Realized P&L
-$1.14K
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
63.2%
Resolved
3,038
Trades
5,995
lifetime
Volume
$31.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$40
17 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 10-11 12:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 130 days
Categories
Other
45% 45% -$342
Crypto
25% 71% -$122
Sports
21% 54% -$549
Politics
9% 42% -$114
Tech
1% 58% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +41 $15 34¢ $14 -$1 06-24 17:00
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +30 -$2 13¢ $4 +$6 09-06 00:05
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat? Yes +222 $2 2¢ $4 +$2 08-04 15:17
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? No +98 $3 3¢ $3 +$0 08-11 09:45
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +43 $13 6¢ $3 -$11 06-24 06:32
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +37 $1 7¢ $3 +$2 09-15 17:21
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +30 $6 6¢ $2 -$4 06-24 10:47
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +67 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 08-15 20:40
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +69 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 07-29 06:14
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +120 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 09-15 04:01
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? Yes +75 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 08-02 21:44
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +34 $1 2¢ $1 $0 07-27 19:02
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +21 $5 4¢ $1 -$4 05-25 12:34
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? Yes +48 $1 1¢ $1 $0 09-17 11:52
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? Yes +77 -$2 1¢ $0 +$3 09-23 01:23
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? Yes +49 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 09-30 15:19
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day? Yes +45 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 09-03 08:55