Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d26…3b1d0a Create alert
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$303.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$19.3K
Hit rate
77.1%
Resolved
5,991
Trades
164,596
lifetime
Volume
$8.79M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$53
Open exposure
$135.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-10 11:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 261 days
Categories
Other
40% 52% +$105,434
Politics
38% 60% +$149,839
Sports
12% 71% +$19,867
Crypto
7% 53% +$19,324
Tech
3% 67% +$7,740
Pop-Culture
0% 65% +$963
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 268 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +16,823 $7,898 63¢ $10.6K +$2,734 10-08 11:16
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +8,933 $3,719 98¢ $8.8K +$5,063 10-03 07:33
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +8,466 $6,774 98¢ $8.3K +$1,561 10-04 08:51
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +8,133 $6,897 96¢ $7.8K +$878 10-01 05:19
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +8,080 $6,612 85¢ $6.9K +$288 10-02 07:01
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +16,837 $8,526 37¢ $6.2K -$2,330 09-30 11:52
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +6,635 $5,680 90¢ $6.0K +$308 10-07 00:55
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +5,735 $5,463 100¢ $5.7K +$259 09-13 11:23
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +6,273 $4,850 85¢ $5.3K +$454 10-05 18:01
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +9,547 $6,565 54¢ $5.1K -$1,453 09-28 15:44
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +5,654 $4,440 89¢ $5.1K +$618 10-09 16:30
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,990 $4,749 98¢ $4.9K +$146 10-04 09:34
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +5,114 $3,991 95¢ $4.8K +$852 09-13 08:41
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5,723 $5,110 84¢ $4.8K -$303 10-06 13:42
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4,323 $3,941 99¢ $4.3K +$330 10-03 15:10
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +4,492 $1,751 92¢ $4.2K +$2,404 09-21 13:04
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +3,775 $3,489 97¢ $3.7K +$181 10-09 15:01
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3,550 $3,452 98¢ $3.5K +$39 10-04 16:11
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +6,879 $1,951 46¢ $3.2K +$1,244 10-08 22:14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +3,466 $2,953 90¢ $3.1K +$158 10-08 04:27
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +2,785 $1,823 97¢ $2.7K +$869 10-09 13:09
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,623 $2,515 97¢ $2.6K +$39 10-03 09:25
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,557 $2,472 99¢ $2.5K +$50 09-01 15:07
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +2,662 $1,964 92¢ $2.5K +$486 09-28 10:32
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +2,815 $1,191 84¢ $2.4K +$1,171 08-29 14:40
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +2,391 $2,107 98¢ $2.4K +$244 10-06 02:51
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +2,466 $678 91¢ $2.2K +$1,555 10-09 10:21
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,139 $1,716 96¢ $2.1K +$347 10-05 10:09
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +2,238 $1,604 92¢ $2.0K +$443 10-03 13:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,445 $1,357 82¢ $2.0K +$649 10-05 06:40