Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?
open
Total volume
$5,228
Trades
248
Unique wallets
81
Liquidity
$1,027
Latest YES mid
28¢
Latest NO mid
72¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-11 07:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.2¢
(top1%: 40% YES on $846
vs crowd: 46% YES on $4.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $123 | $466 | $342 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 25 | $1.5K | $1.1K | +$424 |
| 🐟 Fish | 20 | $125 | $331 | $206 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $98 | $328 | $230 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $342 | $504 | $161 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $652 | $483 | +$169 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $107 | $27 | +$80 |
| Median | 6 | $442 | $139 | +$302 |
| Below median | 10 | $56 | $125 | $69 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $8 | $16 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $110 | $274 | $164 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $31 | $272 | $241 |
| unranked | 27 | $113 | $377 | $264 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | No | +1,049 | $390 | $390 | 4 | 07-02 12:01 |
| Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | +751 | $210 | $210 | 1 | 07-10 09:18 |
| Trained-Sniffle 0xd5b9…e44e | Yes | +579 | $369 | $438 | 3 | 07-05 15:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | +536 | $247 | $247 | 10 | 07-06 22:18 |
| Light-Mayonnaise 0x1543…baaf | Yes | +374 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 07-09 23:31 |
| Adventurous-Safari 0xcb14…5358 | No | +342 | $239 | $239 | 3 | 07-10 00:00 |
| Sorrowful-Samovar 0x2843…b3d2 | Yes | +250 | $145 | $145 | 6 | 07-02 21:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | No | +230 | $90 | $90 | 3 | 07-02 21:12 |
| Ornate-Patio 0xfdf3…68ae | Yes | +144 | $36 | $36 | 3 | 07-09 18:37 |
| Instructive-Pagoda 0xb5b6…1fda | No | +140 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-05 15:45 |
| Rectangular-Zoologist 0x226b…7343 | Yes | +133 | $71 | $71 | 5 | 07-06 20:03 |
| Humiliating-Ability 0x993b…deda | Yes | +122 | $58 | $62 | 4 | 07-05 08:15 |
| Fearful-Massage 0xafe2…b686 | No | +92 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 07-09 19:15 |
| mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | +60 | $35 | $57 | 3 | 07-05 06:06 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +56 | $42 | $130 | 3 | 07-09 19:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +52 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 07-02 21:12 |
| Unnatural-Cephalopod 0x202b…971a | Yes | +50 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-06 00:33 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | +50 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 07-03 19:35 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | +50 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 07-09 18:07 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +49 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 07-05 15:45 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +44 | $40 | $108 | 4 | 07-02 18:24 |
| Mundane-Hood 0x5e73…6697 | Yes | +43 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-05 08:22 |
| Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | No | +31 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 07-01 21:32 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +30 | $14 | $18 | 5 | 07-04 06:59 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $13 | $34 | 4 | 07-03 19:35 |
| Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | Yes | +28 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-02 16:13 |
| Useful-Credit 0x94d8…37e6 | Yes | +26 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-01 10:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x0640…5ea2 | No | +24 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-02 21:12 |
| Specific-Pear-Whirlwind 0x7091…96f8 | No | +22 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-05 08:22 |
| Hungry-Web 0xb64f…3237 | No | +21 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-02 04:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x7091…cc89 | Yes | +21 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-25 20:34 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +21 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 07-11 07:29 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-17 01:36 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +20 | $24 | $33 | 4 | 07-02 17:18 |
| Golden-Unemployment 0x7365…64da | Yes | +19 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 15:55 |
| Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 01:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-17 01:44 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 07-03 19:41 |
| Infamous-Meatloaf 0x41b6…8f2b | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-03 22:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1c4…b9b5 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 15:33 |
| Grandiose-Detainment 0x982c…0d6e | Yes | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-02 12:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-04 04:20 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-11 07:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x34de…6d75 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 10:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-10 10:14 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | +3 | $-12 | $261 | 5 | 07-09 19:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e71…9784 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-03 14:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-06 22:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-11 03:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xce54…70fc | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 01:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 07:29:32 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x042ae6… |
| 07-11 07:29:32 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x042ae6… |
| 07-11 03:54:43 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x593c2c… |
| 07-11 03:54:43 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | SELL | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x593c2c… |
| 07-10 10:14:10 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0x550ddb… |
| 07-10 10:14:10 | (anonymous) 0x34de…6d75 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x550ddb… |
| 07-10 09:18:19 | Cuddly-Folder 0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | BUY | 751 | 28¢ | $210 | 0xeaf869… |
| 07-10 09:18:19 | CherryB16 0xe605…ac5f | Yes | SELL | 759 | 28¢ | $213 | 0xeaf869… |
| 07-10 09:18:19 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 8 | 71¢ | $6 | 0xeaf869… |
| 07-10 00:00:14 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | SELL | 50 | 69¢ | $35 | 0xc18741… |
| 07-10 00:00:14 | Adventurous-Safari 0xcb14…5358 | No | BUY | 42 | 69¢ | $29 | 0xc18741… |
| 07-10 00:00:14 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 8 | 70¢ | $6 | 0xc18741… |
| 07-09 23:31:46 | Adventurous-Safari 0xcb14…5358 | No | BUY | 100 | 70¢ | $70 | 0xa27474… |
| 07-09 23:31:46 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xa27474… |
| 07-09 23:31:46 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 50 | 73¢ | $36 | 0xa27474… |
| 07-09 23:31:46 | Light-Mayonnaise 0x1543…baaf | Yes | BUY | 374 | 29¢ | $110 | 0xa27474… |
| 07-09 23:31:46 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xa27474… |
| 07-09 23:31:46 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xa27474… |
| 07-09 23:31:46 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xa27474… |
| 07-09 19:15:11 | Fearful-Massage 0xafe2…b686 | No | BUY | 92 | 75¢ | $69 | 0x7d05ae… |
| 07-09 19:15:11 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 59 | 75¢ | $44 | 0x7d05ae… |
| 07-09 19:15:11 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 33 | 76¢ | $25 | 0x7d05ae… |
| 07-09 19:01:20 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x32edf1… |
| 07-09 19:01:20 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x32edf1… |
| 07-09 18:37:53 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 56 | 75¢ | $42 | 0x864b01… |
| 07-09 18:37:53 | Ornate-Patio 0xfdf3…68ae | Yes | BUY | 41 | 25¢ | $10 | 0x864b01… |
| 07-09 18:37:53 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 14 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x864b01… |
| 07-09 18:13:34 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 59 | 75¢ | $44 | 0x857f23… |
| 07-09 18:13:34 | Ornate-Patio 0xfdf3…68ae | Yes | BUY | 59 | 25¢ | $15 | 0x857f23… |
| 07-09 18:07:22 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | BUY | 44 | 75¢ | $33 | 0x8d4867… |
| 07-09 18:07:22 | Ornate-Patio 0xfdf3…68ae | Yes | BUY | 44 | 25¢ | $11 | 0x8d4867… |
| 07-09 17:01:25 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0x8f31fe… |
| 07-09 17:01:25 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x8f31fe… |
| 07-09 14:39:02 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x8f1c0d… |
| 07-09 14:39:02 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x8f1c0d… |
| 07-09 14:17:22 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 136 | 76¢ | $104 | 0xfb6489… |
| 07-09 14:17:22 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xfb6489… |
| 07-09 14:17:22 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 15 | 25¢ | $4 | 0xfb6489… |
| 07-09 14:17:22 | Shady-Dog 0x7a90…2ff9 | Yes | SELL | 157 | 24¢ | $38 | 0xfb6489… |
| 07-08 00:12:01 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x638bed… |
| 07-08 00:12:01 | Shady-Dog 0x7a90…2ff9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x638bed… |
| 07-06 22:18:10 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x87ee4a… |
| 07-06 22:18:10 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | BUY | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x87ee4a… |
| 07-06 22:18:10 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 34¢ | $0 | 0x87ee4a… |
| 07-06 20:03:47 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | BUY | 6 | 69¢ | $4 | 0xf2906b… |
| 07-06 20:03:47 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 0 | 30¢ | $0 | 0xf2906b… |
| 07-06 20:03:47 | Rectangular-Zoologist 0x226b…7343 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xf2906b… |
| 07-06 20:03:22 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x99eb29… |
| 07-06 20:03:22 | Rectangular-Zoologist 0x226b…7343 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x99eb29… |
| 07-05 15:45:58 | Instructive-Pagoda 0xb5b6…1fda | No | BUY | 140 | 72¢ | $100 | 0x67f55e… |
| 07-05 15:45:58 | Trained-Sniffle 0xd5b9…e44e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x67f55e… |
| 07-05 15:45:58 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | SELL | 19 | 73¢ | $14 | 0x67f55e… |
| 07-05 15:45:58 | Shady-Dog 0x7a90…2ff9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 31¢ | $15 | 0x67f55e… |
| 07-05 15:45:58 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 49 | 27¢ | $13 | 0x67f55e… |
| 07-05 15:45:58 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 10 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x67f55e… |
| 07-05 10:25:55 | Shady-Dog 0x7a90…2ff9 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 31¢ | $25 | 0x005072… |
| 07-05 10:25:55 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 31¢ | $25 | 0x005072… |
| 07-05 08:19:26 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 15 | 31¢ | $5 | 0x79e693… |
| 07-05 08:19:26 | Shady-Dog 0x7a90…2ff9 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 31¢ | $5 | 0x79e693… |
| 07-05 08:17:13 | Shady-Dog 0x7a90…2ff9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xf4ce7b… |
| 07-05 08:17:13 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xf4ce7b… |
| 07-05 08:15:31 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xbdf4aa… |
| 07-05 08:15:31 | Humiliating-Ability 0x993b…deda | Yes | SELL | 7 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xbdf4aa… |
| 07-05 06:06:13 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x94b2a9… |
| 07-05 06:06:13 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | No | SELL | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x94b2a9… |
| 07-05 06:06:11 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | BUY | 70 | 63¢ | $44 | 0x6460b4… |
| 07-05 06:06:11 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | No | SELL | 64 | 63¢ | $40 | 0x6460b4… |
| 07-05 06:06:11 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x6460b4… |
| 07-04 23:01:26 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 9 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x325d0d… |
| 07-04 23:01:26 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x325d0d… |
| 07-04 21:51:13 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 10 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x80b55f… |
| 07-04 21:51:13 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | BUY | 10 | 61¢ | $6 | 0x80b55f… |
| 07-04 06:59:55 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x382f9e… |
| 07-04 06:59:55 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x382f9e… |
| 07-04 06:59:55 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 38¢ | $4 | 0x382f9e… |
| 07-04 06:19:53 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xe0d233… |
| 07-04 06:19:53 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xe0d233… |
| 07-04 04:20:41 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 38¢ | $0 | 0xb9a5a2… |
| 07-04 04:20:41 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xb9a5a2… |
| 07-04 04:20:41 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 11 | 39¢ | $4 | 0xb9a5a2… |
| 07-04 04:20:41 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | BUY | 17 | 61¢ | $11 | 0xb9a5a2… |
| 07-04 04:13:23 | Deficient-Elicit 0xa312…b28e | No | SELL | 2 | 57¢ | $1 | 0xeb2201… |
| 07-04 04:13:23 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xeb2201… |
| 07-03 22:59:40 | Infamous-Meatloaf 0x41b6…8f2b | No | BUY | 7 | 58¢ | $4 | 0xa95ea1… |
| 07-03 22:59:40 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 42¢ | $3 | 0xa95ea1… |
| 07-03 19:41:55 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x551852… |
| 07-03 19:41:55 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 44¢ | $0 | 0x551852… |
| 07-03 19:41:55 | Deficient-Elicit 0xa312…b28e | No | BUY | 2 | 57¢ | $1 | 0x551852… |
| 07-03 19:38:38 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 44¢ | $3 | 0xfec92b… |
| 07-03 19:38:38 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 8 | 44¢ | $3 | 0xfec92b… |
| 07-03 19:35:46 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 43¢ | $9 | 0xa015f1… |
| 07-03 19:35:46 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | BUY | 102 | 56¢ | $57 | 0xa015f1… |
| 07-03 19:35:46 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | BUY | 50 | 44¢ | $22 | 0xa015f1… |
| 07-03 19:35:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 45¢ | $14 | 0xa015f1… |
| 07-03 14:30:20 | (anonymous) 0x0e71…9784 | No | BUY | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0x7b7ab6… |
| 07-03 14:30:20 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 2 | 44¢ | $1 | 0x7b7ab6… |
| 07-03 14:22:31 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | BUY | 100 | 53¢ | $53 | 0x4ade32… |
| 07-03 14:22:31 | Humiliating-Ability 0x993b…deda | Yes | BUY | 100 | 47¢ | $47 | 0x4ade32… |
| 07-03 07:30:07 | (anonymous) 0xfcc4…f3da | Yes | SELL | 17 | 38¢ | $6 | 0x66df68… |
| 07-03 07:30:07 | Rectangular-Zoologist 0x226b…7343 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 38¢ | $6 | 0x66df68… |