Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?
open
Total volume
$6,109
Trades
344
Unique wallets
85
Liquidity
$519
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-27 08:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $178 | $728 | $550 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 14 | $485 | $741 | $257 |
| 🐟 Fish | 26 | $97 | $371 | $274 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 33 | $67 | $301 | $234 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $65 | $65 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 12 | $52 | $97 | $45 |
| Median | 5 | $10 | $33 | $23 |
| Below median | 18 | $68 | $228 | $160 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $33 | $155 | $121 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $560 | $145 | +$415 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $12 | $673 | $661 |
| unranked | 27 | $92 | $746 | $654 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wry-Meatloaf 0xbb9f…557b | Yes | +300 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-17 01:36 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | +291 | $230 | $414 | 13 | 06-27 08:42 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | +202 | $169 | $169 | 6 | 06-27 03:47 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +201 | $36 | $36 | 5 | 06-27 05:01 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +125 | $30 | $30 | 5 | 06-17 01:28 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | +120 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-17 06:04 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | +120 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 06-17 06:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +117 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-17 01:18 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +114 | $17 | $55 | 5 | 06-17 01:44 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +80 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 06-17 08:41 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +80 | $65 | $185 | 15 | 06-23 09:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xd385…dd8a | No | +50 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-27 05:01 |
| Wee-Matchmaker 0x6183…3834 | Yes | +50 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 06-05 20:55 |
| Any-Impression 0x211f…8e0f | Yes | +49 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-29 01:02 |
| Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | +45 | $39 | $39 | 4 | 06-12 16:17 |
| Responsible-Bidder 0xb10d…3797 | No | +35 | $31 | $103 | 2 | 06-17 05:54 |
| Golden-Antechamber 0xbae5…45e3 | No | +32 | $16 | $18 | 4 | 06-05 20:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | +32 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-17 01:58 |
| Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | +24 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-05 20:55 |
| Overjoyed-Battery 0xd91f…0439 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-17 01:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d91…f592 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-17 02:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d91…f592 | No | +20 | $15 | $46 | 3 | 06-19 13:01 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +18 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 06-18 18:06 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +18 | $5 | $19 | 4 | 06-27 05:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +16 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 06-19 13:01 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +11 | $11 | $287 | 7 | 06-27 04:16 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +11 | $9 | $106 | 6 | 06-27 05:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-23 02:38 |
| Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | +8 | $5 | $46 | 4 | 05-29 20:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | +5 | $1 | $28 | 18 | 06-27 05:08 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 01:02 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-29 01:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a9b…6b0c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 01:13 |
| Bold-Instructor 0x178a…f5b3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 01:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 08:42:26 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0x087d1b… |
| 06-27 08:42:26 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x087d1b… |
| 06-27 05:08:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x52b260… |
| 06-27 05:08:17 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x52b260… |
| 06-27 05:01:05 | (anonymous) 0xd385…dd8a | No | BUY | 50 | 83¢ | $42 | 0x093cda… |
| 06-27 05:01:05 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 17¢ | $8 | 0x093cda… |
| 06-27 05:00:41 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 17¢ | $8 | 0x7797e9… |
| 06-27 05:00:41 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 55 | 17¢ | $9 | 0x7797e9… |
| 06-27 05:00:41 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x7797e9… |
| 06-27 04:46:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xcbe554… |
| 06-27 04:46:25 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 25 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xcbe554… |
| 06-27 04:41:47 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x28f798… |
| 06-27 04:41:47 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x28f798… |
| 06-27 04:32:34 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 15 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x4cb23c… |
| 06-27 04:32:34 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 15 | 83¢ | $12 | 0x4cb23c… |
| 06-27 04:32:26 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 12 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xe80967… |
| 06-27 04:32:26 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 12 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xe80967… |
| 06-27 04:28:34 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0xa8a9c2… |
| 06-27 04:28:34 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0xa8a9c2… |
| 06-27 04:26:22 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xa02e07… |
| 06-27 04:26:22 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xa02e07… |
| 06-27 04:18:47 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 15 | 83¢ | $12 | 0xbf6fcb… |
| 06-27 04:18:47 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 15 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xbf6fcb… |
| 06-27 04:16:01 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 53 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x256312… |
| 06-27 04:16:01 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x256312… |
| 06-27 04:16:01 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x256312… |
| 06-27 04:16:01 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 1 | 83¢ | $0 | 0x256312… |
| 06-27 04:07:20 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 63 | 83¢ | $52 | 0xaf8a5d… |
| 06-27 04:07:20 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 63 | 17¢ | $11 | 0xaf8a5d… |
| 06-27 04:01:23 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x47047c… |
| 06-27 04:01:23 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x47047c… |
| 06-27 03:58:17 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 128 | 17¢ | $22 | 0xb006ad… |
| 06-27 03:58:17 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 83¢ | $41 | 0xb006ad… |
| 06-27 03:58:17 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 62 | 83¢ | $51 | 0xb006ad… |
| 06-27 03:58:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 16 | 83¢ | $13 | 0xb006ad… |
| 06-27 03:57:01 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x4211c0… |
| 06-27 03:57:01 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x4211c0… |
| 06-27 03:54:13 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | SELL | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x562f91… |
| 06-27 03:54:13 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x562f91… |
| 06-27 03:47:56 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 126 | 83¢ | $104 | 0xa14b86… |
| 06-27 03:47:56 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 69 | 83¢ | $58 | 0xa14b86… |
| 06-27 03:47:56 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xa14b86… |
| 06-27 03:47:56 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 150 | 84¢ | $126 | 0xa14b86… |
| 06-27 03:47:56 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 83¢ | $42 | 0xa14b86… |
| 06-27 03:47:56 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | Yes | BUY | 416 | 17¢ | $69 | 0xa14b86… |
| 06-24 03:06:53 | (anonymous) 0x046b…ebb8 | No | SELL | 188 | 83¢ | $156 | 0x46dd5a… |
| 06-24 03:06:53 | Neglected-Blinker 0x4947…e3cb | Yes | SELL | 188 | 17¢ | $32 | 0x46dd5a… |
| 06-24 03:04:47 | (anonymous) 0x941e…51d8 | Yes | SELL | 189 | 17¢ | $32 | 0xfc4f67… |
| 06-24 03:04:47 | (anonymous) 0xb522…80f0 | No | SELL | 189 | 83¢ | $157 | 0xfc4f67… |
| 06-24 03:02:49 | (anonymous) 0x5cbe…977e | Yes | SELL | 188 | 17¢ | $32 | 0xd5990a… |
| 06-24 03:02:49 | (anonymous) 0x2f59…6e6d | No | SELL | 188 | 83¢ | $156 | 0xd5990a… |
| 06-24 03:00:22 | Neighboring-Visa 0x8ac6…b06d | Yes | SELL | 188 | 17¢ | $32 | 0xb22195… |
| 06-24 03:00:22 | (anonymous) 0x719d…405d | No | SELL | 188 | 83¢ | $156 | 0xb22195… |
| 06-24 02:58:11 | Terrible-Opponent 0x4767…36bf | Yes | SELL | 185 | 17¢ | $31 | 0x014675… |
| 06-24 02:58:11 | (anonymous) 0x4edc…be39 | No | SELL | 185 | 83¢ | $154 | 0x014675… |
| 06-24 02:55:40 | Common-Remote 0x5ad7…739c | Yes | SELL | 186 | 17¢ | $32 | 0xc75b1f… |
| 06-24 02:55:40 | Unimportant-Heyday 0x2b8d…ed15 | No | SELL | 186 | 83¢ | $154 | 0xc75b1f… |
| 06-24 02:44:17 | Wretched-Tech 0xde54…75f1 | No | SELL | 198 | 84¢ | $166 | 0x50503d… |
| 06-24 02:44:17 | (anonymous) 0xc5ac…31b5 | Yes | SELL | 198 | 16¢ | $32 | 0x50503d… |
| 06-23 13:14:07 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 9 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xe6d677… |
| 06-23 13:14:07 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xe6d677… |
| 06-23 13:11:35 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xf85f84… |
| 06-23 13:11:35 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0xf85f84… |
| 06-23 12:55:26 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xd49f5f… |
| 06-23 12:55:26 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0xd49f5f… |
| 06-23 12:40:43 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0x77340b… |
| 06-23 12:40:43 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x77340b… |
| 06-23 10:44:20 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0x7a85b6… |
| 06-23 10:44:20 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x7a85b6… |
| 06-23 09:11:22 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 10 | 85¢ | $9 | 0x99101d… |
| 06-23 09:11:22 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x99101d… |
| 06-23 09:11:22 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x99101d… |
| 06-23 08:47:55 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0xb4be84… |
| 06-23 08:47:55 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xb4be84… |
| 06-23 08:47:04 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0xff1ad1… |
| 06-23 08:47:04 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xff1ad1… |
| 06-23 08:45:14 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xd68af1… |
| 06-23 08:45:14 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0xd68af1… |
| 06-23 08:44:13 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xf53994… |
| 06-23 08:44:13 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0xf53994… |
| 06-23 02:39:23 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x48182b… |
| 06-23 02:39:23 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0x48182b… |
| 06-23 02:38:34 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0x842cb3… |
| 06-23 02:38:34 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x842cb3… |
| 06-23 02:38:34 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x842cb3… |
| 06-23 02:37:04 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | SELL | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x3ba603… |
| 06-23 02:37:04 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 13 | 85¢ | $11 | 0x3ba603… |
| 06-23 02:36:19 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0x8086dd… |
| 06-23 02:36:19 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x8086dd… |
| 06-22 22:55:43 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 24 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x14d9ab… |
| 06-22 22:55:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x14d9ab… |
| 06-22 22:55:43 | (anonymous) 0x1ebd…1c5d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x14d9ab… |
| 06-22 22:55:43 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 15 | 82¢ | $12 | 0x14d9ab… |
| 06-22 22:54:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x990119… |
| 06-22 22:54:52 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 13 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x990119… |
| 06-22 22:53:52 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xbf03b3… |
| 06-22 22:53:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xbf03b3… |
| 06-22 22:43:34 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xb40641… |
| 06-22 22:43:34 | (anonymous) 0x80b1…751a | No | SELL | 8 | 83¢ | $7 | 0xb40641… |
| 06-21 02:01:49 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0x2f4978… |