Realized P&L (30d)
+$1.76K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.51K
Hit rate
71.4%
Resolved (30d)
11,006
Trades (30d)
48,751
230,398 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$465.2K
$2.67M lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$29.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 11-06 07:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 175 days
Categories
Other
87% 57% +$16,230
Politics
9% 65% -$668
Sports
3% 61% +$1,262
Crypto
1% 55% -$66
Tech
0% 64% +$343
Pop-Culture
0% 78% +$101
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2978 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +4,850 $3,245 72¢ $3.5K +$244 11-06 06:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +2,544 $2,012 98¢ $2.5K +$488 11-05 20:22
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +1,991 $1,474 100¢ $2.0K +$509 11-05 15:56
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,553 $1,653 28¢ $1.5K -$126 11-06 06:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,484 $1,457 99¢ $1.5K +$18 11-06 06:13
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +1,293 $264 98¢ $1.3K +$1,003 11-04 02:28
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,243 $1,238 100¢ $1.2K +$3 10-19 11:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,128 $1,108 99¢ $1.1K +$11 11-05 17:05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,105 $1,099 100¢ $1.1K +$0 11-04 14:37
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,093 $1,089 100¢ $1.1K +$3 09-13 21:51
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +998 $951 99¢ $992 +$41 11-05 11:27
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +873 $823 99¢ $869 +$46 11-05 12:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,276 $969 68¢ $862 -$107 11-05 06:53
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06? No +813 $754 99¢ $807 +$53 11-06 07:01
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +861 $579 86¢ $744 +$165 11-05 15:36
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +744 $734 100¢ $740 +$6 11-05 16:16
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +924 $511 77¢ $709 +$199 11-04 04:09
Will Abha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +657 $636 99¢ $653 +$17 11-05 14:43
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +642 $528 99¢ $637 +$109 11-05 12:46
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-11-06? No +638 $632 100¢ $637 +$5 11-05 21:55
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +887 $686 70¢ $622 -$64 11-06 07:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,804 $475 34¢ $604 +$129 11-06 06:13
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +568 $567 100¢ $567 +$1 11-05 15:35
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? No +536 $445 94¢ $505 +$59 11-05 12:01
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +497 $313 96¢ $478 +$165 11-04 15:51
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06? No +478 $376 100¢ $476 +$100 11-05 13:35
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +476 $473 99¢ $471 -$2 11-06 01:52
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +464 $330 98¢ $453 +$123 11-03 22:49
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +437 $379 100¢ $436 +$57 11-04 04:59
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat? No +434 $175 100¢ $432 +$258 11-04 05:48