Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?
open
Total volume
$11,486
Trades
539
Unique wallets
120
Liquidity
$519
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
85¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 08-14 05:21
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+79.5¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $50
vs crowd: 21% YES on $5.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 17 | $280 | $1.2K | $955 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 23 | $521 | $1.9K | $1.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 43 | $329 | $1.2K | $906 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 37 | $82 | $287 | $205 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $50 | — | +$50 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $16 | $162 | $146 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 12 | $48 | $97 | $49 |
| Median | 10 | $28 | $183 | $155 |
| Below median | 27 | $114 | $639 | $526 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $33 | $1.0K | $979 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $469 | $156 | +$313 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 10 | $135 | $1.1K | $1.0K |
| unranked | 43 | $322 | $1.3K | $987 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simple-Attack 0x43f7…35e5 | No | +372 | $299 | $1,416 | 8 | 08-14 05:21 |
| Wry-Meatloaf 0xbb9f…557b | Yes | +300 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-17 01:36 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +270 | $50 | $50 | 8 | 07-08 10:56 |
| Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | No | +258 | $226 | $226 | 3 | 08-09 18:18 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +251 | $45 | $45 | 6 | 07-08 11:17 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +171 | $26 | $40 | 5 | 07-16 18:03 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +170 | $153 | $429 | 8 | 07-20 11:36 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +125 | $30 | $30 | 5 | 06-17 01:28 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | +120 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-17 06:04 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | +120 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 06-17 06:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +117 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-17 01:18 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +114 | $17 | $55 | 5 | 06-17 01:44 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +80 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 06-17 08:41 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +80 | $65 | $185 | 15 | 06-23 09:11 |
| Evil-Ejector 0x8394…8d66 | No | +70 | $59 | $59 | 5 | 07-20 11:39 |
| Wee-Matchmaker 0x6183…3834 | No | +66 | $53 | $131 | 6 | 07-08 10:50 |
| Faint-Accounting 0x027a…ea13 | No | +57 | $50 | $50 | 3 | 07-21 17:47 |
| Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | +50 | $40 | $128 | 2 | 07-17 07:45 |
| Wee-Matchmaker 0x6183…3834 | Yes | +50 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 06-05 20:55 |
| Any-Impression 0x211f…8e0f | Yes | +49 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-29 01:02 |
| Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | +45 | $39 | $39 | 4 | 06-12 16:17 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +34 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 07-29 23:46 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $5 | $8 | 3 | 07-08 10:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | +30 | $9 | $47 | 21 | 07-12 18:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d91…f592 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-17 02:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d91…f592 | No | +20 | $15 | $46 | 3 | 06-19 13:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +16 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 06-19 13:01 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-20 14:46 |
| mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-29 18:43 |
| Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | +8 | $5 | $46 | 4 | 05-29 20:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-16 18:04 |
| Fearful-Massage 0xafe2…b686 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-08 11:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +5 | $4 | $21 | 3 | 07-24 16:52 |
| Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 08-14 05:21 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 01:02 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-29 01:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a9b…6b0c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 01:13 |
| Bold-Instructor 0x178a…f5b3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 01:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 05:21:36 | Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x110389… |
| 08-14 05:21:36 | Simple-Attack 0x43f7…35e5 | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x110389… |
| 08-10 19:51:49 | Simple-Attack 0x43f7…35e5 | No | SELL | 13 | 88¢ | $12 | 0xd06243… |
| 08-10 19:51:49 | Overjoyed-Battery 0xd91f…0439 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xd06243… |
| 08-09 18:18:36 | Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | No | BUY | 106 | 88¢ | $93 | 0x8fd5f6… |
| 08-09 18:18:36 | Simple-Attack 0x43f7…35e5 | No | SELL | 106 | 88¢ | $93 | 0x8fd5f6… |
| 08-09 16:34:54 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x4d658b… |
| 08-09 16:34:54 | Simple-Attack 0x43f7…35e5 | No | SELL | 16 | 88¢ | $14 | 0x4d658b… |
| 08-09 16:34:52 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xf7a367… |
| 08-09 16:34:52 | Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | No | BUY | 64 | 87¢ | $56 | 0xf7a367… |
| 08-09 16:34:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 48 | 87¢ | $41 | 0xf7a367… |
| 07-31 20:19:02 | Simple-Attack 0x43f7…35e5 | No | SELL | 88 | 88¢ | $77 | 0x103a54… |
| 07-31 20:19:02 | Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | No | BUY | 88 | 88¢ | $77 | 0x103a54… |
| 07-29 23:46:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 16 | 86¢ | $13 | 0x68e59a… |
| 07-29 23:46:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 16 | 86¢ | $13 | 0x68e59a… |
| 07-29 18:43:36 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x679582… |
| 07-29 18:43:36 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x679582… |
| 07-28 05:06:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x0af165… |
| 07-28 05:06:37 | Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x0af165… |
| 07-24 16:52:13 | Golden-Antechamber 0xbae5…45e3 | No | SELL | 32 | 85¢ | $27 | 0x4a1ad8… |
| 07-24 16:52:13 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x4a1ad8… |
| 07-24 16:52:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 27 | 85¢ | $23 | 0x4a1ad8… |
| 07-24 01:44:34 | Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x9145b0… |
| 07-24 01:44:34 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x9145b0… |
| 07-21 17:47:24 | Faint-Accounting 0x027a…ea13 | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x9cb0da… |
| 07-21 17:47:24 | (anonymous) 0x0121…8ed3 | No | SELL | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x9cb0da… |
| 07-20 14:46:16 | Faint-Accounting 0x027a…ea13 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x3274dc… |
| 07-20 14:46:16 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x3274dc… |
| 07-20 14:46:16 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x3274dc… |
| 07-20 11:39:46 | Evil-Ejector 0x8394…8d66 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x239401… |
| 07-20 11:39:46 | Terrific-Reparation-Till 0x764a…83d3 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 15¢ | $5 | 0x239401… |
| 07-20 11:39:46 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 40 | 85¢ | $34 | 0x239401… |
| 07-20 11:37:09 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 40 | 86¢ | $34 | 0x042c58… |
| 07-20 11:37:09 | Terrific-Reparation-Till 0x764a…83d3 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x042c58… |
| 07-20 11:37:09 | Virtual-Persimmon-Tights 0xa2db…a60d | Yes | SELL | 25 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x042c58… |
| 07-20 11:36:28 | Virtual-Persimmon-Tights 0xa2db…a60d | Yes | SELL | 25 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xa0cc02… |
| 07-20 11:36:28 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa0cc02… |
| 07-20 11:36:28 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | No | SELL | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0xa0cc02… |
| 07-20 11:36:25 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 40 | 89¢ | $36 | 0x38e205… |
| 07-20 11:36:25 | Faint-Accounting 0x027a…ea13 | No | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0x38e205… |
| 07-20 11:36:25 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 159 | 89¢ | $142 | 0x38e205… |
| 07-20 11:36:25 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x38e205… |
| 07-20 11:36:25 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 49 | 89¢ | $43 | 0x38e205… |
| 07-20 11:36:25 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 40 | 89¢ | $36 | 0x38e205… |
| 07-20 11:36:25 | Simple-Attack 0x43f7…35e5 | No | SELL | 398 | 89¢ | $355 | 0x38e205… |
| 07-20 11:36:25 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x38e205… |
| 07-20 11:36:25 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x38e205… |
| 07-17 23:21:49 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xc09038… |
| 07-17 23:21:49 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xc09038… |
| 07-17 23:21:49 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0xc09038… |
| 07-17 07:53:19 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x602c3d… |
| 07-17 07:53:19 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x602c3d… |
| 07-17 07:45:16 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x0b7d33… |
| 07-17 07:45:16 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | SELL | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0x0b7d33… |
| 07-17 07:45:16 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x0b7d33… |
| 07-17 06:47:42 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0xcd40e4… |
| 07-17 06:47:42 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xcd40e4… |
| 07-17 04:53:58 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xc0707e… |
| 07-17 04:53:58 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 0 | 89¢ | $0 | 0xc0707e… |
| 07-17 00:15:44 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0xe3f1d4… |
| 07-17 00:15:44 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xe3f1d4… |
| 07-16 22:25:31 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 0 | 89¢ | $0 | 0x3d2300… |
| 07-16 22:25:31 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x3d2300… |
| 07-16 21:20:17 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0xade5f9… |
| 07-16 21:20:17 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xade5f9… |
| 07-16 21:17:08 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xcaad59… |
| 07-16 21:17:08 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0xcaad59… |
| 07-16 19:48:08 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xecd219… |
| 07-16 19:48:08 | (anonymous) 0x87f8…b109 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xecd219… |
| 07-16 19:48:08 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xecd219… |
| 07-16 18:13:25 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | No | BUY | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0x54c2af… |
| 07-16 18:13:25 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0x54c2af… |
| 07-16 18:04:52 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x1bdd77… |
| 07-16 18:04:52 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x1bdd77… |
| 07-16 18:04:52 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x1bdd77… |
| 07-16 18:03:59 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xb3b37d… |
| 07-16 18:03:59 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 14¢ | $6 | 0xb3b37d… |
| 07-16 18:03:59 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 47 | 85¢ | $40 | 0xb3b37d… |
| 07-16 18:03:59 | (anonymous) 0x87f8…b109 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xb3b37d… |
| 07-16 18:03:59 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | SELL | 202 | 85¢ | $172 | 0xb3b37d… |
| 07-16 18:03:59 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 14¢ | $6 | 0xb3b37d… |
| 07-16 18:03:59 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 154 | 14¢ | $22 | 0xb3b37d… |
| 07-16 18:03:59 | Virtual-Persimmon-Tights 0xa2db…a60d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xb3b37d… |
| 07-16 18:03:59 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xb3b37d… |
| 07-16 18:03:59 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | SELL | 28 | 86¢ | $24 | 0xb3b37d… |
| 07-16 18:03:59 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xb3b37d… |
| 07-16 18:03:59 | Terrific-Reparation-Till 0x764a…83d3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xb3b37d… |
| 07-16 18:03:59 | Responsible-Bidder 0xb10d…3797 | No | SELL | 35 | 85¢ | $30 | 0xb3b37d… |
| 07-16 18:03:59 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 146 | 85¢ | $124 | 0xb3b37d… |
| 07-16 18:03:59 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xb3b37d… |
| 07-16 18:03:59 | Simple-Attack 0x43f7…35e5 | No | BUY | 1,002 | 86¢ | $857 | 0xb3b37d… |
| 07-15 20:16:59 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 32 | 85¢ | $27 | 0xae49d6… |
| 07-15 20:16:59 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 15¢ | $5 | 0xae49d6… |
| 07-14 19:56:47 | (anonymous) 0xd385…dd8a | No | SELL | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0xb8c0ce… |
| 07-14 19:56:47 | Evil-Ejector 0x8394…8d66 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xb8c0ce… |
| 07-14 00:50:37 | Evil-Ejector 0x8394…8d66 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xc7319a… |
| 07-14 00:50:37 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xc7319a… |
| 07-13 16:44:23 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x7917b2… |
| 07-13 16:44:23 | Evil-Ejector 0x8394…8d66 | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x7917b2… |
| 07-12 18:28:04 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 3 | 84¢ | $3 | 0x56a6a6… |