Constant-Snowplow 0x3e5630…d335d5
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$32
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
14.0%
Resolved
21
Trades
6,416
lifetime
Volume
$6.60K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$120
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 21:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
65% 7% $-25
Other
33% 29% $-8
Tech
2% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +22 $13 99¢ $21 +$8 07-06 05:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -21 $-18 74¢ $-16 +$2 07-08 23:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +12 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 06-07 09:38
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +13 $3 80¢ $10 +$8 06-20 02:16
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No -10 $-9 96¢ $-10 $-0 06-20 02:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +20 $3 44¢ $9 +$5 07-05 13:58
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +8 $7 70¢ $6 $-1 07-18 12:24
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $6 26¢ $5 $-1 07-11 07:48
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -5 $-4 88¢ $-4 $-0 07-16 09:15
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes -7 $-4 55¢ $-4 $-0 07-17 07:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +18 $5 20¢ $4 $-2 06-19 23:25
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes +83 $5 4¢ $4 $-1 07-17 21:13
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? No +12 $3 28¢ $3 +$0 06-20 17:43
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $3 89¢ $3 $-0 07-18 12:25
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-2 92¢ $-2 $-0 06-20 03:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 07-06 05:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 36¢ $2 $-0 07-17 10:44
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -2 $-3 70¢ $-2 +$1 07-13 05:32
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +14 $2 11¢ $1 $-0 07-11 07:37
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 $-0 06-21 03:54
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -3 $-0 12¢ $-0 +$0 07-16 14:25