Constant-Snowplow 0x3e5630…d335d5
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$32
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
14.0%
Resolved
21
Trades
5,974
lifetime
Volume
$6.28K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$289
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 00:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
66% 7% $-25
Other
33% 29% $-8
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -42 $-38 100¢ $-42 $-5 06-19 22:29
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -41 $-41 100¢ $-41 $-0 06-20 02:36
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -38 $-37 100¢ $-38 $-0 06-20 02:31
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -32 $-31 100¢ $-32 $-0 06-20 02:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +21 $12 70¢ $14 +$2 06-24 06:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -17 $-14 86¢ $-14 $-1 06-11 17:38
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? No -13 $-12 97¢ $-13 $-1 06-20 03:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +12 $10 92¢ $11 +$1 06-07 09:38
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 06-20 02:34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +13 $3 70¢ $9 +$7 06-20 02:16
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? No -8 $-8 100¢ $-8 $-0 06-10 08:32
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -6 $-6 100¢ $-6 $-0 06-20 02:27
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -6 $-6 100¢ $-6 $-0 06-15 07:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +18 $5 30¢ $5 +$0 06-19 23:25
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-05 10:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +26 $5 18¢ $5 $-0 06-24 06:28
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? No +12 $3 32¢ $4 +$1 06-20 17:43
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $4 28¢ $4 $-0 06-24 06:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +4 $3 99¢ $4 +$1 06-06 03:07
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +5 $2 56¢ $3 +$1 06-06 03:17
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? No +18 $3 14¢ $3 $-0 06-28 13:10
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes +46 $3 6¢ $3 $-1 06-25 14:52
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-2 92¢ $-2 $-0 06-20 03:08
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes +436 $5 0¢ $2 $-2 06-30 21:28
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 $-0 06-12 14:14
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-10 08:27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-08 10:32
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +9 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 06-10 08:59
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +41 $2 2¢ $1 $-1 06-30 13:00
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 $-0 06-21 03:54