Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?
open
Total volume
$3,233
$11 in 24h
Trades
274
Unique wallets
56
Liquidity
$1,028
Latest YES mid
17¢
Latest NO mid
83¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-11 13:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-29.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $82
vs crowd: 30% YES on $2.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $202 | $516 | $314 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $170 | $990 | $819 |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $46 | $105 | $59 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $295 | $74 | +$221 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | — | $82 | $82 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $74 | $148 | $74 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $7 | $32 | $25 |
| Median | 7 | $78 | $8 | +$70 |
| Below median | 7 | $95 | $89 | +$6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $9 | $6 | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $64 | $94 | $30 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $102 | $184 | $81 |
| unranked | 21 | $284 | $1.0K | $757 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x53d6…055a | No | +1,119 | $935 | $935 | 43 | 07-22 03:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f1b…eb22 | Yes | +460 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 07-27 13:10 |
| Useful-Credit 0x94d8…37e6 | Yes | +252 | $72 | $72 | 3 | 07-17 10:23 |
| Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | Yes | +204 | $35 | $35 | 34 | 07-22 03:50 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +188 | $28 | $38 | 4 | 08-05 19:04 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +188 | $164 | $164 | 2 | 08-01 00:12 |
| Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | Yes | +179 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 08-11 05:32 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +126 | $92 | $203 | 7 | 08-03 12:23 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +100 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 07-26 03:10 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +91 | $76 | $76 | 3 | 07-22 04:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +52 | $4 | $5 | 3 | 08-11 13:37 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +48 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 08-06 01:23 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +32 | $-35 | $96 | 9 | 08-05 19:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x4829…43e3 | Yes | +29 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-13 16:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-10 09:18 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +16 | $13 | $26 | 4 | 08-05 19:14 |
| Organic-Test 0x853c…bd03 | No | +12 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-02 16:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x6714…fad2 | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-05 21:55 |
| Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-12 04:36 |
| mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | +10 | $-1 | $16 | 7 | 08-11 00:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +6 | $1 | $4 | 4 | 07-22 18:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 04:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +5 | $3 | $7 | 2 | 07-09 14:31 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-28 11:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 11:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xba1b…d035 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-09 11:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 13:37:30 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x898bbb… |
| 08-11 13:37:30 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | SELL | 4 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x898bbb… |
| 08-11 13:37:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x898bbb… |
| 08-11 05:32:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x48ba83… |
| 08-11 05:32:49 | Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | Yes | BUY | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x48ba83… |
| 08-11 00:51:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x8b1fad… |
| 08-11 00:51:40 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x8b1fad… |
| 08-10 20:27:21 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xbbf260… |
| 08-10 20:27:21 | Flashy-Cape 0x02bc…681b | Yes | SELL | 41 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xbbf260… |
| 08-10 20:27:21 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0xbbf260… |
| 08-10 20:27:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 27 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xbbf260… |
| 08-06 01:23:48 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xdc3127… |
| 08-06 01:23:48 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | SELL | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xdc3127… |
| 08-06 01:21:41 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | SELL | 40 | 18¢ | $7 | 0xfb4e99… |
| 08-06 01:21:41 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 18¢ | $7 | 0xfb4e99… |
| 08-05 19:14:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 16 | 78¢ | $13 | 0x4b6d44… |
| 08-05 19:14:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x4b6d44… |
| 08-05 19:04:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 18¢ | $9 | 0xb32f48… |
| 08-05 19:04:47 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 18¢ | $5 | 0xb32f48… |
| 08-05 19:04:47 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xb32f48… |
| 08-05 18:47:32 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 18 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x9a39e8… |
| 08-05 18:47:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x9a39e8… |
| 08-04 07:54:54 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xe72c13… |
| 08-04 07:54:54 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xe72c13… |
| 08-03 12:23:42 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xd9019f… |
| 08-03 12:23:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xd9019f… |
| 08-03 11:09:35 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x8b97d5… |
| 08-03 11:09:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x8b97d5… |
| 08-01 19:19:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x208381… |
| 08-01 19:19:38 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x208381… |
| 08-01 19:19:38 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | SELL | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0x208381… |
| 08-01 00:12:38 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0xccae59… |
| 08-01 00:12:38 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 74 | 88¢ | $65 | 0xccae59… |
| 08-01 00:12:38 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xccae59… |
| 08-01 00:12:38 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xccae59… |
| 08-01 00:12:38 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xccae59… |
| 08-01 00:12:38 | Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | Yes | BUY | 154 | 12¢ | $18 | 0xccae59… |
| 07-31 22:32:41 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd79932… |
| 07-31 22:32:41 | Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd79932… |
| 07-31 22:32:41 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0xd79932… |
| 07-27 13:29:13 | (anonymous) 0x32fd…5c8b | Yes | SELL | 18 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x64ce73… |
| 07-27 13:29:13 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | BUY | 18 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x64ce73… |
| 07-27 13:10:37 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x915790… |
| 07-27 13:10:37 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x915790… |
| 07-27 13:10:10 | (anonymous) 0x6f1b…eb22 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 11¢ | $11 | 0x182b85… |
| 07-27 13:10:10 | (anonymous) 0x32fd…5c8b | Yes | SELL | 99 | 11¢ | $11 | 0x182b85… |
| 07-27 13:10:07 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x20d946… |
| 07-27 13:10:07 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x20d946… |
| 07-27 13:10:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x20d946… |
| 07-27 13:10:07 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x20d946… |
| 07-27 13:10:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xbb3792… |
| 07-27 13:10:04 | (anonymous) 0x32fd…5c8b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xbb3792… |
| 07-27 13:06:10 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x722659… |
| 07-27 13:06:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x722659… |
| 07-27 13:03:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x652c05… |
| 07-27 13:03:01 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x652c05… |
| 07-27 13:03:01 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x652c05… |
| 07-27 13:03:01 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x652c05… |
| 07-27 13:03:01 | (anonymous) 0x32fd…5c8b | Yes | SELL | 150 | 11¢ | $17 | 0x652c05… |
| 07-27 13:03:01 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x652c05… |
| 07-26 03:12:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xc9edee… |
| 07-26 03:12:28 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xc9edee… |
| 07-26 03:10:40 | (anonymous) 0x32fd…5c8b | Yes | SELL | 79 | 11¢ | $9 | 0xe45af2… |
| 07-26 03:10:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xe45af2… |
| 07-26 03:10:40 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xe45af2… |
| 07-26 03:10:40 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xe45af2… |
| 07-26 03:09:31 | (anonymous) 0x32fd…5c8b | Yes | BUY | 120 | 16¢ | $19 | 0x3b14e1… |
| 07-26 03:09:31 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 120 | 16¢ | $19 | 0x3b14e1… |
| 07-25 12:09:37 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x93f429… |
| 07-25 12:09:37 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 35 | 16¢ | $6 | 0x93f429… |
| 07-25 12:09:37 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 40 | 84¢ | $34 | 0x93f429… |
| 07-25 12:09:31 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 19 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x052e75… |
| 07-25 12:09:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x052e75… |
| 07-25 12:09:31 | (anonymous) 0x6f1b…eb22 | Yes | BUY | 361 | 14¢ | $49 | 0x052e75… |
| 07-25 12:09:31 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 40 | 86¢ | $34 | 0x052e75… |
| 07-25 12:09:31 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x052e75… |
| 07-25 12:09:31 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x052e75… |
| 07-25 12:09:31 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | BUY | 30 | 85¢ | $26 | 0x052e75… |
| 07-25 12:09:31 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 114 | 87¢ | $100 | 0x052e75… |
| 07-25 12:09:30 | (anonymous) 0x32fd…5c8b | Yes | BUY | 19 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xa30b34… |
| 07-25 12:09:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 19 | 88¢ | $17 | 0xa30b34… |
| 07-25 12:09:25 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x2ff46a… |
| 07-25 12:09:25 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x2ff46a… |
| 07-25 12:05:55 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x8c8d08… |
| 07-25 12:05:55 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x8c8d08… |
| 07-25 12:05:51 | Discrete-Dispute 0x3143…81b1 | No | SELL | 2 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x566727… |
| 07-25 12:05:51 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 114 | 12¢ | $14 | 0x566727… |
| 07-25 12:05:51 | (anonymous) 0x32fd…5c8b | Yes | SELL | 116 | 12¢ | $14 | 0x566727… |
| 07-25 12:04:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xae43e1… |
| 07-25 12:04:45 | (anonymous) 0x32fd…5c8b | Yes | SELL | 250 | 15¢ | $36 | 0xae43e1… |
| 07-25 12:04:45 | Nice-Perennial 0xcdb1…276c | No | SELL | 92 | 86¢ | $79 | 0xae43e1… |
| 07-25 12:04:45 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 136 | 15¢ | $20 | 0xae43e1… |
| 07-25 12:03:40 | (anonymous) 0x32fd…5c8b | Yes | SELL | 250 | 16¢ | $40 | 0xcf7f41… |
| 07-25 12:03:40 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0xcf7f41… |
| 07-25 12:03:40 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 212 | 16¢ | $34 | 0xcf7f41… |
| 07-25 12:03:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 8 | 84¢ | $7 | 0xcf7f41… |
| 07-22 18:55:40 | (anonymous) 0x4a7f…3797 | No | SELL | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xe80707… |
| 07-22 18:55:40 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xe80707… |
| 07-22 18:55:40 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xe80707… |
| 07-22 04:05:40 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 41 | 83¢ | $34 | 0x08d933… |