Nervous-Metallurgist — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$426

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.6%

Resolved (7d)

561

Trades (7d)

1,595

11,845 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$10.4K

$198.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-25

last 11-01 01:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 77% -$1,593

Politics

0% 0% -$48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 673 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:00 UTC	10	$1.7K	1,700	800	+900	Down	-$83	06-10 02:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:05 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,600	800	+800	Down	+$8	06-10 02:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:10 UTC	27	$1.5K	1,600	800	+800	Down	+$77	06-10 02:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 01:20 UTC	12	$1.1K	1,262	562	+700	Down	-$1	06-10 01:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 22:00 UTC	28	$954	1,500	500	+1,000	Down	+$36	06-09 22:05
bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 3am et	14	$835	485	485	+0	Up	+$13	06-22 07:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:20 UTC	2	$834	900	0	+900	Down	-$834	06-10 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	5	$834	473	473	+0	Down	+$34	05-26 00:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:55 UTC	6	$830	1,122	422	+700	Up	+$6	06-10 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:25 UTC	5	$789	900	400	+500	Down	+$3	06-09 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:50 UTC	3	$773	900	400	+500	Down	+$19	06-09 21:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:20 UTC	27	$773	900	400	+500	Down	+$19	06-09 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	24	$740	903	261	+643	Down	+$14	10-23 22:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 01:40 UTC	31	$709	1,600	0	+1,600	Down	+$91	06-10 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$676	340	340	+0	Down	+$3	09-06 16:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:40 UTC	38	$665	1,400	0	+1,400	Down	+$35	06-10 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 01:25 UTC	2	$644	1,400	0	+1,400	Up	+$56	06-10 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	4	$620	323	323	+0	Down	+$20	05-26 00:10
bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 9am et	8	$600	454	454	+0	Up	-$45	06-22 13:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:00 UTC	8	$594	600	300	+300	Down	+$0	06-09 16:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:30 UTC	6	$588	600	300	+300	Up	+$6	06-09 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	16	$586	700	300	+400	Down	+$8	06-09 21:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:05 UTC	8	$586	700	300	+400	Down	+$8	06-09 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	5	$575	892	292	+600	Down	+$3	10-24 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	14	$546	780	189	+590	Down	-$90	10-23 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	17	$536	570	570	+0	Up	-$304	10-24 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	22	$533	796	253	+543	Down	+$6	10-23 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	9	$524	891	264	+627	Down	-$502	10-21 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:15 UTC	8	$515	1,160	260	+900	Down	-$1	06-10 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	5	$513	717	193	+524	Down	-$50	10-22 12:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 01:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xdb93c6…
11-01 01:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x5ab498…
11-01 01:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xd16af5…
11-01 01:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0x07c0e1…
11-01 01:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xb367a0…
11-01 01:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0xe68453…
11-01 01:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xc025b8…
11-01 01:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xde8ae9…
11-01 01:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x3150e4…
11-01 01:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0x2170ea…
11-01 01:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$4	0xe9a5c6…
11-01 01:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$2	0x9498e7…
11-01 01:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xba8700…
11-01 01:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x67e8b8…
11-01 01:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xa5a03d…
11-01 01:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x37c4b6…
11-01 01:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xed557b…
11-01 01:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xcbeba9…
11-01 01:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xfcd4f5…
11-01 01:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x03e281…
11-01 01:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x0236d3…
11-01 01:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa210e1…
11-01 01:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x254f1a…
11-01 01:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xbfa488…
11-01 01:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x680d22…
11-01 01:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xa1af8a…
11-01 01:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x85229d…
11-01 01:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0x84f97f…
11-01 01:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xceeda6…
11-01 01:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xff7ceb…
11-01 01:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x4f61a7…
11-01 00:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x43fdcd…
11-01 00:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xa80604…
11-01 00:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x12ce6d…
11-01 00:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xc3d3a9…
11-01 00:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0xa6cfd3…
11-01 00:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xd42f79…
11-01 00:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xd0f0f5…
11-01 00:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xef5e47…
11-01 00:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x89ebe0…
11-01 00:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x3d2367…
11-01 00:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xdf78db…
11-01 00:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x44a66d…
11-01 00:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xce82fb…
11-01 00:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xea60a5…
11-01 00:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x8a4e16…
11-01 00:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xc045f1…
11-01 00:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x852c04…
11-01 00:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x2a3500…
11-01 00:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x15535e…
11-01 00:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x99b15f…
11-01 00:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x2f6ea0…
10-31 23:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x39b5e9…
10-31 23:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x87b29b…
10-31 23:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfbefed…
10-31 23:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xe5c7ae…
10-31 23:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xee7fdb…
10-31 17:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xb9c6b8…
10-31 17:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xa791ae…
10-31 17:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xc7b607…
10-31 17:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x2d5f30…
10-31 17:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x6a4ceb…
10-31 17:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x08d35f…
10-31 17:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x7bcc3e…
10-31 17:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xf30c86…
10-31 17:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x99b375…
10-31 17:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xbb2b0d…
10-31 16:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xe5079a…
10-31 16:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xacff9b…
10-31 16:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4e8db8…
10-31 16:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1e0886…
10-31 16:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xfa72e8…
10-31 16:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x41d3f0…
10-31 16:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x7af1ca…
10-31 16:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x147c41…
10-31 16:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf7b5b6…
10-31 16:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x5402a1…
10-31 16:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x7dbb22…
10-31 16:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x15243d…
10-31 16:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xfa7705…
10-31 16:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x76c0a6…
10-31 16:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x77ab2b…
10-31 16:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x3ee693…
10-31 16:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x79ebf9…
10-31 16:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xad07f3…
10-31 15:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xcb6270…
10-31 15:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x52caac…
10-31 15:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x1d8e78…
10-31 15:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x090fb6…
10-31 15:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x2f89cb…
10-31 15:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x811c8a…
10-31 15:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xb6a309…
10-31 15:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x8c7ea8…
10-31 15:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x5e5df6…
10-31 15:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x7db94d…
10-31 15:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x377c69…
10-31 15:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xed8b4c…
10-31 15:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x25a9c0…
10-31 15:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf4b780…
10-31 10:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x710229…