Fitting-Entree — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$50.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved

16,746

Trades

282,018

lifetime

Volume

$4.83M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$34

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-28 01:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 176 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% +$50,974

Other

0% 12% -$259

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 15386 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	—	+33	$19	99¢	$33	+$14	10-28 01:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	—	+142	$30	1¢	$1	-$29	10-28 01:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 07:00 UTC	378	$7.2K	17,871	0	+17,871	Down	+$635	02-01 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	299	$6.8K	10,616	0	+10,616	Up	-$1,590	10-10 11:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 06:15 UTC	334	$6.6K	18,259	0	+18,259	Up	+$339	02-01 06:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 06:45 UTC	327	$6.6K	16,621	0	+16,621	Down	+$1,632	02-01 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	538	$6.4K	12,531	0	+12,531	Down	-$272	09-29 01:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 09:45 UTC	1,773	$6.3K	12,597	0	+12,597	Down	-$108	02-03 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	128	$5.8K	9,898	0	+9,898	Down	-$1,571	10-10 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	184	$5.7K	9,213	0	+9,213	Down	-$945	10-10 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	211	$5.6K	9,671	0	+9,671	Up	-$708	10-10 15:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 04:45 UTC	138	$5.6K	11,456	0	+11,456	Down	+$326	01-27 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	179	$5.4K	9,196	0	+9,196	Up	-$606	10-11 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	318	$5.1K	9,490	0	+9,490	Down	-$257	10-10 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	132	$4.9K	9,236	0	+9,236	Down	-$230	10-10 19:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 10:15 UTC	1,319	$4.9K	9,416	4,932	+4,484	Down	+$83	02-03 10:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 00:40 UTC	295	$4.8K	9,471	0	+9,471	Down	-$586	09-29 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	37	$4.7K	7,977	0	+7,977	Down	-$45	10-09 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	156	$4.5K	7,261	0	+7,261	Down	-$839	10-10 22:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 01:25 UTC	424	$4.4K	8,976	0	+8,976	Down	+$17	09-29 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	274	$4.4K	7,887	0	+7,887	Down	-$204	09-29 01:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:55 UTC	309	$4.3K	7,891	0	+7,891	Down	-$197	09-28 23:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 00:00 UTC	217	$4.2K	7,920	0	+7,920	Up	-$111	09-29 00:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 04:15 UTC	224	$4.1K	8,529	0	+8,529	Up	-$161	01-27 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	138	$4.1K	5,635	0	+5,635	Down	-$797	10-09 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	141	$4.0K	7,089	0	+7,089	Up	-$270	10-10 17:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 00:35 UTC	364	$3.9K	8,006	0	+8,006	Down	-$45	09-29 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	74	$3.7K	6,279	0	+6,279	Up	-$366	10-10 08:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 00:15 UTC	180	$3.6K	9,790	0	+9,790	Down	+$1,705	02-07 00:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:35 UTC	305	$3.6K	6,325	0	+6,325	Down	-$673	09-27 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	38	$3.6K	5,261	0	+5,261	Up	-$872	10-10 01:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 19:30 UTC	342	$3.5K	5,515	0	+5,515	Down	-$126	09-27 19:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	55	7¢	$4	0xd80dbb…
10-28 01:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x1533a3…
10-28 01:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x715b53…
10-28 01:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	57¢	$19	0x22a731…
10-28 01:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xe55e6a…
10-28 01:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb54923…
10-28 01:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x68cc11…
10-28 01:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2f725d…
10-28 01:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	87	3¢	$3	0x6dde87…
10-28 01:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x628d50…
10-28 01:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0x3d3329…
10-28 01:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xd05d9a…
10-28 01:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0xb01012…
10-28 01:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0x732d60…
10-28 01:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x1dc32e…
10-28 01:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x18da68…
10-28 01:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x60ef0d…
10-28 01:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x48d41a…
10-28 01:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x031b49…
10-28 01:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x0c21f6…
10-28 01:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x096172…
10-28 01:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xe8bff1…
10-28 01:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xaf279a…
10-28 01:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2d1535…
10-28 01:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xc8d1d2…
10-28 01:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x21b70b…
10-28 01:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x8adda1…
10-28 01:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x33b5de…
10-28 01:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x2df753…
10-28 01:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	32	70¢	$22	0xb60c94…
10-28 01:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0x8dbe65…
10-28 01:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x2f25a4…
10-28 01:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x1609cf…
10-28 01:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xf7e30f…
10-28 01:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x06a7f3…
10-28 01:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0x077e0a…
10-28 01:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xf66542…
10-28 01:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xec5e9b…
10-28 01:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xa92cdb…
10-28 01:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa922d4…
10-28 01:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0x024a14…
10-28 01:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x5f7a0b…
10-28 01:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x455691…
10-28 01:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0xb43369…
10-28 01:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x9588a5…
10-28 01:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x255b9e…
10-28 01:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x576a5f…
10-28 01:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0x2d5a39…
10-28 01:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xe1f5ac…
10-28 01:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x18f544…
10-28 01:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xef4b09…
10-28 01:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x7ce91c…
10-28 01:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x6b918f…
10-28 01:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xf57d47…
10-28 01:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x4d03f8…
10-28 01:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0xe49e25…
10-28 01:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x076a8e…
10-28 01:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xf974f5…
10-28 01:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xb4bf6d…
10-28 01:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0xfbf337…
10-28 01:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	44¢	$14	0x92d059…
10-28 01:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	44¢	$8	0x0a2308…
10-28 01:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xcae9db…
10-28 01:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x50f358…
10-28 01:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x3b8bf0…
10-28 01:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0xbfbf65…
10-28 01:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xbc5b59…
10-28 01:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x40499b…
10-28 01:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	43	4¢	$2	0xde254a…
10-28 01:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x48a5fb…
10-28 01:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x395969…
10-28 01:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x99fd6d…
10-28 01:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	46	3¢	$1	0x900449…
10-28 01:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x305f3c…
10-28 01:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	191	2¢	$4	0x2c9c84…
10-28 01:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xe26278…
10-28 01:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0xc4a144…
10-28 01:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xa131d8…
10-28 01:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa12c88…
10-28 01:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x634368…
10-28 01:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x72e704…
10-28 01:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	104	18¢	$19	0x76502a…
10-28 01:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xee12f0…
10-28 01:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x9a03bc…
10-28 01:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	49	32¢	$16	0x4a1ed5…
10-28 01:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x23cdbb…
10-28 01:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0x1161cd…
10-28 01:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x0fd852…
10-28 01:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x059e8a…
10-28 01:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x922f0b…
10-28 01:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x3473e1…
10-28 00:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x9f2c9f…
10-28 00:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xeb858d…
10-28 00:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xe55843…
10-28 00:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xe380a6…
10-28 00:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc61a4b…
10-28 00:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xb6f924…
10-28 00:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	75	11¢	$8	0x8c8c4e…
10-28 00:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x8b7756…
10-28 00:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x831554…