Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?
open
Total volume
$221
Trades
32
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$519
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-07 12:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $1 | $31 | $30 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $0 | $1 | $1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $37 | $51 | $14 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $11 | $12 | $1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $18 | $18 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $11 | $26 | $15 |
| Median | 1 | — | $11 | $11 |
| Below median | 5 | $37 | $8 | +$29 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | $1 | $1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $1 | $30 | $28 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $1 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wee-Matchmaker 0x6183…3834 | Yes | +50 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 06-05 20:55 |
| Any-Impression 0x211f…8e0f | Yes | +49 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-29 01:02 |
| Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | +34 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 06-07 12:40 |
| Golden-Antechamber 0xbae5…45e3 | No | +32 | $16 | $18 | 4 | 06-05 20:54 |
| Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | +24 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-05 20:55 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 20:54 |
| Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | +8 | $5 | $46 | 4 | 05-29 20:16 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 20:55 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 01:02 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-29 01:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a9b…6b0c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 01:13 |
| Bold-Instructor 0x178a…f5b3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 01:42 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-05 20:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-07 12:40:06 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x192427… |
| 06-07 12:40:06 | Wee-Matchmaker 0x6183…3834 | No | SELL | 23 | 88¢ | $20 | 0x192427… |
| 06-07 12:40:06 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 12 | 88¢ | $11 | 0x192427… |
| 06-05 20:55:51 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xac0b57… |
| 06-05 20:55:51 | Wee-Matchmaker 0x6183…3834 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 60¢ | $11 | 0xac0b57… |
| 06-05 20:55:51 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | BUY | 24 | 47¢ | $11 | 0xac0b57… |
| 06-05 20:55:51 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | 0xac0b57… |
| 06-05 20:54:04 | Golden-Antechamber 0xbae5…45e3 | No | BUY | 12 | 40¢ | $5 | 0xf65cb6… |
| 06-05 20:54:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 11 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd2a9f6… |
| 06-05 20:54:04 | Wee-Matchmaker 0x6183…3834 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 60¢ | $7 | 0xf65cb6… |
| 06-05 20:54:04 | Golden-Antechamber 0xbae5…45e3 | No | SELL | 11 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd2a9f6… |
| 06-05 20:54:03 | Golden-Antechamber 0xbae5…45e3 | No | BUY | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0x0ca4f1… |
| 06-05 20:54:03 | Wee-Matchmaker 0x6183…3834 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x0ca4f1… |
| 06-05 20:54:01 | Golden-Antechamber 0xbae5…45e3 | No | BUY | 11 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x0f7239… |
| 06-05 20:54:01 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 61¢ | $7 | 0x0f7239… |
| 06-05 14:09:51 | Wee-Matchmaker 0x6183…3834 | No | SELL | 21 | 91¢ | $19 | 0x82b887… |
| 06-05 14:09:51 | Superb-Fellow 0x7cb6…a366 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x82b887… |
| 06-03 13:46:13 | Superb-Fellow 0x7cb6…a366 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x0360c1… |
| 06-03 13:46:13 | Loud-Prestige 0x571f…fe38 | No | SELL | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x0360c1… |
| 05-29 20:16:49 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xc4fca3… |
| 05-29 20:16:49 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | SELL | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xc4fca3… |
| 05-29 16:19:10 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0xd96fb8… |
| 05-29 16:19:10 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | SELL | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0xd96fb8… |
| 05-29 01:42:50 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xb81e4e… |
| 05-29 01:42:50 | Bold-Instructor 0x178a…f5b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xb81e4e… |
| 05-29 01:13:10 | (anonymous) 0x3a9b…6b0c | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x9d1ba4… |
| 05-29 01:13:10 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x9d1ba4… |
| 05-29 01:02:42 | Any-Impression 0x211f…8e0f | Yes | BUY | 49 | 22¢ | $11 | 0xe0e5e4… |
| 05-29 01:02:42 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | BUY | 32 | 81¢ | $26 | 0xe0e5e4… |
| 05-29 01:02:42 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 2 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xe0e5e4… |
| 05-29 01:02:42 | Wee-Matchmaker 0x6183…3834 | No | BUY | 9 | 80¢ | $7 | 0xe0e5e4… |
| 05-29 01:02:42 | Extra-Small-Yolk 0x6566…54c0 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xe0e5e4… |