Realized P&L (90d)
+$4.12K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.80K
Hit rate
72.5%
Resolved (90d)
32,687
Trades (90d)
135,202
229,667 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.17M
$2.68M lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$31.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 11-08 03:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 177 days
Categories
Other
87% 57% +$16,172
Politics
9% 65% -$655
Sports
3% 61% +$1,262
Crypto
1% 55% -$71
Tech
0% 64% +$343
Pop-Culture
0% 78% +$101
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2978 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,815 $3,905 66¢ $3.9K -$47 11-07 02:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +2,544 $2,012 100¢ $2.5K +$526 11-05 20:22
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +1,991 $1,474 100¢ $2.0K +$509 11-05 15:56
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,791 $1,721 32¢ $1.9K +$161 11-07 02:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,685 $1,656 99¢ $1.7K +$19 11-06 13:30
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +1,293 $264 99¢ $1.3K +$1,017 11-04 02:28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,268 $1,248 99¢ $1.3K +$12 11-06 14:29
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,254 $1,248 99¢ $1.2K -$6 11-06 14:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,577 $1,206 78¢ $1.2K +$32 11-06 14:37
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,185 $1,179 99¢ $1.2K -$1 11-06 13:36
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,093 $1,089 100¢ $1.1K +$3 09-13 21:51
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06? No +1,077 $1,015 99¢ $1.1K +$56 11-06 14:16
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +998 $951 100¢ $994 +$43 11-05 11:27
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +873 $823 100¢ $870 +$47 11-05 12:03
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +924 $511 85¢ $789 +$279 11-04 04:09
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +804 $569 98¢ $786 +$217 11-08 02:03
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +873 $589 89¢ $776 +$187 11-06 13:13
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-11-06? No +747 $740 100¢ $744 +$3 11-06 13:31
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +744 $734 100¢ $741 +$7 11-05 16:16
Will Abha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +657 $636 100¢ $655 +$18 11-05 14:43
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +642 $528 100¢ $639 +$111 11-05 12:46
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,071 $201 57¢ $616 +$415 11-06 11:06
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +568 $567 100¢ $567 +$1 11-05 15:35
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? No +567 $475 98¢ $558 +$83 11-07 01:53
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +497 $313 99¢ $490 +$178 11-04 15:51
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,040 $790 46¢ $484 -$306 11-06 14:58
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +486 $483 99¢ $483 $0 11-06 14:28
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06? No +478 $376 99¢ $475 +$100 11-05 13:35
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +578 $455 80¢ $463 +$7 11-05 23:05
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +464 $330 99¢ $458 +$128 11-03 22:49