Realized P&L
+$92.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.37K
Hit rate
62.8%
Resolved
13,911
Trades
406,028
lifetime
Volume
$11.5M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$5.07K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-27 12:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 141 days
Categories
Crypto
95% 53% +$84,832
Other
2% 50% -$940
Sports
2% 48% +$7,015
Politics
1% 47% +$973
Tech
0% 100% +$251
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-27).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,000 $1,080 30¢ $590 -$490 07-02 20:58
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,874 $1,003 30¢ $553 -$451 07-06 01:20
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +489 $460 95¢ $465 +$5 06-08 09:19
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +409 $399 100¢ $408 +$9 06-08 16:52
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +400 $362 98¢ $390 +$29 05-23 10:14
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +333 $282 90¢ $301 +$19 07-04 04:20
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +280 $186 95¢ $266 +$80 05-23 10:14
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3,685 $715 6¢ $240 -$475 06-17 00:39
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +511 $46 41¢ $210 +$164 07-07 17:57
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +200 $198 99¢ $199 +$1 07-21 03:16
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +851 $193 20¢ $169 -$25 07-03 12:21
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No +149 $144 99¢ $147 +$3 07-16 10:42
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +151 $136 94¢ $143 +$7 05-23 00:00
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +202 $97 70¢ $143 +$46 07-27 12:45
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +5,516 $367 2¢ $135 -$232 06-14 16:33
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,330 $139 10¢ $128 -$11 07-24 16:37
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +138 $119 85¢ $117 -$2 07-27 09:18
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +337 $140 26¢ $86 -$54 07-14 20:11
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +208 $79 39¢ $81 +$2 07-02 15:44
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +79 $77 98¢ $78 +$1 07-23 18:13
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +63 $58 99¢ $63 +$5 06-08 16:23
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +332 $30 17¢ $56 +$26 05-20 13:13
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +706 $21 4¢ $25 +$4 07-27 08:28
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +600 $22 4¢ $24 +$3 07-02 22:55
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,000 $12 2¢ $17 +$5 07-21 20:56
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +225 $63 5¢ $11 -$52 05-18 17:18
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +11 $8 89¢ $10 +$2 05-21 08:19
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +452 $12 2¢ $9 -$3 04-30 15:13
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +56 $3 15¢ $9 +$5 06-03 13:30
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -79 -$9 6¢ $-4 +$4 05-01 11:18