Constant-Snowplow 0x3e5630…d335d5
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$32
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
14.0%
Resolved
21
Trades
4,770
lifetime
Volume
$5.03K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$82
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 05:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
59% 7% $-25
Other
38% 29% $-8
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -13 $-11 88¢ $-11 $-1 06-05 10:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 06-07 09:38
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -7 $-7 96¢ $-7 +$0 06-08 07:57
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? No -6 $-5 90¢ $-5 $-0 06-09 13:47
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 $-0 06-05 10:21
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +6 $4 80¢ $5 +$1 06-08 01:41
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -4 $-19 100¢ $-4 +$15 06-08 00:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +4 $3 90¢ $3 +$0 06-06 03:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +4 $3 84¢ $3 +$0 06-08 00:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5 $3 70¢ $3 +$0 06-08 01:40
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +5 $2 47¢ $2 +$0 06-06 03:17
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes -27 $-5 8¢ $-2 +$3 05-30 13:12
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? No +4 $1 58¢ $2 +$1 06-05 10:26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -4 $-1 62¢ $-2 $-1 05-29 23:24
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +9 $2 24¢ $2 +$0 06-08 23:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +8 $2 24¢ $2 $-0 06-06 03:08
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +4 $2 38¢ $1 $-1 06-06 15:40
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes +19 $1 8¢ $1 $-0 06-05 10:37
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes +24 $1 6¢ $1 $-0 06-10 05:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 06-08 10:32
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 06-08 10:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +3 $1 32¢ $1 +$0 06-01 17:47
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-05 09:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +2 $1 64¢ $1 $-0 06-08 00:54
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? Yes +36 $1 3¢ $1 $-0 06-08 00:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 46¢ $1 $-0 06-02 10:10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +6 $0 12¢ $1 +$0 06-10 02:04