Vibrant-Motorcycle 0x45fb42…0bf1f6
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$56.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$152
Hit rate
81.3%
Resolved
11,930
Trades
138,189
lifetime
Volume
$3.18M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$309
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-19
last 10-27 02:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 162 days
Categories
Crypto
95% 80% -$39,503
Other
2% 67% +$2,128
Politics
2% 56% -$18,054
Sports
0% 73% -$614
Tech
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 3813 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +88 $71 82¢ $72 +$1 05-27 23:10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +62 $50 91¢ $56 +$6 10-17 07:25
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +55 $37 66¢ $37 +$0 10-25 00:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +232 $167 12¢ $27 -$140 06-10 22:49
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +25 $21 94¢ $23 +$2 05-10 11:48
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +24 $20 89¢ $22 +$2 10-21 18:49
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +32 $19 46¢ $15 -$4 06-07 23:23
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +15 $12 84¢ $13 +$0 10-26 12:39
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +240 $21 5¢ $12 -$9 06-28 01:15
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +178 $17 5¢ $9 -$8 06-28 08:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +10 $8 94¢ $9 +$1 05-13 19:38
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 96¢ $6 +$1 05-11 23:44
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 05-02 23:20
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 05-09 00:11
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 05-03 15:36
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +110 $7 2¢ $2 -$5 05-27 15:44