Realized P&L
-$31
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
63.1%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,618
lifetime
Volume
$131.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$81
Open exposure
$1.58K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 14:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
74% 40% $-3
Crypto
7% 100% +$36
Tech
7%
Sports
6% 0% $-65
Politics
6%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1,267 $-1,184 96¢ $-1222 $-37 06-03 19:27
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? Yes +300 $153 50¢ $152 $-2 07-15 04:33
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +146 $15 34¢ $49 +$34 06-02 11:29
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC? Yes +252 $72 17¢ $43 $-30 07-17 10:23
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? Yes +143 $37 27¢ $39 +$1 07-17 10:23
Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch? No +59 $22 64¢ $38 +$16 06-05 10:42
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes +151 $15 10¢ $16 +$1 06-10 12:13
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? Yes +17 $10 65¢ $11 +$1 06-08 12:08
Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +10 $8 87¢ $9 +$1 07-02 19:20
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +50 $15 15¢ $7 $-8 06-09 13:54