Popular-Insurrection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.50M

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

187,023

Trades

9,028,961

lifetime

Volume

$157.0M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$392

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 10-26 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 216 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% +$1,503,231

Other

0% 54% +$7,848

Sports

0% 53% -$12,804

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 68317 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up		+343	$219	42¢	$144	-$75	10-26 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	—	+131	$66	99¢	$130	+$64	10-26 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down		+168	$66	58¢	$98	+$32	10-26 21:36
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	—	+20	$11	98¢	$20	+$9	10-26 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	—	+95	$46	1¢	$1	-$45	10-26 22:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on august 22 2026	1,069	$68.3K	123,096	+123,096	Down	-$3,423	08-22 13:48
mlb cle min 2026 07 08	401	$40.5K	93,096	+93,096	Minnesota Twins	+$7,751	07-09 02:58
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?	32	$39.3K	65,612	+65,612	No	+$1,338	06-28 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23?	628	$35.6K	61,036	+61,036	Up	-$2,345	08-23 15:21
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	106	$26.3K	53,659	+53,659	Spain	-$2,630	07-02 19:36
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	88	$23.6K	43,706	+43,706	Yes	+$3,146	07-02 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9PM ET	719	$23.0K	45,960	+45,960	Up	+$2,013	08-25 01:47
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?	55	$22.5K	84,495	+84,495	No	-$11,280	06-28 20:51
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	81	$19.7K	45,911	+45,911	Yes	+$22,313	06-28 20:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 05:05 UTC	143	$19.0K	19,538	+19,538	Down	+$375	06-17 05:09
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	13	$18.7K	30,000	+30,000	Yes	-$18,686	07-07 01:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 07:30 UTC	216	$18.6K	21,357	+21,357	Up	-$48	04-03 07:34
bitcoin up or down august 19 2026 3pm et	575	$18.3K	38,310	+38,310	Up	+$42	08-19 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 06:20 UTC	110	$17.8K	20,592	+20,592	Up	+$386	04-05 06:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 17:15 UTC	161	$17.8K	19,444	+19,444	Down	+$250	04-03 17:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 06:50 UTC	142	$17.7K	19,479	+19,479	Up	-$10	04-04 06:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 22:45 UTC	110	$17.6K	19,657	+19,657	Down	+$412	04-03 22:49
bitcoin up or down august 19 2026 9am et	300	$17.6K	34,170	+34,170	Up	+$1,042	08-19 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 06:35 UTC	155	$17.5K	19,188	+19,188	Up	+$431	04-03 06:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 15:40 UTC	126	$17.4K	19,413	+19,413	Down	+$448	04-03 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 12:00 UTC	236	$17.4K	19,646	+19,646	Down	+$259	04-01 12:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 14:50 UTC	107	$17.3K	19,149	+19,149	Up	+$513	04-03 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 17:20 UTC	148	$17.2K	18,886	+18,886	Up	+$248	04-03 17:23
bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 7am et	341	$17.2K	35,778	+35,778	Down	+$1,409	08-20 11:52
bitcoin up or down august 19 2026 7pm et	353	$17.1K	31,677	+31,677	Up	-$1,777	08-19 23:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 10:25 UTC	103	$17.1K	18,786	+18,786	Down	+$624	04-01 10:29
bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 9am et	466	$17.0K	37,462	+37,462	Down	+$54	08-20 13:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 06:35 UTC	117	$17.0K	18,893	+18,893	Down	-$15,852	04-05 06:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 12:55 UTC	158	$16.9K	18,153	+18,153	Down	+$755	04-02 13:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 10:00 UTC	166	$16.8K	18,289	+18,289	Down	+$224	04-03 10:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:19:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x6eb064…
10-26 22:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xea5e1d…
10-26 22:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	65	48¢	$31	0xbbfb7a…
10-26 22:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x42a7b7…
10-26 22:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0x95ee28…
10-26 22:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x8b891d…
10-26 22:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	143	38¢	$54	0xd419f7…
10-26 22:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x8eb236…
10-26 22:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0x632c28…
10-26 22:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	126	39¢	$49	0xe58e79…
10-26 22:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	88	42¢	$37	0x2e8753…
10-26 22:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf207ed…
10-26 22:00:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x0265fa…
10-26 22:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x608731…
10-26 22:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9eb852…
10-26 22:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7b3245…
10-26 22:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3fdf89…
10-26 22:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xebd989…
10-26 21:59:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xcab599…
10-26 21:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	126	60¢	$76	0x440b6b…
10-26 21:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x07ebed…
10-26 21:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	108	51¢	$55	0x8f14ed…
10-26 21:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x3576d9…
10-26 21:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x19b0f9…
10-26 21:49:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0x093572…
10-26 21:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	113	51¢	$58	0xcddfee…
10-26 21:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$13	0xecd98b…
10-26 21:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	44¢	$8	0x132ede…
10-26 21:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0xb208b0…
10-26 21:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x14d2d5…
10-26 21:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x134912…
10-26 21:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x3d66c0…
10-26 21:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	49	33¢	$16	0x7906e3…
10-26 21:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	184	31¢	$57	0xb86b07…
10-26 21:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	125	33¢	$41	0xcccccc…
10-26 21:34:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x724b27…
10-26 21:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	125	35¢	$44	0x08eacf…
10-26 21:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	72	51¢	$37	0x215acd…
10-26 21:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	120	51¢	$61	0x968984…
10-26 21:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	120	51¢	$61	0xa676c5…
10-26 21:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	120	51¢	$61	0xe999bb…
10-26 21:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	97	49¢	$47	0xe9874a…
10-26 21:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x6e4f05…
10-26 21:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0x615bc4…
10-26 21:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xe2bac3…
10-26 21:19:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0xbb59d6…
10-26 21:19:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x644a45…
10-26 21:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	120	48¢	$58	0x91f575…
10-26 21:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0xa120f2…
10-26 21:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0xc8c21c…
10-26 21:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	96	63¢	$60	0x87e139…
10-26 21:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0xfeac54…
10-26 21:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	124	40¢	$50	0x273176…
10-26 21:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	46	60¢	$27	0x9e8d98…
10-26 21:14:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x122c2a…
10-26 21:14:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xc74c4a…
10-26 21:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	120	51¢	$61	0x528468…
10-26 21:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	52¢	$24	0x30e6b1…
10-26 21:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	91	48¢	$43	0x0b09e2…
10-26 21:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x783dd3…
10-26 21:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	178	32¢	$57	0x698ab4…
10-26 21:04:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9d9787…
10-26 21:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x4867eb…
10-26 20:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	88	49¢	$43	0xfa769f…
10-26 20:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	85	51¢	$43	0xf76f81…
10-26 20:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	87	50¢	$44	0x09984b…
10-26 20:59:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2d25ae…
10-26 20:59:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0x460288…
10-26 20:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x5ec241…
10-26 20:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x481838…
10-26 20:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xe9b66c…
10-26 20:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb0ef6c…
10-26 20:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	120	53¢	$64	0xd0f646…
10-26 20:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	68	49¢	$33	0x07d231…
10-26 20:44:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x809e9a…
10-26 20:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	161	52¢	$84	0x081401…
10-26 20:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	50¢	$14	0x77cc60…
10-26 20:44:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd2b5e0…
10-26 20:44:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x7456d5…
10-26 20:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	120	46¢	$55	0x171990…
10-26 20:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	120	46¢	$55	0xca1809…
10-26 20:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0xd1aaa0…
10-26 20:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x5cc6e3…
10-26 20:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x2e1e4c…
10-26 20:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0xa276d2…
10-26 20:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x410f9c…
10-26 20:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xfd22df…
10-26 20:30:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xfd5987…
10-26 20:30:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x902d1b…
10-26 20:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x738059…
10-26 20:29:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x4e6821…
10-26 20:29:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x2e730d…
10-26 20:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	121	54¢	$65	0x0ae483…
10-26 20:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	168	37¢	$62	0x9cff6c…
10-26 20:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	68	64¢	$44	0x522144…
10-26 20:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xaeddc6…
10-26 20:14:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x842943…
10-26 20:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x6ed991…
10-26 20:14:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4e0f79…
10-26 20:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x06fb61…