Slow-Exhibit 0x14117f…ce2410
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$83
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
461
lifetime
Volume
$5.79K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$2.14K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 07-21 17:52
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
67% — —
Politics
15% — —
Crypto
11% — —
Sports
6% — —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +399 $154 46¢ $186 +$31 07-21 20:44
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? No +200 $167 86¢ $173 +$6 07-03 10:11
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +150 $138 94¢ $140 +$2 07-04 13:54
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +150 $138 92¢ $138 +$0 07-04 13:56
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +174 $127 77¢ $134 +$7 07-15 18:48
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +167 $109 77¢ $129 +$19 06-30 03:14
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? No +132 $116 88¢ $116 $-1 07-03 10:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +577 $108 16¢ $89 $-19 07-21 20:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +405 $112 20¢ $83 $-29 07-21 20:35
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +150 $76 55¢ $82 +$6 07-04 08:51
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +100 $63 80¢ $81 +$18 06-27 21:52
Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No +70 $60 98¢ $68 +$8 07-08 10:20
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? Yes +92 $63 62¢ $57 $-6 07-10 04:13
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +150 $60 37¢ $56 $-5 07-04 08:51
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +150 $56 30¢ $46 $-10 07-04 08:53
Hurupay FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +46 $45 99¢ $45 +$0 06-28 06:21
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +63 $41 70¢ $44 +$3 07-20 19:15
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? No +44 $24 99¢ $43 +$19 07-04 23:34
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? No +50 $40 86¢ $43 +$4 07-17 07:45
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +134 $33 32¢ $43 +$10 07-04 12:59
Will Film/TV production expensing become law this year? No +48 $38 88¢ $42 +$4 07-09 18:52
Negative GDP growth in 2026? No +42 $38 93¢ $39 +$1 07-07 12:40
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? No +49 $38 79¢ $39 +$1 07-05 22:18
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +50 $32 78¢ $39 +$7 07-07 05:48
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +50 $36 78¢ $39 +$2 07-07 14:50
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +150 $38 24¢ $35 $-3 07-04 12:58
Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026? Yes +65 $12 48¢ $32 +$20 07-14 04:41
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden before 2027? No +32 $24 93¢ $30 +$6 07-13 18:09
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +110 $42 22¢ $25 $-17 06-28 08:53
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? No +34 $25 72¢ $24 $-1 07-21 20:29