Realized P&L
-$232
Unrealized P&L
+$34
Hit rate
53.7%
Resolved
484
Trades
975
lifetime
Volume
$5.57K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$80
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 14:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 159 days
Categories
Other
44% 40% -$370
Politics
29% 45% +$31
Sports
27% 51% +$109
Crypto
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +300 $35 13¢ $39 +$4 10-24 17:08
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +20 $11 63¢ $13 +$1 11-04 18:46
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +50 $12 22¢ $11 -$1 11-05 14:57
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -5 -$4 99¢ $-5 -$1 05-12 12:56
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -40 -$8 7¢ $-3 +$6 05-11 14:26
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +140 $4 2¢ $2 -$2 07-08 17:59
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +20 $7 11¢ $2 -$5 09-20 01:50
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +25 $1 5¢ $1 +$0 08-03 18:10
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -50 -$4 2¢ $-1 +$3 05-12 16:28
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -4 -$1 19¢ $-1 $0 05-11 14:24
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -7 -$1 9¢ $-1 +$0 05-11 14:26
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +10 $1 6¢ $1 $0 08-02 19:48
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +10 $2 5¢ $0 -$2 08-01 13:16
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-11 14:24
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? Yes — +1 $0 30¢ $0 +$1 10-23 16:51
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? No -1 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 05-11 14:24
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 -$24 98¢ $0 +$24 11-04 10:39
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No -10 -$5 0¢ $-0 +$5 05-20 18:01