Realized P&L
-$21.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$168
Hit rate
81.9%
Resolved
14,807
Trades
127,633
lifetime
Volume
$2.20M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$758
14 positions
First seen
2026-06-11
last 10-29 02:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Crypto
100% 66% -$21,276
Other
0% 60% -$186
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Politics
0% — —
Sports
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 1286 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? No +290 $72 82¢ $239 +$168 10-10 14:36
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +200 $127 99¢ $198 +$71 10-10 13:56
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +170 $58 36¢ $60 +$3 10-28 20:16
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $42 90¢ $45 +$3 10-27 08:25
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +50 $41 86¢ $43 +$2 10-26 19:39
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +50 $36 74¢ $37 +$2 10-28 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down — +37 $20 98¢ $37 +$17 10-29 02:27
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +40 $32 80¢ $32 $0 10-28 04:05
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $20 42¢ $21 +$0 10-28 20:18
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +100 $20 16¢ $16 -$4 10-28 02:10
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +20 $12 64¢ $13 +$1 10-26 15:08
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +40 $8 20¢ $8 +$0 10-28 11:47
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? No +70 $9 11¢ $7 -$2 10-28 19:45
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes +206 $94 1¢ $2 -$92 10-10 14:54