Realized P&L
+$527
Unrealized P&L
+$656
Hit rate
67.4%
Resolved
237
Trades
2,986
lifetime
Volume
$40.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$2.86K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 11-08 05:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 84 days
Categories
Other
66% 56% +$414
Politics
15% 50% -$23
Sports
8% 42% +$84
Crypto
7% 67% +$62
Tech
3% 17% -$44
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? No +200 $167 96¢ $191 +$24 07-03 10:11
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +200 $114 94¢ $187 +$73 09-22 10:00
Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027? No +187 $170 96¢ $179 +$10 10-22 06:18
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +177 $118 90¢ $159 +$41 10-27 00:10
will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026 No +201 $149 78¢ $157 +$8 07-03 09:45
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +100 $92 98¢ $98 +$6 09-10 02:44
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +100 $82 96¢ $96 +$14 09-08 00:49
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +100 $80 96¢ $96 +$16 09-15 08:38
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +100 $72 96¢ $96 +$23 07-29 19:18
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +100 $81 96¢ $96 +$14 07-25 07:22
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? No +100 $85 94¢ $94 +$10 10-01 08:08
Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No +100 $81 94¢ $94 +$12 10-26 18:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +99 -$42 92¢ $91 +$132 10-19 19:12
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date No +100 $86 90¢ $90 +$4 08-21 18:22
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +100 $85 90¢ $90 +$5 09-22 12:34
Will The Black Ball win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? No +100 $85 88¢ $88 +$3 10-29 03:05
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +86 $68 97¢ $83 +$15 08-02 02:35
Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +100 $60 83¢ $83 +$23 10-18 23:17
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +84 $76 95¢ $80 +$3 09-22 09:01
Will Duke win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +100 $73 80¢ $80 +$6 10-29 09:55
Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027? No +100 $69 76¢ $76 +$7 10-22 19:01
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch? No +83 $50 87¢ $73 +$22 09-15 09:29
Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? Yes +100 $26 70¢ $70 +$44 09-25 03:03
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? Yes +100 $35 69¢ $69 +$34 09-11 15:48
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +70 $56 95¢ $66 +$11 09-16 08:10
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +70 $46 86¢ $60 +$14 09-10 00:01
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026? Yes +126 -$1 45¢ $57 +$57 10-26 20:52
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +81 $51 68¢ $56 +$5 10-19 07:29
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +100 $44 55¢ $55 +$12 11-01 17:25
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +97 $48 57¢ $55 +$7 10-30 04:32