Ornate-Patio — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

Trades

665

lifetime

Volume

$110.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$166

Open exposure

$30

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-19 08:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

50% 50% $-33

Other

26% — —

Sports

23% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes		+226	$44	12¢	$28	$-16	06-19 08:17
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes		-11	$-3	16¢	$-2	+$1	06-17 17:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	43	$11.5K	6,590	6,590	+0	open	—	02-19 16:13
will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	28	$8.1K	6,109	6,309	-200	open	—	04-29 19:19
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	4	$7.6K	6,433	6,433	+0	open	—	02-20 16:40
will bad bunny perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	17	$7.0K	3,528	3,528	+0	open	—	02-09 00:42
Will Miguel Uribe Turbay win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$6.7K	6,760	0	+6,760	open	—	02-19 17:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	18	$5.8K	4,055	4,055	+0	open	—	04-22 13:09
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	6	$4.6K	4,715	215	+4,500	open	—	03-10 16:29
will pacto histrico win 24 26 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election 354 836	25	$4.3K	2,940	1,865	+1,075	open	—	04-27 21:01
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$4.2K	2,410	2,410	+0	open	—	03-25 14:12
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	11	$4.1K	4,732	4,732	+0	open	—	02-18 01:49
Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$3.0K	1,680	1,680	+0	open	—	06-18 03:26
will dtmf be played at the super bowl halftime show	11	$2.8K	2,820	0	+2,820	open	—	02-09 01:14
will avcce win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	5	$2.7K	1,424	1,424	+0	open	—	01-23 13:39
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	13	$2.7K	2,187	2,187	+0	open	—	04-21 23:10
Will Dan Koe win the X $1M article prize?	9	$2.6K	2,213	1,000	+1,214	open	—	02-03 21:49
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	2	$2.1K	2,576	2,576	+0	open	—	02-26 18:51
will pacto histrico win 27 29 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election 315 883	21	$2.1K	1,197	1,079	+118	open	—	04-23 13:10
will plc win the second most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	27	$1.8K	1,079	1,077	+2	open	—	04-22 14:18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	10	$1.8K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	04-11 17:07
will plc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	7	$1.8K	949	949	+0	open	—	01-21 18:40
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	15	$1.7K	930	930	+0	open	—	04-21 20:38
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?	8	$1.5K	641	1,000	-359	open	—	02-03 21:49
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	2	$1.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-25 14:56
Will Germán Vargas Lleras place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	7	$1.5K	1,462	0	+1,462	open	—	04-25 04:04
will pcc win the second most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	29	$1.1K	550	550	+0	open	—	03-10 00:01
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	3	$925	500	500	+0	open	—	02-28 15:30
fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	1	$900	1,011	0	+1,011	open	—	06-15 22:12
Clavicular unbanned from Youtube by April 30?	6	$834	429	428	+1	open	—	04-25 19:32
Will CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	26	$776	530	529	+2	open	—	04-22 14:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	9	$767	1,174	1,174	+0	open	—	03-01 03:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 08:17:29	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x89a42f…
06-18 22:42:53	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0xd94867…
06-18 03:26:04	Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	590	92¢	$542	0x598a2e…
06-18 03:25:55	Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,090	92¢	$1,003	0xe5bf83…
06-17 17:55:53	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0xb79e5d…
06-17 17:55:31	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0x0c05e2…
06-17 01:12:37	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x6269e2…
06-15 22:12:40	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1,011	89¢	$900	0x097620…
06-15 15:54:48	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x5d98cd…
06-15 15:30:43	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	337	89¢	$300	0xc52a4a…
06-15 04:22:27	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x3b3a3c…
06-15 04:16:45	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x2aa9df…
06-15 03:24:12	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xdc4dc4…
06-15 03:08:10	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Sean O'Malley	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x7ac340…
06-11 13:06:58	Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	628	90¢	$566	0x79f817…
06-11 01:00:33	mlb lad pit 2026 06 10	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	156	91¢	$142	0xe978b1…
06-10 23:05:55	mlb lad pit 2026 06 10	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x36fe45…
06-10 21:21:37	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x9f616c…
06-10 19:03:34	Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	689	90¢	$620	0xdd4a00…
06-10 14:37:04	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	485	6¢	$31	0xdd1466…
06-10 13:50:57	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	485	6¢	$30	0xa26dcb…
06-08 02:46:58	Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	349	88¢	$307	0x796887…
06-05 23:16:58	Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xdd184a…
06-05 04:20:09	Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0x362c40…
06-04 02:23:55	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0xc491f6…
06-03 16:54:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x5c609d…
06-03 16:22:13	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	TYLOO	SELL	116	74¢	$86	0xd2d9a7…
06-03 16:13:40	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	TYLOO	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x7bff36…
06-02 18:45:13	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	FlyQuest	SELL	339	20¢	$68	0x135e5a…
06-02 18:25:41	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	FlyQuest	BUY	339	59¢	$200	0xe6f774…
05-27 20:37:32	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	20¢	$18	0x551b2d…
05-16 23:30:44	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0x5cf9e4…
05-15 13:18:16	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	86¢	$190	0x9af548…
05-14 06:44:28	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	68¢	$67	0xe8cba5…
05-14 02:02:01	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	68¢	$15	0x2d6e5f…
05-14 02:01:23	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	68¢	$15	0x5dd52b…
05-13 21:39:44	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xf4fdc2…
05-13 09:08:22	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$9	0xec3aa4…
05-13 09:06:58	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x8de482…
05-13 09:05:15	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	68¢	$16	0x5cb3b6…
05-13 09:05:13	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0xb60828…
05-13 09:05:11	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0xa6ae17…
05-13 07:29:57	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	68¢	$35	0x996d8a…
05-13 04:23:16	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0xd3eb99…
05-03 00:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x4f9abb…
04-29 19:19:28	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	SELL	4,032	100¢	$4,024	0x1d8710…
04-28 22:13:32	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	BUY	500	81¢	$404	0x133c75…
04-28 16:53:54	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	BUY	54	90¢	$49	0x387f4f…
04-28 14:39:10	Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xa17101…
04-28 13:47:22	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	BUY	150	85¢	$128	0xf814f6…
04-28 13:45:54	Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xec3873…
04-28 03:14:32	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	BUY	70	86¢	$60	0xe72340…
04-28 00:46:36	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	BUY	21	89¢	$18	0xdafc07…
04-27 21:51:42	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x84fe75…
04-27 21:29:00	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x8e0cce…
04-27 21:20:32	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	BUY	48	90¢	$44	0x5c2de4…
04-27 21:02:30	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	BUY	557	90¢	$500	0xf95123…
04-27 21:01:42	will pacto histrico win 24 26 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election 354 836	Yes	SELL	1,075	94¢	$1,015	0xee04ff…
04-27 20:03:20	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	BUY	53	90¢	$48	0x712121…
04-27 18:58:02	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	BUY	147	90¢	$132	0x840c4b…
04-27 01:41:54	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	BUY	261	88¢	$230	0xfde6a8…
04-27 01:41:10	will pacto histrico win 24 26 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election 354 836	Yes	SELL	600	95¢	$570	0x475194…
04-27 01:40:36	will pacto histrico win 24 26 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election 354 836	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xb8d445…
04-26 21:48:52	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	BUY	45	90¢	$41	0x4b7b15…
04-26 13:26:34	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	BUY	143	90¢	$129	0xb4c67b…
04-26 13:26:14	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	Yes	SELL	977	10¢	$98	0xe32abf…
04-26 07:33:32	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	Yes	SELL	300	10¢	$30	0x835ded…
04-25 23:10:30	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x379b13…
04-25 22:15:28	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	Yes	SELL	500	10¢	$50	0x749c1d…
04-25 19:33:00	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	BUY	347	90¢	$313	0x78cfbc…
04-25 19:32:10	Clavicular unbanned from Youtube by April 30?	No	SELL	321	98¢	$313	0x054dd0…
04-25 19:25:54	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	BUY	621	90¢	$559	0x5297e8…
04-25 16:27:30	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	BUY	336	83¢	$280	0x37d0ce…
04-25 16:27:04	Clavicular unbanned from Youtube by April 30?	No	SELL	107	97¢	$104	0xfd903a…
04-25 15:26:08	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	Yes	SELL	500	12¢	$58	0x06948d…
04-25 15:26:08	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	BUY	222	88¢	$196	0x06948d…
04-25 14:28:56	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,041	10¢	$100	0x6c2950…
04-25 08:24:40	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	300	33¢	$100	0xcb38cd…
04-25 08:22:30	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	78	35¢	$27	0x188ecf…
04-25 08:21:32	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	857	35¢	$300	0x3b269a…
04-25 08:09:08	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	PARIVISION	SELL	170	30¢	$51	0x0cc46e…
04-25 06:16:20	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x8bdf24…
04-25 06:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x566f89…
04-25 06:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x6fe0b8…
04-25 06:05:58	Clavicular unbanned from Youtube by April 30?	No	BUY	225	98¢	$220	0x63dacd…
04-25 06:05:44	Clavicular unbanned from Youtube by April 30?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xe6d98d…
04-25 06:05:36	Clavicular unbanned from Youtube by April 30?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xc936bf…
04-25 06:05:28	Clavicular unbanned from Youtube by April 30?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xbc3a99…
04-25 04:04:14	Will Germán Vargas Lleras place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	765	100¢	$763	0xf4a6f9…
04-25 03:33:12	Will Germán Vargas Lleras place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$89	0xae51bc…
04-24 23:39:56	will pacto histrico win 24 26 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election 354 836	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xae123e…
04-23 16:00:36	Will Germán Vargas Lleras place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	268	99¢	$265	0xce6cc6…
04-23 13:10:20	will pacto histrico win 27 29 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election 315 883	No	SELL	49	97¢	$47	0x72e831…
04-23 13:06:30	Will Germán Vargas Lleras place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa1ac53…
04-23 12:53:00	Will Germán Vargas Lleras place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xe6d57c…
04-23 12:29:06	Will Germán Vargas Lleras place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x09ab5e…
04-22 20:25:28	Will Germán Vargas Lleras place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	75	98¢	$73	0xac62f3…
04-22 14:18:44	will plc win the second most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	SELL	824	94¢	$774	0xdd3d53…
04-22 14:12:48	Will CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	Yes	SELL	170	97¢	$165	0x5804ec…
04-22 14:11:58	will plc win the second most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x7019d4…