 $330 100¢ $464 +$134 11-03 22:49
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +476 $430 86¢ $411 -$19 11-11 21:04
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +396 $296 100¢ $394 +$98 11-10 19:11
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +396 $389 99¢ $392 +$2 11-14 00:27
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +440 $313 88¢ $389 +$76 11-13 14:36
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +383 $382 100¢ $382 +$0 11-11 23:10