Popular-Insurrection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.50M

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

187,252

Trades

9,029,661

lifetime

Volume

$157.1M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$143

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 10-27 10:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 217 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% +$1,505,334

Other

0% 54% +$7,848

Sports

0% 53% -$12,804

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 68317 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down		+165	$92	48¢	$78	-$14	10-27 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up		+103	$40	52¢	$54	+$15	10-27 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	—	+10	$5	98¢	$10	+$5	10-27 10:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on august 22 2026	1,069	$68.3K	123,096	+123,096	Down	-$3,423	08-22 13:48
mlb cle min 2026 07 08	401	$40.5K	93,096	+93,096	Minnesota Twins	+$7,751	07-09 02:58
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?	32	$39.3K	65,612	+65,612	No	+$1,338	06-28 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23?	628	$35.6K	61,036	+61,036	Up	-$2,345	08-23 15:21
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	106	$26.3K	53,659	+53,659	Spain	-$2,630	07-02 19:36
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	88	$23.6K	43,706	+43,706	Yes	+$3,146	07-02 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9PM ET	719	$23.0K	45,960	+45,960	Up	+$2,013	08-25 01:47
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?	55	$22.5K	84,495	+84,495	No	-$11,280	06-28 20:51
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	81	$19.7K	45,911	+45,911	Yes	+$22,313	06-28 20:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 05:05 UTC	143	$19.0K	19,538	+19,538	Down	+$375	06-17 05:09
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	13	$18.7K	30,000	+30,000	Yes	-$18,686	07-07 01:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 07:30 UTC	216	$18.6K	21,357	+21,357	Up	-$48	04-03 07:34
bitcoin up or down august 19 2026 3pm et	575	$18.3K	38,310	+38,310	Up	+$42	08-19 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 06:20 UTC	110	$17.8K	20,592	+20,592	Up	+$386	04-05 06:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 17:15 UTC	161	$17.8K	19,444	+19,444	Down	+$250	04-03 17:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 06:50 UTC	142	$17.7K	19,479	+19,479	Up	-$10	04-04 06:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 22:45 UTC	110	$17.6K	19,657	+19,657	Down	+$412	04-03 22:49
bitcoin up or down august 19 2026 9am et	300	$17.6K	34,170	+34,170	Up	+$1,042	08-19 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 06:35 UTC	155	$17.5K	19,188	+19,188	Up	+$431	04-03 06:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 15:40 UTC	126	$17.4K	19,413	+19,413	Down	+$448	04-03 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 12:00 UTC	236	$17.4K	19,646	+19,646	Down	+$259	04-01 12:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 14:50 UTC	107	$17.3K	19,149	+19,149	Up	+$513	04-03 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 17:20 UTC	148	$17.2K	18,886	+18,886	Up	+$248	04-03 17:23
bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 7am et	341	$17.2K	35,778	+35,778	Down	+$1,409	08-20 11:52
bitcoin up or down august 19 2026 7pm et	353	$17.1K	31,677	+31,677	Up	-$1,777	08-19 23:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 10:25 UTC	103	$17.1K	18,786	+18,786	Down	+$624	04-01 10:29
bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 9am et	466	$17.0K	37,462	+37,462	Down	+$54	08-20 13:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 06:35 UTC	117	$17.0K	18,893	+18,893	Down	-$15,852	04-05 06:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 12:55 UTC	158	$16.9K	18,153	+18,153	Down	+$755	04-02 13:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 10:00 UTC	166	$16.8K	18,289	+18,289	Down	+$224	04-03 10:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x90da85…
10-27 10:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x4d054b…
10-27 10:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xaf76d0…
10-27 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0xab81d1…
10-27 10:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	58	48¢	$28	0xfb3923…
10-27 10:19:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8f06c1…
10-27 10:19:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbaf354…
10-27 10:19:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xb956de…
10-27 10:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0x995314…
10-27 10:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	38	33¢	$13	0xf44780…
10-27 10:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0xa81ee6…
10-27 10:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	37	33¢	$12	0x1b1370…
10-27 10:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	48	54¢	$26	0xb4b4e9…
10-27 10:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x709680…
10-27 10:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xba30f1…
10-27 10:14:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x7d4f9f…
10-27 10:14:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x89f7a9…
10-27 10:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xbb245a…
10-27 10:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	81	48¢	$39	0xc3f093…
10-27 10:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0x8367c3…
10-27 10:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x7fa0de…
10-27 10:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	49¢	$16	0x793cab…
10-27 10:14:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x0226fe…
10-27 10:09:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x58f44c…
10-27 10:09:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x1faf13…
10-27 10:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	120	53¢	$64	0x6776a1…
10-27 10:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	121	55¢	$67	0x3c3d73…
10-27 10:09:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc19617…
10-27 10:09:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0x2c52cc…
10-27 10:09:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb32a35…
10-27 10:09:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x63ade7…
10-27 10:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0x603acb…
10-27 10:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	103	49¢	$51	0x072cac…
10-27 10:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	120	48¢	$58	0x2d8250…
10-27 10:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	78	48¢	$37	0xd6fe67…
10-27 10:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	120	47¢	$56	0xcf949d…
10-27 10:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x3ac7ec…
10-27 10:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbc7985…
10-27 10:04:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x6662d9…
10-27 10:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xd03534…
10-27 10:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x3ba53b…
10-27 10:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x6a5734…
10-27 09:59:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x947a74…
10-27 09:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	32	52¢	$17	0x4d4812…
10-27 09:59:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x9ae029…
10-27 09:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc521e3…
10-27 09:54:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x88b38b…
10-27 09:49:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xc85dc5…
10-27 09:49:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xf32f97…
10-27 09:49:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$5	0xd495fa…
10-27 09:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x4a21bf…
10-27 09:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	110	48¢	$53	0x0d462f…
10-27 09:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	120	48¢	$58	0x02d531…
10-27 09:46:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xe05262…
10-27 09:46:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x9582cd…
10-27 09:46:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4b0ae4…
10-27 09:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	96	55¢	$52	0xc438ea…
10-27 09:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xcd994c…
10-27 09:44:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3a8411…
10-27 09:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	120	51¢	$61	0x15db46…
10-27 09:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x5fe935…
10-27 09:39:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xae333e…
10-27 09:39:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x8cb9d5…
10-27 09:39:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xb8665c…
10-27 09:39:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x29c729…
10-27 09:39:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x94c58d…
10-27 09:39:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xa5880a…
10-27 09:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	60	46¢	$28	0x7e87a1…
10-27 09:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb599ca…
10-27 09:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0x425362…
10-27 09:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0xd11b33…
10-27 09:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x0166df…
10-27 09:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	44¢	$12	0x30c667…
10-27 09:29:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x286423…
10-27 09:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xca0d86…
10-27 09:24:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xc78449…
10-27 09:24:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0x85f7dd…
10-27 09:24:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x8170d5…
10-27 09:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x0a10f9…
10-27 09:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0xdbe668…
10-27 09:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xb65565…
10-27 09:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x580861…
10-27 09:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x53c11f…
10-27 09:14:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x3ddd13…
10-27 09:14:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x8e167a…
10-27 09:14:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x3eadbd…
10-27 09:14:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe4af52…
10-27 09:14:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x9f1870…
10-27 09:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	35	47¢	$16	0x235079…
10-27 09:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8051cc…
10-27 09:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x2f02e0…
10-27 09:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x12bbef…
10-27 09:09:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xee2563…
10-27 09:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	120	47¢	$56	0x9d24e0…
10-27 09:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xec6868…
10-27 09:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xbcefce…
10-27 08:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x0dc677…
10-27 08:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x8d5b97…
10-27 08:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x51ce57…
10-27 08:54:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xac7177…