Rectangular-Zoologist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

-$35

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

Trades

671

lifetime

Volume

$49.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

$36

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-23 03:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

40% — —

Politics

38% 0% $-8

Tech

15% — —

Crypto

7% 100% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?	Yes		+133	$71	27¢	$36	$-35	07-06 20:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	33	$6.1K	5,886	5,886	+0	open	—	06-29 12:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	18	$5.5K	3,702	3,702	-0	open	—	06-05 12:58
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	38	$4.4K	3,400	3,365	+35	open	—	06-13 16:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	13	$2.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	07-11 22:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	11	$2.6K	2,000	1,791	+209	open	—	06-14 08:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	27	$2.3K	2,758	2,461	+296	open	—	04-06 15:13
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	14	$1.7K	1,037	1,037	+0	open	—	06-12 19:22
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	8	$1.3K	730	730	+0	open	—	05-25 19:10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	27	$1.3K	800	800	+0	open	—	04-03 15:35
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	22	$1.2K	809	809	+0	open	—	06-25 09:37
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	8	$903	458	458	+0	open	—	04-01 17:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$850	500	500	+0	open	—	07-08 13:06
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	14	$797	472	472	+0	open	—	04-26 08:15
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 1pt5	2	$741	441	441	+0	open	—	07-04 23:08
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 3pt5	2	$738	617	309	+309	open	—	07-06 02:18
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	3	$723	400	400	+0	open	—	06-12 17:50
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	24	$696	789	689	+100	open	—	04-28 10:53
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	11	$674	414	350	+64	open	—	04-26 17:30
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	1	$660	0	1,000	-1,000	open	—	06-13 18:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	3	$610	500	500	+0	open	—	05-28 10:32
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	10	$532	1,212	1,212	+0	open	—	06-22 14:46
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	27	$531	411	411	+0	open	—	04-26 08:30
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	20	$501	337	337	+0	open	—	03-25 15:34
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	5	$430	500	0	+500	open	—	06-29 06:52
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	10	$418	223	223	+0	open	—	02-27 21:44
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	16	$418	809	609	+200	open	—	07-18 05:14
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals kylian mbappe gte1	4	$407	303	303	+0	open	—	07-04 22:34
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	7	$393	700	500	+200	open	—	07-23 03:07
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	7	$361	200	200	+0	open	—	05-08 02:38
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	8	$316	203	203	+0	open	—	03-29 15:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 03:07:03	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0xcda9d4…
07-21 17:46:52	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x07fdd6…
07-19 14:17:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	47	60¢	$28	0x054928…
07-19 13:13:25	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	26	59¢	$16	0x73ed6a…
07-19 13:07:12	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xacf986…
07-19 12:58:24	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x47be16…
07-19 12:48:18	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3f6971…
07-19 12:34:07	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x9b351c…
07-19 10:15:00	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x5b01df…
07-18 23:08:37	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	SELL	300	35¢	$105	0x5e12cd…
07-18 18:51:25	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0x8f54da…
07-18 18:30:48	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x582149…
07-18 16:15:54	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xb23688…
07-18 09:04:19	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	BUY	300	35¢	$105	0x8643dc…
07-18 05:14:40	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x80a7b4…
07-15 20:55:34	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	SELL	151	100¢	$151	0xbac773…
07-15 17:54:01	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	151	53¢	$80	0x77ce31…
07-13 23:43:10	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	27	31¢	$8	0x739408…
07-13 23:43:10	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	23	31¢	$7	0x117db7…
07-13 15:41:19	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	43	30¢	$13	0x3dcc7b…
07-13 14:16:56	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4accfb…
07-13 13:54:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x632ba2…
07-13 07:19:26	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x67f1eb…
07-12 23:30:11	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	17	20¢	$3	0x69707a…
07-12 23:30:04	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	43	20¢	$9	0xa69d8c…
07-12 23:30:01	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0xee1eff…
07-12 14:57:22	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0xb6e640…
07-12 14:56:40	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x298b32…
07-12 12:02:26	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x370eef…
07-12 11:59:38	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x55e5a7…
07-11 22:30:34	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x4a9408…
07-11 22:11:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	141	32¢	$45	0x25aa2c…
07-11 22:08:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	40	32¢	$13	0xa96354…
07-11 22:08:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	500	32¢	$160	0x75f57b…
07-11 22:07:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	38	32¢	$12	0xfb4cfc…
07-11 15:49:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	281	35¢	$98	0x2d3400…
07-11 15:00:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,000	34¢	$340	0x5796d3…
07-10 22:24:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	486	36¢	$175	0x4186d8…
07-10 19:04:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	514	37¢	$190	0xbeb317…
07-10 18:27:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,000	36¢	$360	0x477651…
07-09 15:36:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	1,000	38¢	$380	0xeafc1f…
07-09 06:08:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,000	41¢	$410	0xadbaa6…
07-08 13:06:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	500	85¢	$425	0x1aa020…
07-08 11:46:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	500	85¢	$425	0x58cdb4…
07-07 16:57:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	1,000	38¢	$380	0xa9d284…
07-07 16:55:25	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	SELL	104	14¢	$15	0x0131ac…
07-07 15:44:08	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x3eedc7…
07-07 13:40:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,000	38¢	$380	0x4a5733…
07-06 20:03:47	Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xf2906b…
07-06 20:03:22	Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x99eb29…
07-06 02:18:49	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	309	77¢	$238	0xdceadb…
07-06 01:58:34	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	617	81¢	$500	0x6ab523…
07-05 15:22:34	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	SELL	33	29¢	$10	0xde7e0a…
07-05 11:13:19	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x88451e…
07-04 23:08:46	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 1pt5	Under	SELL	441	100¢	$441	0xf675d5…
07-04 22:53:49	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	441	68¢	$300	0x959ae2…
07-04 22:34:44	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0xc9a2c4…
07-04 22:12:35	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	SELL	76	46¢	$35	0x21a991…
07-04 22:04:19	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	88	26¢	$23	0xfabeff…
07-04 21:54:49	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	88	27¢	$24	0xaaae23…
07-04 20:46:01	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 btts	No	SELL	167	59¢	$98	0xd2f698…
07-04 20:45:44	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xef63fc…
07-04 20:30:25	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	SELL	152	64¢	$97	0xcac682…
07-04 20:29:20	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 btts	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x9dbf04…
07-04 19:09:37	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0xf71b7a…
07-04 15:43:35	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	86	58¢	$50	0xad0219…
07-04 14:18:25	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xec7017…
07-03 21:21:55	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	SELL	75	66¢	$49	0x36d782…
07-03 21:21:01	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 btts	No	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x66203b…
07-03 20:59:04	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x17591b…
07-03 20:50:40	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x220dab…
07-03 07:30:07	Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?	Yes	BUY	17	38¢	$6	0x66df68…
07-02 21:12:29	Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?	Yes	BUY	47	60¢	$28	0x459581…
07-02 19:35:38	Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?	Yes	BUY	53	60¢	$32	0x290cb5…
07-02 18:28:28	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x3222a6…
06-30 19:59:43	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0x58b73c…
06-29 12:37:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	500	39¢	$195	0x90719f…
06-29 08:11:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	500	38¢	$190	0x39a9c7…
06-29 06:52:55	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	299	86¢	$257	0x8346f4…
06-29 06:51:16	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	88	86¢	$76	0x53ccfc…
06-29 06:51:05	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	71	86¢	$61	0x1fd479…
06-29 06:46:56	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x9e434d…
06-29 06:44:35	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0xfa063f…
06-28 18:19:23	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x745e6c…
06-28 18:17:56	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0xfa6152…
06-28 13:38:25	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0xd3d5ac…
06-28 10:28:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	500	63¢	$315	0x8aa0af…
06-28 10:17:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	500	64¢	$320	0xdada69…
06-28 08:46:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,000	64¢	$640	0x08b378…
06-27 17:54:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	240	55¢	$132	0x80750f…
06-27 17:51:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x908eaf…
06-27 17:24:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	250	55¢	$137	0x7de803…
06-27 17:19:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	500	54¢	$270	0xd5fcec…
06-27 09:55:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,000	51¢	$510	0xfde7f6…
06-27 07:39:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x9d975d…
06-26 19:48:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	241	45¢	$108	0x293cbb…
06-26 16:36:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	55	44¢	$24	0x472ea3…
06-26 16:30:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x435a78…
06-26 15:35:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	145	46¢	$67	0xc46b93…
06-26 15:34:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1b3fb1…