Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?
open
Total volume
$450
$11 in 24h
Trades
35
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$1,028
Latest YES mid
41¢
Latest NO mid
59¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-02 16:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-50.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $11
vs crowd: 51% YES on $279)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $1 | $59 | $58 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $114 | $6 | +$107 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $4 | $1 | +$3 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $23 | $71 | $48 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $11 | $11 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $1 | $49 | $48 |
| Median | 4 | $73 | $8 | +$65 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $61 | $61 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $45 | $6 | +$39 |
| unranked | 7 | $23 | $2 | +$21 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CherryB16 0xe605…ac5f | Yes | +143 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 07-02 04:07 |
| Useful-Credit 0x94d8…37e6 | Yes | +107 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 06-27 10:37 |
| mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | +100 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 07-02 09:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x4829…43e3 | Yes | +29 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-13 16:02 |
| Organic-Test 0x853c…bd03 | No | +12 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-02 16:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x6714…fad2 | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-05 21:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-02 09:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 04:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d38…2104 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 11:48 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-28 11:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x3175…9bb2 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 19:23 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +2 | $-7 | $104 | 3 | 07-02 09:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 16:11:10 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 12 | 61¢ | $7 | 0x1dacf6… |
| 07-02 16:11:10 | Organic-Test 0x853c…bd03 | No | BUY | 12 | 61¢ | $7 | 0x1dacf6… |
| 07-02 09:35:44 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x6d9315… |
| 07-02 09:35:44 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | BUY | 100 | 61¢ | $61 | 0x6d9315… |
| 07-02 09:35:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 91 | 61¢ | $56 | 0x6d9315… |
| 07-02 09:35:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x6d9315… |
| 07-02 04:07:05 | CherryB16 0xe605…ac5f | Yes | BUY | 143 | 48¢ | $69 | 0x000d84… |
| 07-02 04:07:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 91 | 52¢ | $47 | 0x000d84… |
| 07-02 04:07:05 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 9 | 53¢ | $5 | 0x000d84… |
| 07-02 04:07:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 48¢ | $21 | 0x000d84… |
| 07-01 19:23:59 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x027f8d… |
| 07-01 19:23:59 | (anonymous) 0x3175…9bb2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x027f8d… |
| 06-27 10:37:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 107 | 42¢ | $45 | 0x00481f… |
| 06-27 10:37:11 | Useful-Credit 0x94d8…37e6 | Yes | BUY | 107 | 42¢ | $45 | 0x00481f… |
| 06-22 23:12:58 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x7dd335… |
| 06-22 23:12:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x7dd335… |
| 06-22 23:11:25 | (anonymous) 0x80b1…751a | No | SELL | 2 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x760bb6… |
| 06-22 23:11:25 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 2 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x760bb6… |
| 06-20 19:43:31 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 2 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x1f1442… |
| 06-20 19:43:31 | (anonymous) 0x80b1…751a | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x1f1442… |
| 06-20 14:26:43 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 66¢ | $7 | 0x8972a7… |
| 06-20 14:26:43 | (anonymous) 0xc6b2…3caa | No | SELL | 11 | 34¢ | $4 | 0x8972a7… |
| 06-16 11:20:16 | Discrete-Dispute 0x3143…81b1 | No | SELL | 11 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x89e0ca… |
| 06-16 11:20:16 | Cultivated-Cane 0xe0fc…add8 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x89e0ca… |
| 06-14 04:16:00 | (anonymous) 0x8d52…a71b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xa86f0d… |
| 06-14 04:16:00 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xa86f0d… |
| 06-13 16:02:01 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x684a6a… |
| 06-13 16:02:01 | (anonymous) 0x4829…43e3 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 51¢ | $15 | 0x684a6a… |
| 06-13 16:02:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x684a6a… |
| 06-10 20:12:45 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x2f0e8b… |
| 06-10 20:12:45 | (anonymous) 0x8d52…a71b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x2f0e8b… |
| 06-05 21:55:43 | Cultivated-Cane 0xe0fc…add8 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 25¢ | $3 | 0x4ebdec… |
| 06-05 21:55:43 | (anonymous) 0x6714…fad2 | No | BUY | 11 | 75¢ | $8 | 0x4ebdec… |
| 05-28 11:48:54 | (anonymous) 0x6d38…2104 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x2c9e8b… |
| 05-28 11:48:54 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x2c9e8b… |