Light-Mayonnaise 0x154335…f8baaf
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$11.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.24K
Hit rate
70.7%
Resolved
30
Trades
2,696
lifetime
Volume
$393.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$146
Open exposure
$5.69K
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 07-09 23:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Sports
52% 54% +$10,908
Other
34% — —
Tech
7% — —
Politics
5% — —
Crypto
2% 50% +$687
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 170 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +12,835 $1,669 12¢ $1.5K $-193 07-06 11:21
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,848 $848 30¢ $840 $-8 07-06 17:32
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes -1,997 $-653 37¢ $-739 $-86 06-13 14:31
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +2,324 $695 24¢ $546 $-149 07-05 22:58
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +2,927 $1,481 18¢ $512 $-969 06-16 21:41
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? Yes +5,309 $779 8¢ $425 $-354 06-09 20:13
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes -447 $-287 88¢ $-393 $-106 07-06 12:00
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -463 $-236 82¢ $-382 $-146 06-10 21:10
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +226 $90 63¢ $143 +$52 07-05 17:36
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? Yes +374 $110 27¢ $101 $-9 07-09 23:31
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -1,455 $-92 4¢ $-60 +$31 06-14 07:09
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +516 $67 8¢ $39 $-28 06-13 09:48
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes +516 $63 7¢ $36 $-27 06-09 20:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $-3,230 99¢ $0 +$3,230 07-07 08:59