Realized P&L (7d)
-$361
Unrealized P&L
+$1.74K
Hit rate
70.6%
Resolved (7d)
2,919
Trades (7d)
15,475
222,269 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$155.6K
$2.58M lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$31.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 11-01 18:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 170 days
Categories
Other
88% 57% +$15,886
Politics
8% 67% -$1,283
Sports
3% 61% +$1,294
Crypto
1% 55% -$64
Tech
0% 64% +$343
Pop-Culture
0% 78% +$99
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2978 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +2,773 $2,313 99¢ $2.7K +$433 11-01 18:24
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,784 $2,550 65¢ $2.5K -$83 10-30 04:39
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2,774 $1,457 56¢ $1.6K +$109 10-30 02:28
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +1,876 $1,392 80¢ $1.5K +$119 11-01 12:09
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +4,230 $1,240 34¢ $1.4K +$177 10-30 04:39
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +2,035 $1,400 66¢ $1.4K -$46 10-31 22:53
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,339 $1,166 94¢ $1.3K +$99 09-11 13:20
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,254 $1,217 99¢ $1.2K +$21 10-31 23:46
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,243 $1,238 98¢ $1.2K -$22 10-19 11:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,186 $1,161 98¢ $1.2K +$5 10-31 08:16
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +1,178 $1,137 98¢ $1.1K +$13 11-01 16:29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,101 $1,082 99¢ $1.1K +$14 10-31 22:45
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,093 $1,089 100¢ $1.1K +$3 09-13 21:51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,092 $1,086 100¢ $1.1K +$2 10-30 17:33
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +1,098 $1,064 98¢ $1.1K +$8 11-01 15:05
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +1,083 $680 97¢ $1.1K +$374 10-29 12:43
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +2,899 $884 33¢ $952 +$69 10-31 23:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,216 $921 72¢ $882 -$39 10-31 22:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +1,036 $559 77¢ $798 +$239 10-29 22:58
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +778 $751 97¢ $752 +$1 11-01 12:54
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +777 $711 96¢ $742 +$31 10-23 08:15
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +713 $691 98¢ $702 +$12 10-30 23:22
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +768 $616 86¢ $657 +$41 10-31 21:15
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,440 $588 44¢ $626 +$38 10-30 02:27
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +823 $640 72¢ $597 -$43 09-14 04:41
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +809 $508 70¢ $570 +$63 10-29 17:53
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +763 $531 74¢ $568 +$37 11-01 17:18
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +528 $524 99¢ $525 +$1 10-30 14:48
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +760 $495 68¢ $521 +$26 10-31 12:48
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +555 $482 93¢ $516 +$34 10-24 22:42