Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?
open
Total volume
$7,813
Trades
400
Unique wallets
99
Liquidity
$1,027
Latest YES mid
27¢
Latest NO mid
73¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 08-04 14:21
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-6.1¢
(top1%: 31% YES on $1.1K
vs crowd: 37% YES on $5.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $430 | $1.5K | $1.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 27 | $1.4K | $907 | +$451 |
| 🐟 Fish | 33 | $149 | $841 | $692 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $105 | $179 | $74 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $342 | $755 | $413 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $679 | $681 | $1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $39 | $112 | $73 |
| Median | 13 | $525 | $186 | +$339 |
| Below median | 14 | $104 | $233 | $130 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $0 | $16 | $15 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $135 | $319 | $184 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $74 | $446 | $371 |
| unranked | 35 | $142 | $687 | $545 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | No | +1,049 | $390 | $390 | 4 | 07-02 12:01 |
| Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | +751 | $210 | $210 | 1 | 07-10 09:18 |
| Trained-Sniffle 0xd5b9…e44e | Yes | +579 | $369 | $438 | 3 | 07-05 15:45 |
| Light-Mayonnaise 0x1543…baaf | Yes | +374 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 07-09 23:31 |
| Adventurous-Safari 0xcb14…5358 | No | +372 | $261 | $261 | 5 | 07-27 13:00 |
| Pristine-Business 0x014c…820c | No | +339 | $252 | $252 | 1 | 07-25 16:42 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +251 | $192 | $260 | 13 | 08-02 22:23 |
| Sorrowful-Samovar 0x2843…b3d2 | Yes | +250 | $145 | $145 | 6 | 07-02 21:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | No | +230 | $90 | $90 | 3 | 07-02 21:12 |
| Ornate-Patio 0xfdf3…68ae | Yes | +144 | $36 | $36 | 3 | 07-09 18:37 |
| Useful-Credit 0x94d8…37e6 | Yes | +143 | $37 | $37 | 3 | 07-17 10:23 |
| Instructive-Pagoda 0xb5b6…1fda | No | +140 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-05 15:45 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +114 | $88 | $253 | 13 | 08-04 14:21 |
| Rectangular-Zoologist 0x226b…7343 | Yes | +111 | $65 | $78 | 7 | 08-03 18:08 |
| Fearful-Massage 0xafe2…b686 | No | +92 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 07-09 19:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x7770…518d | No | +78 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 07-28 00:37 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +69 | $19 | $19 | 6 | 08-02 22:23 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +59 | $6 | $112 | 11 | 08-03 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | +55 | $-132 | $658 | 12 | 07-27 19:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +52 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 07-02 21:12 |
| Unnatural-Cephalopod 0x202b…971a | Yes | +50 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-06 00:33 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | +50 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 07-03 19:35 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | +50 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 07-09 18:07 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +49 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 07-05 15:45 |
| Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | No | +47 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 08-04 14:21 |
| Mundane-Hood 0x5e73…6697 | Yes | +43 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-05 08:22 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +41 | $8 | $8 | 5 | 07-26 10:08 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +35 | $24 | $145 | 16 | 07-30 03:40 |
| Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | +31 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 07-01 21:32 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +30 | $14 | $18 | 5 | 07-04 06:59 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $13 | $45 | 7 | 07-26 10:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | +30 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-25 16:42 |
| Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | Yes | +28 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-02 16:13 |
| Specific-Pear-Whirlwind 0x7091…96f8 | No | +22 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-05 08:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x7091…cc89 | Yes | +21 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-25 20:34 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-17 01:36 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +20 | $24 | $33 | 4 | 07-02 17:18 |
| Golden-Unemployment 0x7365…64da | Yes | +19 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 15:55 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +11 | $9 | $248 | 6 | 07-25 16:42 |
| Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 01:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-17 01:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1c4…b9b5 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 15:33 |
| Grandiose-Detainment 0x982c…0d6e | Yes | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-02 12:01 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-11 07:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x34de…6d75 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 10:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e71…9784 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-03 14:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-06 22:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-11 03:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xce54…70fc | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 01:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:21:33 | Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | No | BUY | 9 | 77¢ | $7 | 0xd79ec6… |
| 08-04 14:21:33 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 9 | 77¢ | $7 | 0xd79ec6… |
| 08-03 18:08:11 | Rectangular-Zoologist 0x226b…7343 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x3b2f0b… |
| 08-03 18:08:11 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x3b2f0b… |
| 08-03 18:08:11 | (anonymous) 0x0640…5ea2 | No | SELL | 24 | 75¢ | $18 | 0x3b2f0b… |
| 08-03 11:44:14 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0x911e6c… |
| 08-03 11:44:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x911e6c… |
| 08-02 22:23:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 8 | 76¢ | $6 | 0x0c8fb9… |
| 08-02 22:23:30 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x0c8fb9… |
| 08-01 21:35:09 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0x81537a… |
| 08-01 21:35:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x81537a… |
| 08-01 20:23:03 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xe1766b… |
| 08-01 20:23:03 | Whimsical-Seller 0x808a…ef3f | No | BUY | 38 | 76¢ | $29 | 0xe1766b… |
| 08-01 20:23:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 18 | 76¢ | $14 | 0xe1766b… |
| 07-31 22:10:47 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x5e2ec0… |
| 07-31 22:10:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x5e2ec0… |
| 07-31 12:13:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xe759db… |
| 07-31 12:13:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0xe759db… |
| 07-30 22:26:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x5be9a0… |
| 07-30 22:26:59 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x5be9a0… |
| 07-30 10:39:08 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x68576b… |
| 07-30 10:39:08 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x68576b… |
| 07-30 04:48:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x259bc1… |
| 07-30 04:48:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x259bc1… |
| 07-30 04:13:59 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xf0b744… |
| 07-30 04:13:59 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xf0b744… |
| 07-30 03:40:54 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xeada08… |
| 07-30 03:40:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xeada08… |
| 07-29 20:48:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 21 | 81¢ | $17 | 0x42802e… |
| 07-29 20:48:02 | (anonymous) 0x2975…56e0 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x42802e… |
| 07-28 11:51:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 21 | 75¢ | $16 | 0xc0c84f… |
| 07-28 11:51:37 | (anonymous) 0x2975…56e0 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xc0c84f… |
| 07-28 05:41:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x8ab0ad… |
| 07-28 05:41:42 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x8ab0ad… |
| 07-28 03:46:42 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 2 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x58fe78… |
| 07-28 03:46:42 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 2 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x58fe78… |
| 07-28 00:37:16 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x62bc91… |
| 07-28 00:37:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 32 | 75¢ | $24 | 0x62bc91… |
| 07-28 00:37:16 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 38 | 75¢ | $29 | 0x62bc91… |
| 07-28 00:37:16 | (anonymous) 0x7770…518d | No | BUY | 78 | 75¢ | $58 | 0x62bc91… |
| 07-27 19:23:57 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | BUY | 21 | 74¢ | $16 | 0x85367f… |
| 07-27 19:23:57 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | SELL | 11 | 74¢ | $8 | 0x85367f… |
| 07-27 19:23:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0x85367f… |
| 07-27 15:38:12 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0xdf3da0… |
| 07-27 15:38:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 4 | 76¢ | $3 | 0xdf3da0… |
| 07-27 15:38:12 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 6 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xdf3da0… |
| 07-27 13:00:16 | Adventurous-Safari 0xcb14…5358 | No | BUY | 21 | 72¢ | $15 | 0xeaf6dd… |
| 07-27 13:00:16 | Rectangular-Zoologist 0x226b…7343 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 28¢ | $5 | 0xeaf6dd… |
| 07-27 13:00:16 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | SELL | 40 | 72¢ | $29 | 0xeaf6dd… |
| 07-27 12:48:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 40 | 73¢ | $29 | 0x326d73… |
| 07-27 12:48:00 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | No | SELL | 40 | 73¢ | $29 | 0x326d73… |
| 07-27 12:41:33 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0x78a2a3… |
| 07-27 12:41:33 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 6 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x78a2a3… |
| 07-27 12:41:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 24 | 73¢ | $18 | 0x78a2a3… |
| 07-27 12:40:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0x664b58… |
| 07-27 12:40:45 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | No | SELL | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0x664b58… |
| 07-27 12:40:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 50 | 73¢ | $36 | 0x94d131… |
| 07-27 12:40:40 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | No | SELL | 50 | 73¢ | $36 | 0x94d131… |
| 07-27 12:40:28 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0x2e5cb5… |
| 07-27 12:40:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 6 | 74¢ | $5 | 0x2e5cb5… |
| 07-27 12:40:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 24 | 73¢ | $17 | 0x2e5cb5… |
| 07-27 12:40:21 | Adventurous-Safari 0xcb14…5358 | No | BUY | 9 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x8259db… |
| 07-27 12:40:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x8259db… |
| 07-27 12:40:21 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 26 | 74¢ | $20 | 0x8259db… |
| 07-27 12:40:21 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 40 | 74¢ | $29 | 0x8259db… |
| 07-27 12:40:18 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 30 | 74¢ | $22 | 0xca498e… |
| 07-27 12:40:18 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 14 | 74¢ | $10 | 0xca498e… |
| 07-27 12:40:18 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 6 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xca498e… |
| 07-27 12:40:18 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xca498e… |
| 07-27 12:40:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x548920… |
| 07-27 12:40:09 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 30 | 74¢ | $22 | 0x548920… |
| 07-27 12:40:09 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x548920… |
| 07-27 12:40:09 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 40 | 74¢ | $30 | 0x548920… |
| 07-27 12:37:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x33e58d… |
| 07-27 12:37:10 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x33e58d… |
| 07-27 12:37:00 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x0c1b1a… |
| 07-27 12:37:00 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | BUY | 11 | 73¢ | $8 | 0x0c1b1a… |
| 07-27 12:37:00 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | No | SELL | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0x0c1b1a… |
| 07-27 12:37:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 18 | 73¢ | $13 | 0x0c1b1a… |
| 07-27 12:36:58 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | No | BUY | 40 | 80¢ | $32 | 0x022b1b… |
| 07-27 12:36:58 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | No | BUY | 50 | 80¢ | $40 | 0x022b1b… |
| 07-27 12:36:58 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0x022b1b… |
| 07-27 12:36:58 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 40 | 80¢ | $32 | 0x022b1b… |
| 07-27 12:36:58 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0x022b1b… |
| 07-27 12:36:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 21¢ | $8 | 0x022b1b… |
| 07-27 12:36:58 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 40 | 80¢ | $32 | 0x022b1b… |
| 07-27 12:36:58 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | SELL | 502 | 79¢ | $395 | 0x022b1b… |
| 07-27 12:36:58 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x022b1b… |
| 07-27 12:36:58 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | BUY | 40 | 80¢ | $32 | 0x022b1b… |
| 07-27 12:36:58 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 122 | 25¢ | $30 | 0x022b1b… |
| 07-27 12:36:58 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x022b1b… |
| 07-27 12:36:58 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | No | BUY | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0x022b1b… |
| 07-27 12:36:58 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | No | BUY | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0x022b1b… |
| 07-26 10:08:52 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0xbda2a1… |
| 07-26 10:08:52 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xbda2a1… |
| 07-26 10:08:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 18 | 18¢ | $3 | 0xbda2a1… |
| 07-26 07:04:51 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 25 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xf59bd9… |
| 07-26 07:04:51 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0xf59bd9… |
| 07-26 07:04:51 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xf59bd9… |
| 07-26 02:58:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x1d46fa… |