Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?
open
Total volume
$1,214
Trades
56
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$1,027
Latest YES mid
23¢
Latest NO mid
77¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-17 11:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+86.3¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $9
vs crowd: 14% YES on $735)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | — | $197 | $197 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $45 | $408 | $363 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $11 | $19 | $9 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $46 | $10 | +$36 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $5 | $190 | $185 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $2 | $5 | $3 |
| Median | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 4 | $17 | $36 | $19 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $25 | $212 | $188 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | — | $178 | $178 |
| unranked | 9 | $44 | $13 | +$31 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | +183 | $124 | $124 | 2 | 06-17 01:49 |
| Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | +80 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-17 01:36 |
| Unnatural-Cephalopod 0x202b…971a | Yes | +50 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-06 00:33 |
| Mundane-Hood 0x5e73…6697 | Yes | +43 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-05 08:22 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +40 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-13 16:01 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +39 | $29 | $29 | 3 | 06-17 11:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x4829…43e3 | Yes | +33 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-13 16:01 |
| Specific-Pear-Whirlwind 0x7091…96f8 | No | +22 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-05 08:22 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-17 01:36 |
| Golden-Unemployment 0x7365…64da | Yes | +19 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 15:55 |
| Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | +19 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-10 15:55 |
| Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 01:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-17 01:44 |
| Pointed-Sail 0x9cfd…dfe7 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-17 01:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1c4…b9b5 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 15:33 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 00:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x0855…ae26 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 11:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xce54…70fc | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 01:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 11:48:07 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | SELL | 15 | 75¢ | $11 | 0xffa035… |
| 06-17 11:48:07 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 13 | 75¢ | $10 | 0xffa035… |
| 06-17 11:48:07 | (anonymous) 0x0855…ae26 | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0xffa035… |
| 06-17 07:35:37 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x3e8536… |
| 06-17 07:35:37 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x3e8536… |
| 06-17 01:49:29 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x5ed78d… |
| 06-17 01:49:29 | Pointed-Sail 0x9cfd…dfe7 | No | BUY | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0x5ed78d… |
| 06-17 01:49:29 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $4 | 0x5ed78d… |
| 06-17 01:49:29 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | No | SELL | 19 | 69¢ | $13 | 0x5ed78d… |
| 06-17 01:44:26 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 178 | 68¢ | $121 | 0x96850a… |
| 06-17 01:44:26 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 10 | 69¢ | $7 | 0x96850a… |
| 06-17 01:44:26 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 196 | 68¢ | $134 | 0x96850a… |
| 06-17 01:44:26 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 8 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x96850a… |
| 06-17 01:42:55 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | No | BUY | 9 | 72¢ | $7 | 0xbf714b… |
| 06-17 01:42:55 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 9 | 72¢ | $7 | 0xbf714b… |
| 06-17 01:41:01 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xd9cb8b… |
| 06-17 01:41:01 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0xd9cb8b… |
| 06-17 01:40:46 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | No | SELL | 226 | 79¢ | $178 | 0xaeaf27… |
| 06-17 01:40:46 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 216 | 79¢ | $170 | 0xaeaf27… |
| 06-17 01:40:46 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xaeaf27… |
| 06-17 01:38:22 | Discrete-Dispute 0x3143…81b1 | No | SELL | 65 | 87¢ | $57 | 0xba3e10… |
| 06-17 01:38:22 | (anonymous) 0xff65…6735 | Yes | SELL | 65 | 13¢ | $8 | 0xba3e10… |
| 06-17 01:37:52 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x1c6221… |
| 06-17 01:37:52 | Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | Yes | BUY | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x1c6221… |
| 06-17 01:37:50 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | No | BUY | 55 | 80¢ | $44 | 0xf76bc8… |
| 06-17 01:37:50 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xf76bc8… |
| 06-17 01:37:50 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 50 | 80¢ | $40 | 0xf76bc8… |
| 06-17 01:36:29 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 19 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x416c32… |
| 06-17 01:36:29 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | No | SELL | 19 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x416c32… |
| 06-17 01:36:22 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x5c684a… |
| 06-17 01:36:22 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x5c684a… |
| 06-17 01:36:08 | (anonymous) 0xff65…6735 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 28¢ | $18 | 0x35a8ff… |
| 06-17 01:36:08 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x35a8ff… |
| 06-17 01:36:08 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 30¢ | $24 | 0x35a8ff… |
| 06-17 01:36:08 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 9 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x35a8ff… |
| 06-17 01:36:08 | Cooked-Replica 0x9f92…2c2d | No | BUY | 174 | 71¢ | $123 | 0x35a8ff… |
| 06-13 16:01:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 33 | 55¢ | $18 | 0x2be1c0… |
| 06-13 16:01:57 | (anonymous) 0x4829…43e3 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 45¢ | $15 | 0x2be1c0… |
| 06-10 15:55:21 | Golden-Unemployment 0x7365…64da | Yes | BUY | 19 | 28¢ | $5 | 0x367461… |
| 06-10 15:55:21 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | BUY | 19 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x367461… |
| 06-08 07:36:58 | Impish-Apprehension 0x68d3…82e1 | No | SELL | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x87d954… |
| 06-08 07:36:58 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x87d954… |
| 06-07 15:33:51 | (anonymous) 0xa1c4…b9b5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x9f7d23… |
| 06-07 15:33:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x9f7d23… |
| 06-06 00:33:36 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0x4fadae… |
| 06-06 00:33:36 | Unnatural-Cephalopod 0x202b…971a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $11 | 0x4fadae… |
| 06-06 00:33:03 | (anonymous) 0xc77c…0d02 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xf05c7a… |
| 06-06 00:33:03 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xf05c7a… |
| 06-06 00:33:01 | (anonymous) 0xc77c…0d02 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x6c8870… |
| 06-06 00:33:01 | Impish-Apprehension 0x68d3…82e1 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x6c8870… |
| 06-05 08:22:31 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x511b78… |
| 06-05 08:22:31 | Mundane-Hood 0x5e73…6697 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 20¢ | $9 | 0x511b78… |
| 06-05 08:22:31 | Specific-Pear-Whirlwind 0x7091…96f8 | No | BUY | 22 | 80¢ | $18 | 0x511b78… |
| 06-05 08:22:31 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x511b78… |
| 05-29 01:49:11 | Discrete-Dispute 0x3143…81b1 | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x4aba25… |
| 05-29 01:49:11 | (anonymous) 0xce54…70fc | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x4aba25… |