Nervous-Metallurgist — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$941

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.5%

Resolved (90d)

4,103

Trades (90d)

11,434

12,641 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$168.3K

$202.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-25

last 11-10 00:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 77% -$1,635

Politics

0% 0% -$48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 673 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:00 UTC	10	$1.7K	1,700	800	+900	Down	-$83	06-10 02:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:05 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,600	800	+800	Down	+$8	06-10 02:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:10 UTC	27	$1.5K	1,600	800	+800	Down	+$77	06-10 02:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 01:20 UTC	12	$1.1K	1,262	562	+700	Down	-$1	06-10 01:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 22:00 UTC	28	$954	1,500	500	+1,000	Down	+$36	06-09 22:05
bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 3am et	14	$835	485	485	+0	Up	+$13	06-22 07:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:20 UTC	2	$834	900	0	+900	Down	-$834	06-10 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	5	$834	473	473	+0	Down	+$34	05-26 00:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:55 UTC	6	$830	1,122	422	+700	Up	+$6	06-10 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:25 UTC	5	$789	900	400	+500	Down	+$3	06-09 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:50 UTC	3	$773	900	400	+500	Down	+$19	06-09 21:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:20 UTC	27	$773	900	400	+500	Down	+$19	06-09 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	24	$740	903	261	+643	Down	+$14	10-23 22:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 01:40 UTC	31	$709	1,600	0	+1,600	Down	+$91	06-10 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$676	340	340	+0	Down	+$3	09-06 16:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:40 UTC	38	$665	1,400	0	+1,400	Down	+$35	06-10 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 01:25 UTC	2	$644	1,400	0	+1,400	Up	+$56	06-10 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	4	$620	323	323	+0	Down	+$20	05-26 00:10
bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 9am et	8	$600	454	454	+0	Up	-$45	06-22 13:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:00 UTC	8	$594	600	300	+300	Down	+$0	06-09 16:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:30 UTC	6	$588	600	300	+300	Up	+$6	06-09 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	16	$586	700	300	+400	Down	+$8	06-09 21:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:05 UTC	8	$586	700	300	+400	Down	+$8	06-09 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	5	$575	892	292	+600	Down	+$3	10-24 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	14	$546	780	189	+590	Down	-$90	10-23 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	17	$536	570	570	+0	Up	-$304	10-24 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	22	$533	796	253	+543	Down	+$6	10-23 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	9	$524	891	264	+627	Down	-$502	10-21 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:15 UTC	8	$515	1,160	260	+900	Down	-$1	06-10 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	5	$513	717	193	+524	Down	-$50	10-22 12:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 00:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x2c7cb4…
11-10 00:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x408387…
11-10 00:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x98243e…
11-10 00:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x5d54b6…
11-10 00:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2361f7…
11-10 00:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x9955e2…
11-10 00:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x31d520…
11-10 00:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x25f316…
11-10 00:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x46b0a4…
11-10 00:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x6ad576…
11-10 00:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xe5e4d2…
11-10 00:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbc08a1…
11-10 00:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe50a1b…
11-10 00:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xda4f28…
11-10 00:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x579dd8…
11-10 00:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x03e2e7…
11-10 00:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x098e18…
11-10 00:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x759930…
11-10 00:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x39da49…
11-10 00:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xedd11d…
11-10 00:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x90c13b…
11-10 00:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x40520a…
11-09 23:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x300884…
11-09 23:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x273102…
11-09 23:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x355146…
11-09 23:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x6888cc…
11-09 23:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x9729bb…
11-09 23:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x361907…
11-09 23:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x3989df…
11-09 23:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x082525…
11-09 23:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x248da3…
11-09 23:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x88e419…
11-09 23:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x9df5ba…
11-09 23:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9e900b…
11-09 23:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x843c68…
11-09 23:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x76c237…
11-09 23:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xab1073…
11-09 23:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x675c0e…
11-09 23:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x675c0e…
11-09 23:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xe0c593…
11-09 23:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb74560…
11-09 23:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x01ecf3…
11-09 23:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2b889c…
11-09 23:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x89067d…
11-09 23:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	30	61¢	$18	0x3ea044…
11-09 23:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x2de826…
11-09 23:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x2395a5…
11-09 23:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x69646c…
11-09 23:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x71d190…
11-09 23:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xf166fa…
11-09 23:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x1fb445…
11-09 22:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xc8c365…
11-09 22:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xe214ba…
11-09 22:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x9e02b0…
11-09 22:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xe2c67b…
11-09 22:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xd41aa3…
11-09 22:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xd5bec6…
11-09 22:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x4c2800…
11-09 22:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x362437…
11-09 22:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x20a15c…
11-09 22:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x552e30…
11-09 22:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xc5df43…
11-09 22:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	30	73¢	$22	0xb57541…
11-09 22:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x1f28ce…
11-09 22:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf92144…
11-09 22:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe1eaac…
11-09 22:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xeaae6f…
11-09 22:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x75979d…
11-09 22:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xd5da98…
11-09 22:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xaeee38…
11-09 22:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x0b9170…
11-09 22:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x7bd604…
11-09 22:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xba2f62…
11-09 22:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x9ace7b…
11-09 22:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x5a03f2…
11-09 22:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xfd9ee6…
11-09 19:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xc07a7e…
11-09 19:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x30fc9c…
11-09 18:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x37a970…
11-09 18:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x3cc74c…
11-09 18:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x707b8e…
11-09 18:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xadabcf…
11-09 18:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8c8fe5…
11-09 18:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x36b719…
11-09 18:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x7680ef…
11-09 18:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x6fe004…
11-09 18:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x96332d…
11-09 18:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x141353…
11-09 18:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x296053…
11-09 18:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2df1c5…
11-09 18:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x624c10…
11-09 18:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x723816…
11-09 18:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x53c159…
11-09 18:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdd4ba6…
11-09 18:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x66df73…
11-09 17:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1d328e…
11-09 17:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xf40e53…
11-09 17:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x847260…
11-09 17:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa5a436…
11-09 17:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x066175…