Realized P&L
+$18.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.80K
Hit rate
66.3%
Resolved
61,382
Trades
238,607
lifetime
Volume
$2.75M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$28.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 11-13 21:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 182 days
Categories
Other
87% 57% +$17,199
Politics
9% 65% -$448
Sports
3% 61% +$1,267
Crypto
1% 55% -$61
Tech
0% 65% +$351
Pop-Culture
0% 78% +$101
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2978 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,918 $3,973 65¢ $3.8K -$130 11-10 03:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,370 $2,303 93¢ $2.2K -$102 11-13 18:14
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,835 $1,735 34¢ $2.0K +$278 11-09 22:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,930 $1,539 97¢ $1.9K +$342 11-13 18:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,761 $1,738 100¢ $1.8K +$15 11-13 18:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,419 $1,413 100¢ $1.4K +$3 11-13 18:12
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +1,328 $1,081 99¢ $1.3K +$239 11-11 21:50
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,254 $1,248 99¢ $1.2K -$2 11-06 14:58
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +879 $594 94¢ $822 +$228 11-11 14:06
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +818 $812 99¢ $812 +$0 11-12 15:28
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +734 $733 100¢ $732 -$1 11-11 14:44
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +819 $724 89¢ $727 +$3 11-12 03:25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +797 $342 91¢ $725 +$383 11-12 15:28
Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-11-14? No +676 $665 99¢ $672 +$7 11-11 21:14
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? No +607 $515 100¢ $604 +$89 11-08 09:04
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,071 $201 54¢ $579 +$377 11-06 11:06
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +916 $711 62¢ $572 -$139 11-09 01:48
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +568 $567 100¢ $567 +$1 11-05 15:35
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +685 $565 82¢ $565 $0 11-13 14:31
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +497 $313 99¢ $494 +$182 11-04 15:51
Will Leyton Orient FC win on 2026-11-14? No +497 $493 99¢ $494 +$0 11-13 13:50
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,040 $790 47¢ $489 -$302 11-06 14:58
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +492 $485 99¢ $488 +$3 11-12 15:28
Will Huddersfield Town AFC win on 2026-11-14? No +479 $471 100¢ $477 +$6 11-12 11:26
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? No +473 $432 100¢ $471 +$38 11-11 14:14
Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +470 $468 99¢ $466 -$3 11-13 16:38
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +464 $330 100¢ $463 +$133 11-03 22:49
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No — +445 $335 99¢ $442 +$107 10-28 05:15
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +437 $379 99¢ $435 +$55 11-04 04:59
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +476 $430 88¢ $417 -$12 11-11 21:04