Realized P&L
-$4.50K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.35K
Hit rate
81.7%
Resolved
681
Trades
41,205
lifetime
Volume
$970.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$7.10K
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-19
last 07-05 18:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Crypto
89% 76% $-4,709
Politics
5% 100% +$8
Other
4% 50% +$166
Sports
2% 72% +$36
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 1414 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +6,491 $5,157 100¢ $6.5K +$1,325 06-29 08:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +511 $362 84¢ $427 +$64 06-10 23:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +232 $167 72¢ $168 +$2 06-10 22:49
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +240 $21 $13 $-7 06-28 01:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -45 $10 16¢ $-7 $-18 06-10 23:23
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +66 $7 $6 $-1 06-28 08:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +148 $20 $0 $-19 06-11 00:19