Realized P&L
+$3.23K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.78K
Hit rate
90.4%
Resolved
72
Trades
116,234
lifetime
Volume
$5.92M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$30.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 00:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
44% 62% +$493
Politics
39% 72% +$1,957
Crypto
10%
Sports
4% 75% +$776
Tech
3%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 363 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +2,280 $1,642 88¢ $2.0K +$376 07-19 09:04
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -1,700 $-1,639 94¢ $-1606 +$34 07-20 10:58
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1,500 $1,346 94¢ $1.4K +$70 07-02 08:22
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,423 $1,334 97¢ $1.4K +$43 07-04 15:31
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +1,381 $1,329 98¢ $1.4K +$23 06-27 08:59
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No -1,316 $-1,216 91¢ $-1197 +$19 07-12 10:50
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +1,292 $673 91¢ $1.2K +$503 07-19 13:57
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -1,997 $-858 58¢ $-1168 $-310 07-19 22:06
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -1,865 $-936 62¢ $-1147 $-211 07-14 12:30
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +1,164 $1,040 98¢ $1.1K +$101 07-16 08:52
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -1,277 $-1,024 88¢ $-1117 $-93 06-23 11:31
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +1,136 $1,068 95¢ $1.1K +$13 07-16 08:15
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +1,200 $1,044 88¢ $1.1K +$18 07-11 18:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,050 $-997 98¢ $-1028 $-32 07-12 11:24
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? No +1,108 $931 87¢ $966 +$35 07-21 18:41
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,026 $901 90¢ $918 +$18 07-17 10:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,628 $309 56¢ $904 +$594 06-29 15:13
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +1,085 $319 80¢ $873 +$555 06-26 12:29
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,061 $-851 80¢ $-854 $-2 07-16 11:28
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +1,959 $270 42¢ $813 +$543 06-24 06:41
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -824 $-806 98¢ $-806 $-0 06-17 12:10
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -888 $-791 90¢ $-795 $-4 07-09 12:18
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -804 $-756 95¢ $-767 $-11 06-15 04:51
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +812 $505 94¢ $765 +$260 07-19 19:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -893 $-760 86¢ $-763 $-3 07-15 05:36
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +819 $752 93¢ $763 +$11 07-21 02:25
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +740 $695 95¢ $703 +$8 07-09 09:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +700 $668 98¢ $684 +$15 07-05 11:06
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -710 $-668 94¢ $-670 $-2 07-13 03:42
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +889 $453 74¢ $658 +$204 07-02 06:52