Realized P&L
+$11.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$141
Hit rate
70.7%
Resolved
30
Trades
2,660
lifetime
Volume
$377.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$142
Open exposure
$9.66K
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 06-29 23:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Sports
54% 54% +$10,908
Other
31%
Tech
8%
Politics
5%
Crypto
2% 50% +$687
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 170 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +8,184 $4,381 70¢ $5.7K +$1,307 06-25 20:14
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes -1,997 $-653 45¢ $-899 $-246 06-13 14:31
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes -807 $-590 90¢ $-722 $-132 06-29 16:06
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +2,927 $1,481 24¢ $702 $-779 06-16 21:41
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? Yes +5,309 $779 10¢ $557 $-222 06-09 20:13
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -463 $-236 76¢ $-352 $-116 06-10 21:10
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +307 $172 99¢ $304 +$132 06-12 08:49
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +824 $320 30¢ $251 $-68 06-25 00:02
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -1,455 $-92 $-72 +$20 06-14 07:09
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes +516 $63 13¢ $66 +$3 06-09 20:14
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +516 $67 $46 $-21 06-13 09:48
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +42 $20 $0 $-20 06-12 00:08