Nervous-Metallurgist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.47K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

84.3%

Resolved

3,693

Trades

10,557

lifetime

Volume

$191.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$25

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-25

last 10-27 04:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 76% -$1,417

Politics

0% 0% -$48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 673 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	—	+10	$9	100¢	$10	+$1	10-27 05:51
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	—	+10	$10	99¢	$10	+$0	10-27 05:49
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	—	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	10-27 05:53
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	—	+10	$0	2¢	$0	+$0	10-27 05:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:00 UTC	10	$1.7K	1,700	800	+900	Down	-$83	06-10 02:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:05 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,600	800	+800	Down	+$8	06-10 02:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:10 UTC	27	$1.5K	1,600	800	+800	Down	+$77	06-10 02:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 01:20 UTC	12	$1.1K	1,262	562	+700	Down	-$1	06-10 01:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 22:00 UTC	28	$954	1,500	500	+1,000	Down	+$36	06-09 22:05
bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 3am et	14	$835	485	485	+0	Up	+$13	06-22 07:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:20 UTC	2	$834	900	0	+900	Down	-$834	06-10 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	5	$834	473	473	+0	Down	+$34	05-26 00:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:55 UTC	6	$830	1,122	422	+700	Up	+$6	06-10 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:25 UTC	5	$789	900	400	+500	Down	+$3	06-09 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:50 UTC	3	$773	900	400	+500	Down	+$19	06-09 21:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:20 UTC	27	$773	900	400	+500	Down	+$19	06-09 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	24	$740	903	261	+643	Down	+$14	10-23 22:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 01:40 UTC	31	$709	1,600	0	+1,600	Down	+$91	06-10 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$676	340	340	+0	Down	+$3	09-06 16:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:40 UTC	38	$665	1,400	0	+1,400	Down	+$35	06-10 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 01:25 UTC	2	$644	1,400	0	+1,400	Up	+$56	06-10 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	4	$620	323	323	+0	Down	+$20	05-26 00:10
bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 9am et	8	$600	454	454	+0	Up	-$45	06-22 13:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:00 UTC	8	$594	600	300	+300	Down	+$0	06-09 16:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:30 UTC	6	$588	600	300	+300	Up	+$6	06-09 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	16	$586	700	300	+400	Down	+$8	06-09 21:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:05 UTC	8	$586	700	300	+400	Down	+$8	06-09 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	5	$575	892	292	+600	Down	+$3	10-24 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	14	$546	780	189	+590	Down	-$90	10-23 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	17	$536	570	570	+0	Up	-$304	10-24 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	22	$533	796	253	+543	Down	+$6	10-23 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	9	$524	891	264	+627	Down	-$502	10-21 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:15 UTC	8	$515	1,160	260	+900	Down	-$1	06-10 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	5	$513	717	193	+524	Down	-$50	10-22 12:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 05:55:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa1b583…
10-27 05:55:47	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd25f2b…
10-27 05:53:21	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7344a6…
10-27 05:53:20	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xc3bda1…
10-27 05:51:06	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xabc54f…
10-27 05:49:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd842ee…
10-27 05:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x79214b…
10-27 05:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xc4ae98…
10-27 05:29:30	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election?	Yes	SELL	14	67¢	$9	0xe97172…
10-27 05:20:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x22b7e3…
10-27 05:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x0afdc8…
10-27 05:17:48	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x3e343d…
10-27 05:16:26	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xe971af…
10-27 05:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	31	31¢	$10	0x6980a7…
10-27 05:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xfa5885…
10-27 05:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xab3322…
10-27 05:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x563466…
10-27 05:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x0c9e0a…
10-27 05:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x03619b…
10-27 05:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x09ef6e…
10-27 05:04:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x919c42…
10-27 05:04:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x84ed7a…
10-27 05:04:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x031f6d…
10-27 05:04:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x1361ef…
10-27 05:03:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xc93c94…
10-27 05:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xc7bbe3…
10-27 04:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xa802df…
10-27 04:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x7d5574…
10-27 04:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xe5938b…
10-27 04:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xbad56d…
10-27 04:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$3	0xd4fa90…
10-27 04:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfed8ec…
10-27 04:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x9e2664…
10-27 04:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x3f931a…
10-27 04:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x28fda1…
10-27 04:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xdb84fe…
10-27 04:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x25763f…
10-27 04:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x4837e9…
10-27 04:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x4111c2…
10-27 04:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x7afff6…
10-27 04:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa45552…
10-27 04:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x158460…
10-27 04:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xc2f84f…
10-27 04:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xbdf67a…
10-27 04:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xc2e582…
10-27 04:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x70e224…
10-27 04:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xe8bcd9…
10-27 04:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0c0269…
10-27 04:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0x59e07f…
10-27 04:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	65	95¢	$61	0x056694…
10-27 04:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	65	93¢	$60	0x406a1b…
10-27 04:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd1be0e…
10-27 04:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0x76f6e9…
10-27 04:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd81829…
10-27 04:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0x147ff9…
10-27 04:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x108ef3…
10-27 04:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0x619b92…
10-27 03:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x96705f…
10-27 03:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x20dcf3…
10-27 03:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x2c70ee…
10-27 03:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x6f3984…
10-27 03:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x28d89f…
10-27 03:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x98cdf2…
10-27 03:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x8deda4…
10-27 03:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x5359fb…
10-27 03:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x323881…
10-27 03:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xa354bf…
10-26 21:34:36	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x1c4cd3…
10-26 21:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x1f6c41…
10-26 21:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf18c13…
10-26 21:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	97	1¢	$1	0x798e46…
10-26 21:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x45e28b…
10-26 21:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x4064f3…
10-26 20:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf5c580…
10-26 20:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0xfe015e…
10-26 20:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xbf1070…
10-26 20:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x71229b…
10-26 20:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x717d0b…
10-26 20:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x94f257…
10-26 20:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xc53298…
10-26 20:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x60e38b…
10-26 20:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0xef284c…
10-26 20:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x2664b5…
10-26 20:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xe1493f…
10-26 20:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x4d0ef1…
10-26 20:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x8a551f…
10-26 20:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x1262f7…
10-26 20:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x80c30b…
10-26 20:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xcc8e0b…
10-26 20:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xc6399e…
10-26 20:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$0	0x9fd183…
10-26 20:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xdc3102…
10-26 20:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x27798a…
10-26 20:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb93e9f…
10-26 20:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6b7c7f…
10-26 20:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc5a2a6…
10-26 20:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x253c37…
10-26 19:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe7392c…
10-26 19:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x8bc5f8…
10-26 19:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x072a25…