Gummy-Hook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.89K

Unrealized P&L

+$777

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved

29,016

Trades

40,414

lifetime

Volume

$164.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$3.68K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 07:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 293 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 66% -$2,114

Other

3% 47% -$1,774

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 474 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes		+5,438	$1,355	36¢	$1.9K	+$581	10-18 17:44
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes		+3,196	$1,546	55¢	$1.7K	+$196	10-18 17:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	17	$1.5K	3,196	0	+3,196	open	—	10-18 17:39
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	21	$1.4K	5,438	0	+5,438	open	—	10-18 17:44
spx up or down on september 9 2026	2	$640	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	-$640	09-09 05:27
spx up or down on september 15 2026	25	$570	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	-$570	09-15 03:05
spx up or down on september 4 2026	3	$566	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	-$566	09-04 04:06
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	1	$422	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	-$422	09-08 05:36
spx up or down on september 11 2026	4	$355	500	0	+500	Up	+$145	09-11 07:41
spx up or down on august 31 2026	2	$331	200	200	+0	Down	+$55	08-31 18:25
spx up or down on september 10 2026	3	$293	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	+$707	09-10 05:43
spx up or down on september 14 2026	6	$270	500	0	+500	Down	-$270	09-12 08:01
spx up or down on september 2 2026	1	$250	500	0	+500	Up	-$250	09-02 05:40
spx up or down on september 1 2026	1	$236	400	0	+400	Down	-$236	09-01 05:47
spx up or down on september 3 2026	1	$225	500	0	+500	Up	+$275	09-03 05:32
spx up or down on august 28 2026	2	$145	100	100	+0	Down	+$47	08-28 19:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 20:45 UTC	11	$128	100	89	+11	Up	+$2	03-02 20:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 12:55 UTC	5	$104	100	100	+0	Down	+$8	03-29 12:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:15 UTC	5	$101	100	100	+0	Down	+$4	03-29 14:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 13:25 UTC	9	$100	100	100	+0	Down	+$3	03-29 13:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:25 UTC	5	$100	100	100	+0	Up	+$3	03-29 10:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 07:05 UTC	4	$99	200	0	+200	Down	+$1	02-19 07:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 12:00 UTC	9	$99	100	100	+0	Down	+$2	03-29 12:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 12:30 UTC	14	$99	100	100	+0	Down	+$2	03-29 12:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 09:55 UTC	10	$99	100	100	+0	Up	+$2	03-29 09:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:45 UTC	4	$98	100	100	+0	Up	+$1	03-29 10:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:10 UTC	20	$98	100	100	+0	Up	+$0	03-29 19:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 20:35 UTC	4	$98	100	99	+1	Down	$0	03-29 20:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:55 UTC	19	$97	100	100	+0	Down	+$0	03-29 10:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 21:35 UTC	10	$97	100	100	+0	Down	-$2	03-29 21:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 11:05 UTC	14	$96	100	100	+0	Up	-$1	03-29 11:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:05 UTC	6	$96	100	100	+0	Down	-$1	03-29 10:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x039671…
10-27 09:11:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x56aa06…
10-27 09:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfd0509…
10-27 09:08:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8355b1…
10-27 09:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x30fd07…
10-27 08:58:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x29a9c9…
10-27 08:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x235820…
10-27 08:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdd1533…
10-27 08:52:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa38ba6…
10-27 08:47:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xddb516…
10-27 08:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x895b0b…
10-27 08:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0c7a21…
10-27 08:41:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x249d98…
10-27 08:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x88d81b…
10-27 08:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x284483…
10-27 08:27:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9d87b8…
10-27 08:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9bf8d7…
10-27 08:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd9ccac…
10-27 08:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbe8118…
10-27 08:13:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x361e64…
10-27 08:07:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb1f76e…
10-27 08:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x12ea99…
10-27 08:03:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb47c04…
10-27 08:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6f2493…
10-27 07:57:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6ff015…
10-27 07:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6e9f0b…
10-27 07:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc0c505…
10-27 07:51:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xde4a98…
10-27 07:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa107e8…
10-27 07:47:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x69ab6c…
10-27 07:39:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa911c8…
10-27 07:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc577d8…
10-27 07:33:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x61a4d0…
10-27 07:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x017c78…
10-27 07:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1c1ad5…
10-27 07:29:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbfd00c…
10-27 07:23:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x494faa…
10-27 07:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4db542…
10-27 07:17:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xef101f…
10-27 07:13:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa44ae3…
10-27 07:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdf796d…
10-27 07:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2c9abe…
10-27 07:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x366d2b…
10-27 07:01:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe2bc75…
10-27 06:58:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6d48ca…
10-27 06:51:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x532e5e…
10-27 06:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x40b25d…
10-27 06:48:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x594e0b…
10-27 06:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb17f36…
10-27 06:39:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5206bf…
10-27 06:31:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x16a719…
10-27 06:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x98334d…
10-27 06:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf111c5…
10-27 06:28:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbb2a27…
10-27 06:22:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9c67a6…
10-27 06:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6847ce…
10-27 06:17:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe42591…
10-27 06:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb8741e…
10-27 06:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe54f54…
10-27 06:14:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x735c4d…
10-27 06:01:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdb0395…
10-27 06:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1c2fc8…
10-27 05:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1cc140…
10-27 05:58:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x31f561…
10-27 05:53:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x59371f…
10-27 05:47:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe7e505…
10-27 05:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x66ab53…
10-27 05:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xac6ce6…
10-27 05:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xea4b8a…
10-27 05:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9786c4…
10-27 05:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb085a6…
10-27 05:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb3af7e…
10-27 05:22:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe28180…
10-27 05:12:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xecdc94…
10-27 05:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb4a925…
10-27 05:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6270bb…
10-27 05:07:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xddb567…
10-27 05:02:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd6a889…
10-27 05:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe51925…
10-27 04:58:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7755a8…
10-27 04:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1621eb…
10-27 04:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4ac771…
10-27 04:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xec9709…
10-27 04:47:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3e15a3…
10-27 04:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x09241f…
10-27 04:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x025cb7…
10-27 04:36:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf50924…
10-27 04:34:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf340cd…
10-27 04:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe26760…
10-27 04:28:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xff4f66…
10-27 04:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7e3b39…
10-27 04:19:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6dbc5e…
10-27 04:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x86fcbc…
10-27 04:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8e82ab…
10-27 04:13:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa24e42…
10-27 04:09:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x15a5c5…
10-27 04:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb4772c…
10-27 04:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc5396a…
10-27 03:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa4e2db…
10-27 03:59:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xad9313…