Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$510

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

86.9%

Resolved

1,696

Trades

2,509

lifetime

Volume

$15.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$19

10 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 10-28 10:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 134 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 83% -$498

Other

2% 38% -$11

Sports

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+4	$3	96¢	$4	+$1	06-16 14:48
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+4	$3	78¢	$3	+$0	06-10 22:05
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	+3	$2	98¢	$3	+$0	06-14 07:39
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	+3	$3	97¢	$3	+$0	06-27 00:55
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?	No	+3	$2	90¢	$3	+$0	06-11 09:55
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	+4	$1	32¢	$1	$0	06-10 14:52
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+4	$1	22¢	$1	$0	06-12 22:19
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+5	$1	17¢	$1	$0	06-10 11:11
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Yes	+14	$1	4¢	$1	-$1	07-05 10:38
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+4	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	06-15 00:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$118	62	62	+0	Up	+$4	09-08 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:05 UTC	1	$100	106	0	+106	Down	-$100	07-13 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 16:25 UTC	2	$100	106	0	+106	Up	+$6	07-13 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:30 UTC	1	$100	104	0	+104	Up	+$4	07-13 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 17:00 UTC	1	$92	104	0	+104	Down	-$92	07-13 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$71	41	41	+0	Up	+$9	09-06 10:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 08:40 UTC	2	$68	36	36	+0	Up	+$2	07-23 08:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 07:45 UTC	2	$61	34	34	+0	Up	+$5	07-23 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$60	61	0	+61	Up	+$1	09-08 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$60	61	0	+61	Up	+$1	09-08 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$60	61	0	+61	Up	+$1	09-08 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Up	+$1	09-07 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$60	62	0	+62	Up	+$2	09-07 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	4	$60	63	0	+63	Down	-$60	09-09 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$60	61	0	+61	Up	+$1	09-07 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$59	62	0	+62	Up	+$3	09-08 17:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 03:00 UTC	4	$57	31	31	+0	Up	+$2	07-20 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$55	30	30	+0	Up	+$2	07-22 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:10 UTC	4	$49	34	17	+17	Up	+$2	07-16 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	4	$49	63	63	+0	Down	-$33	09-09 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:25 UTC	1	$47	48	0	+48	Up	+$1	07-23 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 19:50 UTC	1	$47	48	0	+48	Up	+$1	07-23 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 17:30 UTC	1	$46	48	0	+48	Up	+$2	07-23 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$45	47	0	+47	Up	+$1	07-23 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 01:25 UTC	2	$44	45	0	+45	Down	-$44	07-24 01:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:10 UTC	2	$43	22	22	+0	Up	+$1	07-29 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 07:30 UTC	2	$42	45	0	+45	Down	-$42	07-31 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$40	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	07-15 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$40	42	0	+42	Up	+$2	09-01 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:10 UTC	3	$40	41	0	+41	Up	+$1	08-31 17:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 10:19:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x0654d1…
10-28 04:44:14	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x02e365…
10-28 03:44:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc343c2…
10-27 15:14:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0xd174d4…
10-27 15:14:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa54f76…
10-27 10:19:21	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x210a9d…
10-26 19:04:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7fc866…
10-26 18:09:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x0cd78a…
10-26 18:09:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe0379c…
10-26 17:34:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfdf366…
10-26 04:39:24	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb588bc…
10-25 23:24:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc8bc65…
10-25 23:24:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xc4ead5…
10-25 17:34:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x52c843…
10-25 17:09:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x941124…
10-25 09:04:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x503070…
10-25 03:39:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9b4168…
10-24 16:59:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xaa08b7…
10-24 00:59:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x310a58…
10-23 20:34:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x53c3d5…
10-23 18:19:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa58557…
10-23 15:09:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xe24de4…
10-23 11:09:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa38d70…
10-23 08:24:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x830129…
10-22 14:24:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x10855e…
10-22 10:14:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x114e64…
10-22 02:34:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x00c9ab…
10-21 14:09:12	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6a2a42…
10-20 15:29:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x3a6274…
10-20 15:29:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1e7a25…
10-20 11:29:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x88e10f…
10-20 10:59:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x18a943…
10-20 10:29:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x77b3fc…
10-20 05:44:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe751c8…
10-20 03:04:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe38fa2…
10-19 03:24:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x870b4a…
10-19 01:19:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x94c7f7…
10-18 22:24:21	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x452512…
10-18 22:24:18	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x24a55d…
10-18 18:49:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5724be…
10-18 16:44:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x472426…
10-18 16:44:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x66ba2a…
10-18 02:04:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb1d08d…
10-17 23:44:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd986ad…
10-17 04:14:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x62d4aa…
10-16 05:14:10	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1929a0…
10-15 20:49:33	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4d7d71…
10-15 20:49:20	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x20622a…
10-15 20:39:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x036f2d…
10-15 20:34:30	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xac41c0…
10-15 20:29:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf9c6c8…
10-15 18:39:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6a327e…
10-15 17:34:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x132126…
10-15 06:54:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4ca81e…
10-14 21:14:21	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb79156…
10-14 11:09:16	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdce5d7…
10-14 08:34:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdb14ab…
10-14 00:34:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbaa455…
10-13 23:39:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf38c3a…
10-13 22:09:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf5f95a…
10-13 10:04:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3ab811…
10-13 05:19:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc72dd8…
10-13 04:54:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6a51e8…
10-13 04:24:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xea836e…
10-13 00:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x03a95b…
10-12 14:59:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x118125…
10-12 14:34:26	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd8cbf9…
10-12 13:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc8dd94…
10-12 01:04:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xde2055…
10-12 00:44:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8342df…
10-11 19:44:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9a0be4…
10-11 09:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x40a83d…
10-11 09:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4dc0a3…
10-10 22:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcf7da6…
10-10 07:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6e179b…
10-10 01:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe7fc8a…
10-09 20:59:10	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf99990…
10-09 20:24:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x392ff3…
10-09 18:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9d9950…
10-09 17:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbc137a…
10-09 17:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x25c24f…
10-09 17:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5a2cff…
10-09 16:19:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x428e59…
10-09 15:29:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa612e0…
10-09 15:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x860d1b…
10-09 14:59:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdd8ca3…
10-09 09:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x22d6c1…
10-09 05:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x224f00…
10-09 04:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9afc0f…
10-09 01:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa5e076…
10-09 00:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x55348b…
10-08 21:19:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x38daca…
10-08 11:54:09	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6d669c…
10-07 21:19:22	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd944ba…
10-07 20:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0c293b…
10-07 18:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa063bf…
10-07 17:59:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x878e39…
10-07 17:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x12e4cb…
10-07 17:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0d253a…
10-07 04:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb78563…