Realized P&L
-$4.75K
Unrealized P&L
+$70
Hit rate
45.7%
Resolved
607
Trades
78,719
lifetime
Volume
$1.30M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$3.09K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 06:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Other
70% 35% $-4,279
Politics
21% 34% $-259
Sports
4% 60% $-31
Tech
2% 0% $-102
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
1% 0% $-74
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1502 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? No +231 $197 99¢ $229 +$32 06-19 22:08
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +203 $162 100¢ $202 +$40 05-29 23:31
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? No +202 $186 94¢ $189 +$3 06-28 17:01
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +149 $132 98¢ $146 +$14 06-24 23:29
Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +189 $154 76¢ $145 $-9 06-25 15:32
Will Aurora make a roster change before July? No +165 $115 82¢ $136 +$20 06-20 13:32
Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool? No +103 $96 100¢ $103 +$7 06-22 18:51
Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30? No +101 $98 100¢ $101 +$3 06-02 18:41
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No -108 $-95 93¢ $-100 $-5 06-07 21:28
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? No +117 $96 84¢ $99 +$3 06-17 01:18
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? No +118 $92 79¢ $93 +$1 06-17 00:54
Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No -94 $-66 99¢ $-93 $-26 06-27 06:49
Will Gen.G make a roster change before July? No +92 $88 100¢ $92 +$4 06-14 16:24
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +106 $96 87¢ $92 $-4 06-05 23:12
Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +93 $82 98¢ $91 +$10 06-19 21:54
Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government? No +94 $91 97¢ $91 +$1 06-24 19:00
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +293 $90 31¢ $91 +$1 06-21 04:50
Will Travis Scott perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +94 $91 96¢ $90 $-0 05-29 16:01
Will David Guetta perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +90 $83 98¢ $88 +$5 06-19 05:52
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic -101 $-68 86¢ $-86 $-19 06-16 14:31
Will Jennifer Lopez perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +92 $85 94¢ $86 +$2 06-16 06:11
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +95 $80 88¢ $83 +$3 06-23 17:56
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No -98 $-59 80¢ $-78 $-19 06-03 20:12
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +86 $71 90¢ $77 +$6 06-25 06:25
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +75 $72 97¢ $73 +$2 06-17 03:21
Will SZA perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +72 $68 97¢ $70 +$2 05-29 18:28
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026? No +70 $67 99¢ $69 +$2 06-23 22:38
Will Nicki Minaj perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +70 $66 98¢ $68 +$2 05-29 18:37
Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +83 $65 79¢ $66 +$0 06-28 20:36
Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +115 $74 57¢ $66 $-8 06-15 06:00