Nervous-Metallurgist — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$938

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.4%

Resolved (90d)

4,184

Trades (90d)

11,645

12,852 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$169.3K

$203.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-25

last 11-10 17:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 77% -$1,632

Politics

0% 0% -$48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 673 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:00 UTC	10	$1.7K	1,700	800	+900	Down	-$83	06-10 02:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:05 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,600	800	+800	Down	+$8	06-10 02:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:10 UTC	27	$1.5K	1,600	800	+800	Down	+$77	06-10 02:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 01:20 UTC	12	$1.1K	1,262	562	+700	Down	-$1	06-10 01:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 22:00 UTC	28	$954	1,500	500	+1,000	Down	+$36	06-09 22:05
bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 3am et	14	$835	485	485	+0	Up	+$13	06-22 07:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:20 UTC	2	$834	900	0	+900	Down	-$834	06-10 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	5	$834	473	473	+0	Down	+$34	05-26 00:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:55 UTC	6	$830	1,122	422	+700	Up	+$6	06-10 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:25 UTC	5	$789	900	400	+500	Down	+$3	06-09 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:50 UTC	3	$773	900	400	+500	Down	+$19	06-09 21:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:20 UTC	27	$773	900	400	+500	Down	+$19	06-09 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	24	$740	903	261	+643	Down	+$14	10-23 22:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 01:40 UTC	31	$709	1,600	0	+1,600	Down	+$91	06-10 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$676	340	340	+0	Down	+$3	09-06 16:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:40 UTC	38	$665	1,400	0	+1,400	Down	+$35	06-10 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 01:25 UTC	2	$644	1,400	0	+1,400	Up	+$56	06-10 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	4	$620	323	323	+0	Down	+$20	05-26 00:10
bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 9am et	8	$600	454	454	+0	Up	-$45	06-22 13:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:00 UTC	8	$594	600	300	+300	Down	+$0	06-09 16:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:30 UTC	6	$588	600	300	+300	Up	+$6	06-09 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	16	$586	700	300	+400	Down	+$8	06-09 21:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:05 UTC	8	$586	700	300	+400	Down	+$8	06-09 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	5	$575	892	292	+600	Down	+$3	10-24 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	14	$546	780	189	+590	Down	-$90	10-23 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	17	$536	570	570	+0	Up	-$304	10-24 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	22	$533	796	253	+543	Down	+$6	10-23 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	9	$524	891	264	+627	Down	-$502	10-21 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:15 UTC	8	$515	1,160	260	+900	Down	-$1	06-10 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	5	$513	717	193	+524	Down	-$50	10-22 12:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 17:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x671e49…
11-10 17:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x47b726…
11-10 17:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x2f6602…
11-10 17:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xbeee8a…
11-10 16:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x131040…
11-10 16:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x200e43…
11-10 16:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x5e240b…
11-10 16:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x488f82…
11-10 16:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x05e9fb…
11-10 16:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xd7a427…
11-10 16:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xd5cb93…
11-10 16:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x47c0b4…
11-10 16:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x650284…
11-10 16:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x766a4c…
11-10 16:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x4492fa…
11-10 16:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xf6a3ae…
11-10 16:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xa8d4d5…
11-10 16:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x25578c…
11-10 16:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xddef08…
11-10 16:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x223c6b…
11-10 16:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x5defcf…
11-10 16:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xe45de6…
11-10 16:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xd0af3e…
11-10 16:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x8161d1…
11-10 16:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x3a1d1e…
11-10 16:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x334cfc…
11-10 16:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x0d2ac5…
11-10 16:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xd9ab43…
11-10 16:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xd1721e…
11-10 16:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x32a1f3…
11-10 16:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xedbf38…
11-10 16:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x24bcb0…
11-10 16:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xee9b67…
11-10 16:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x8a83ac…
11-10 16:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	24¢	$1	0x41bd1d…
11-10 16:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xc24cd3…
11-10 15:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb2e7cb…
11-10 15:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x62db9d…
11-10 15:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xa702c6…
11-10 15:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x7a75bc…
11-10 15:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xfdd6e4…
11-10 15:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x28541f…
11-10 15:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	27¢	$0	0xf97637…
11-10 15:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x1ffe7b…
11-10 15:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x24cd28…
11-10 15:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x12e61e…
11-10 15:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x04a9de…
11-10 15:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x9c9b2d…
11-10 15:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x52b4a1…
11-10 15:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xf8fb3b…
11-10 15:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb250e0…
11-10 15:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x60d34d…
11-10 15:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x048cb5…
11-10 15:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xad0011…
11-10 15:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xaec8ba…
11-10 15:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x77c15b…
11-10 15:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x380425…
11-10 15:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x2ce832…
11-10 15:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x95c9f3…
11-10 15:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x5785b4…
11-10 15:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x954b7a…
11-10 15:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xfd7b1e…
11-10 15:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x380178…
11-10 15:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbb23f1…
11-10 15:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x18eba8…
11-10 15:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xed254f…
11-10 15:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0xbdd1a1…
11-10 15:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb6e903…
11-10 15:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x92933b…
11-10 15:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xd0a6e3…
11-10 15:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xf3e580…
11-10 15:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x92c344…
11-10 15:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x8bdfc8…
11-10 15:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xb4e26e…
11-10 15:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x6aec98…
11-10 15:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc1da44…
11-10 14:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xa86b6c…
11-10 14:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xa89b8e…
11-10 14:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xab9c1f…
11-10 14:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x32ad77…
11-10 14:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x0eb5c4…
11-10 14:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x723758…
11-10 14:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xfd527f…
11-10 14:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xbb5ce9…
11-10 14:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x9648dc…
11-10 14:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xdb5019…
11-10 14:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xdf6908…
11-10 14:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x3cb1b0…
11-10 14:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xf908a9…
11-10 14:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xd6d5f7…
11-10 14:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xadb64a…
11-10 14:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xc396b8…
11-10 14:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xd49836…
11-10 14:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x21d540…
11-10 14:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x04b6e0…
11-10 14:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x80b42b…
11-10 14:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x25f962…
11-10 14:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x3960d4…
11-10 13:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc58035…
11-10 13:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xd72fe5…