Realized P&L
-$291.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$7.51K
Hit rate
55.3%
Resolved
19,865
Trades
151,057
lifetime
Volume
$15.2M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$101
Open exposure
$263.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-17
last 11-01 03:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 138 days
Categories
Other
61% 47% -$166,873
Sports
29% 48% -$145,509
Politics
10% 46% +$16,851
Pop-Culture
0% 51% +$3,583
Crypto
0% 42% +$403
Tech
0% 0% -$30
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2683 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +27,417 $23,302 75¢ $20.6K -$2,726 10-29 15:51
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +27,827 $14,522 57¢ $15.8K +$1,325 10-30 17:24
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +34,102 $13,181 43¢ $14.7K +$1,499 10-30 04:22
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +17,692 $12,735 74¢ $13.2K +$445 10-31 22:04
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +21,034 $14,552 56¢ $11.9K -$2,668 10-28 20:37
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +13,127 $11,451 88¢ $11.6K +$167 10-27 18:56
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +19,859 $13,839 56¢ $11.2K -$2,618 10-28 19:30
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +15,677 $12,022 70¢ $11.1K -$970 10-26 01:21
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +19,137 $11,246 56¢ $10.8K -$434 10-23 01:12
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +24,186 $9,121 44¢ $10.5K +$1,400 10-29 22:46
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +12,544 $9,257 82¢ $10.2K +$967 10-29 17:52
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +17,389 $11,011 58¢ $10.2K -$838 10-31 10:09
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +15,586 $10,230 64¢ $10.1K -$177 10-28 13:39
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +12,323 $8,302 68¢ $8.3K +$16 10-31 13:54
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +10,348 $7,283 80¢ $8.3K +$995 10-29 10:34
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +22,001 $7,853 32¢ $7.2K -$703 10-27 15:53
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +10,361 $6,758 67¢ $6.9K +$184 10-31 10:37
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? No +10,119 $7,589 68¢ $6.9K -$658 10-29 10:02
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +9,220 $6,271 67¢ $6.2K -$52 10-27 00:50
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +7,170 $6,100 86¢ $6.1K +$31 10-30 17:34
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +22,611 $3,594 25¢ $5.6K +$2,047 10-31 03:18
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +25,867 $9,865 22¢ $5.6K -$4,303 10-28 15:23
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +8,608 $5,827 64¢ $5.6K -$274 10-28 13:37
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +7,486 $5,999 71¢ $5.3K -$684 10-24 03:45
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +9,598 $5,680 55¢ $5.3K -$401 10-31 06:51
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +9,487 $5,847 56¢ $5.3K -$582 10-27 19:35
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +8,766 $5,335 58¢ $5.1K -$207 10-31 13:10
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +5,499 $4,919 93¢ $5.1K +$195 10-28 16:41
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +6,500 $4,107 70¢ $4.6K +$475 10-30 12:33
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +5,145 $3,519 89¢ $4.6K +$1,039 10-20 13:09