Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
open
Total volume
$29,797
Trades
3,655
Unique wallets
627
Liquidity
$12,069
Latest YES mid
40¢
Latest NO mid
60¢
End date
2026-11-08
First seen
2026-11-07
last 11-08 00:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.6¢
(top1%: 38% YES on $12.3K
vs crowd: 39% YES on $25.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 115 | $6.5K | $8.2K | $1.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 131 | $2.1K | $3.9K | $1.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 204 | $976 | $2.3K | $1.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 175 | $467 | $1.2K | $716 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 104 | $4.6K | $7.7K | $3.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 86 | $540 | $1.8K | $1.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 46 | $118 | $765 | $647 |
| Median | 63 | $118 | $239 | $120 |
| Below median | 128 | $355 | $1.2K | $856 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 78 | $591 | $943 | $352 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 80 | $2.5K | $1.9K | +$616 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 39 | $1.2K | $960 | +$234 |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x765e…36dd | Up | +3,930 | $1,770 | $1,770 | 7 | 11-08 00:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x6715…1761 | Up | +1,017 | $435 | $435 | 6 | 11-08 00:07 |
| Gray-Clave-Forearm 0xc2dc…8b3a | Up | +1,000 | $475 | $486 | 3 | 11-08 00:09 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +949 | $494 | $494 | 22 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2c4…cffc | Down | +927 | $377 | $377 | 37 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x4483…54c6 | Down | +915 | $558 | $558 | 37 | 11-08 00:09 |
| Ill-Informed-Full 0xbc58…5e72 | Up | +852 | $404 | $404 | 66 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | +807 | $537 | $537 | 52 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | +763 | $348 | $348 | 28 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x29e3…4e10 | Down | +733 | $500 | $500 | 21 | 11-08 00:09 |
| Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Down | +715 | $371 | $371 | 21 | 11-08 00:05 |
| Ill-Informed-Full 0xbc58…5e72 | Down | +709 | $406 | $406 | 41 | 11-08 00:09 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Up | +674 | $289 | $289 | 24 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +672 | $241 | $241 | 50 | 11-08 00:09 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Down | +630 | $308 | $308 | 15 | 11-08 00:09 |
| Wrathful-Tile 0x1b44…d8de | Up | +624 | $150 | $150 | 35 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x137a…6c1f | Up | +545 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +524 | $262 | $262 | 33 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xf4ec…2acc | Down | +509 | $470 | $470 | 1 | 11-08 00:09 |
| Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | +500 | $495 | $495 | 4 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +497 | $163 | $163 | 25 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc1f…723f | Down | +485 | $270 | $270 | 19 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x4483…54c6 | Up | +472 | $312 | $312 | 8 | 11-08 00:09 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Down | +455 | $271 | $271 | 14 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Up | +446 | $154 | $154 | 7 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ffd…60f1 | Up | +439 | $154 | $154 | 4 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +401 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f20…d0a4 | Down | +400 | $396 | $396 | 1 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xb543…5d5e | Up | +358 | $183 | $183 | 15 | 11-08 00:09 |
| Growling-Cause 0x4805…4739 | Up | +357 | $22 | $22 | 22 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xb543…5d5e | Down | +352 | $240 | $240 | 12 | 11-08 00:09 |
| Vibrant-Motorcycle 0x45fb…f1f6 | Down | +347 | $341 | $341 | 8 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd30…2dd0 | Down | +323 | $195 | $202 | 13 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Down | +312 | $200 | $200 | 9 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x2903…5906 | Up | +301 | $91 | $91 | 70 | 11-08 00:09 |
| Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Down | +300 | $297 | $297 | 7 | 11-08 00:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Down | +300 | $169 | $169 | 9 | 11-08 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x32e0…58be | Down | +288 | $167 | $167 | 3 | 11-08 00:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Down | +284 | $176 | $176 | 6 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Up | +280 | $102 | $102 | 9 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Down | +275 | $193 | $193 | 12 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Up | +275 | $89 | $89 | 12 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x8628…aba2 | Down | +275 | $205 | $205 | 1 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b04…032a | Down | +274 | $138 | $138 | 24 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x7863…2b49 | Up | +270 | $111 | $111 | 3 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Down | +267 | $176 | $176 | 15 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Down | +267 | $104 | $104 | 17 | 11-08 00:09 |
| Flowery-Witness 0x7d4a…b3c5 | Up | +261 | $82 | $82 | 6 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b04…032a | Up | +254 | $121 | $121 | 21 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x09a7…ba39 | Down | +251 | $144 | $144 | 5 | 11-08 00:04 |
| Showy-Maybe 0x5d68…9ff7 | Up | +250 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 11-08 00:05 |
| Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Up | +250 | $2 | $2 | 8 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c5e…cffc | Down | +237 | $235 | $235 | 1 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x2bb1…5381 | Down | +237 | $235 | $235 | 1 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x5651…83e1 | Down | +235 | $86 | $86 | 19 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Up | +211 | $78 | $78 | 9 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x2cb5…b7dc | Up | +208 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 11-08 00:06 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Up | +208 | $102 | $102 | 9 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d09…6699 | Up | +201 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-08 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | +182 | $86 | $86 | 10 | 11-08 00:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-08 00:10:58 | Flowery-Witness 0x7d4a…b3c5 | Down | SELL | 284 | 99¢ | $282 | 0xd5a38f… |
| 11-08 00:10:58 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 110 | 99¢ | $109 | 0xd5a38f… |
| 11-08 00:10:58 | Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Down | BUY | 174 | 99¢ | $172 | 0xd5a38f… |
| 11-08 00:10:28 | Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Down | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x3db4b6… |
| 11-08 00:10:28 | (anonymous) 0x765e…36dd | Down | SELL | 17 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x3db4b6… |
| 11-08 00:10:22 | (anonymous) 0xb690…bbc7 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x2809be… |
| 11-08 00:10:22 | Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x2809be… |
| 11-08 00:10:21 | (anonymous) 0x2ca2…0190 | Down | SELL | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0xa44054… |
| 11-08 00:10:21 | Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Down | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0xa44054… |
| 11-08 00:10:18 | Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x236342… |
| 11-08 00:10:18 | (anonymous) 0xeb54…a492 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x236342… |
| 11-08 00:10:12 | Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Down | BUY | 86 | 99¢ | $85 | 0x1a5908… |
| 11-08 00:10:12 | (anonymous) 0xdc88…c305 | Down | SELL | 86 | 99¢ | $85 | 0x1a5908… |
| 11-08 00:09:49 | Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xe2eb4b… |
| 11-08 00:09:49 | Nervous-Metallurgist 0x26d0…68d4 | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe2eb4b… |
| 11-08 00:09:49 | (anonymous) 0x39be…668f | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xe2eb4b… |
| 11-08 00:09:46 | (anonymous) 0x39be…668f | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x197382… |
| 11-08 00:09:46 | (anonymous) 0x39be…668f | Down | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xda1f0e… |
| 11-08 00:09:46 | Wrathful-Tile 0x1b44…d8de | Up | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xda1f0e… |
| 11-08 00:09:46 | Wrathful-Tile 0x1b44…d8de | Up | BUY | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5cb69c… |
| 11-08 00:09:46 | Wrathful-Tile 0x1b44…d8de | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x197382… |
| 11-08 00:09:46 | (anonymous) 0x39be…668f | Down | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x5cb69c… |
| 11-08 00:09:45 | (anonymous) 0x39be…668f | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x9907ba… |
| 11-08 00:09:45 | (anonymous) 0x39be…668f | Down | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xa33153… |
| 11-08 00:09:45 | (anonymous) 0x39be…668f | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x160feb… |
| 11-08 00:09:45 | (anonymous) 0x39be…668f | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $14 | 0xabc025… |
| 11-08 00:09:45 | Wrathful-Tile 0x1b44…d8de | Up | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa33153… |
| 11-08 00:09:45 | Wrathful-Tile 0x1b44…d8de | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x160feb… |
| 11-08 00:09:45 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x9907ba… |
| 11-08 00:09:45 | Wrathful-Tile 0x1b44…d8de | Up | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xabc025… |
| 11-08 00:09:45 | Wrathful-Tile 0x1b44…d8de | Up | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9907ba… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x9b04…032a | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa19e34… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x6e8a…8343 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9f786b… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0xb72b…b84b | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x14fece… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x49d0d3… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x7db5…4b1e | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7fdc34… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x7f15…e4c1 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7fdc34… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | Growling-Cause 0x4805…4739 | Up | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa19e34… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x97a0…6287 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x5fe528… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x636c…2b64 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x14fece… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x3cc6…00d7 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4056b3… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0xdb71…aa29 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x14fece… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x4482…5d4b | Down | SELL | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x14fece… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | Deserted-Presentation 0x4d96…2c6e | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x70992a… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x914057… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | Soulful-Extremist 0x3f9b…dae9 | Up | BUY | 101 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x49d0d3… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x1c5e…cffc | Down | BUY | 237 | 99¢ | $235 | 0x14fece… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 76 | 99¢ | $76 | 0x9f786b… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | Wrathful-Tile 0x1b44…d8de | Up | BUY | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x914057… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 95 | 99¢ | $94 | 0x9a6795… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x70992a… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0xe35f…af3a | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x14fece… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Up | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x14fece… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x0b7d…4ac3 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x14fece… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0xde22…c22a | Down | BUY | 151 | 99¢ | $149 | 0x49d0d3… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | Deficient-Impairment 0x4e89…6e80 | Down | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x5fe528… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x14fece… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x7bf5…e9d3 | Up | SELL | 112 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa19e34… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4056b3… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x5c75…23e6 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7fdc34… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0xdf89…0a90 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x14fece… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | Wrathful-Tile 0x1b44…d8de | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2ae373… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2ae373… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x3ccc…091e | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x14fece… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x0ac9…b2ad | Down | SELL | 77 | 99¢ | $76 | 0x0a2ef1… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x5bba…740e | Down | BUY | 24 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x9f786b… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x5bba…740e | Down | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x0ac770… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x8642…710d | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x14fece… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Up | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa19e34… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 162 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x7fdc34… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | Wrathful-Tile 0x1b44…d8de | Up | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0ac770… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x5f20…d0a4 | Down | BUY | 400 | 99¢ | $396 | 0x7fdc34… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 77 | 99¢ | $76 | 0x0a2ef1… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | Gummy-Hook 0xfb87…f53d | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x4056b3… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0xb381…95dc | Up | BUY | 32 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa19e34… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 405 | 99¢ | $401 | 0x9a6795… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x3cc6…00d7 | Up | BUY | 44 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x49d0d3… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x5bba…740e | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa2da60… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0xddf1…5ccb | Up | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7fdc34… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0xddf1…5ccb | Up | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x14fece… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x4d09…6699 | Up | BUY | 201 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x7fdc34… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x137a…6c1f | Up | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x9a6795… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x21dd…c1b4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x14fece… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0xb381…95dc | Up | BUY | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x14fece… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x5033…9dfb | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa2da60… |
| 11-08 00:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x5bba…740e | Down | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x5fe528… |
| 11-08 00:09:42 | (anonymous) 0xddf1…5ccb | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3829dc… |
| 11-08 00:09:42 | (anonymous) 0xc151…aa13 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xac82ad… |
| 11-08 00:09:42 | (anonymous) 0x0a3c…6cb8 | Down | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x5f0470… |
| 11-08 00:09:42 | (anonymous) 0xf436…aa12 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3829dc… |
| 11-08 00:09:42 | (anonymous) 0xeec0…5cf1 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb5702f… |
| 11-08 00:09:42 | (anonymous) 0xeec0…5cf1 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa50ae5… |
| 11-08 00:09:42 | (anonymous) 0xe48e…cfd6 | Down | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x374eb2… |
| 11-08 00:09:42 | (anonymous) 0xed13…d77f | Down | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x18d96b… |
| 11-08 00:09:42 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb5702f… |
| 11-08 00:09:42 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 237 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xe32ed2… |
| 11-08 00:09:42 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xd59303… |
| 11-08 00:09:42 | (anonymous) 0x1142…273a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1878fd… |
| 11-08 00:09:42 | (anonymous) 0x624e…1f2a | Up | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8e304a… |
| 11-08 00:09:42 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x5f0470… |