(anonymous) 0xa3e22c…a1fdf8
whale bot cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$205.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$899
Hit rate
47.9%
Resolved
55,960
Trades
297,807
lifetime
Volume
$3.74M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$4.39K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 22:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 300 days
Categories
Other
77% 39% -$166,034
Politics
15% 38% -$25,456
Sports
3% 38% -$6,351
Tech
3% 35% -$4,608
Crypto
1% 36% -$1,343
Pop-Culture
1% 35% -$1,721
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1971 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +246 $190 95¢ $234 +$44 10-27 12:57
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +223 $85 98¢ $218 +$133 10-04 02:01
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? Yes +327 $257 64¢ $211 -$46 10-23 07:31
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +245 $141 80¢ $197 +$55 10-27 14:25
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No — +338 $197 55¢ $186 -$11 10-27 20:09
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +198 $146 93¢ $184 +$38 10-27 19:49
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +198 $116 92¢ $183 +$67 10-13 21:34
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +204 $165 89¢ $182 +$16 06-14 17:08
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +175 $122 94¢ $164 +$41 06-20 16:47
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +254 $117 63¢ $160 +$44 10-27 01:19
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +163 $89 98¢ $160 +$71 10-10 20:29
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +182 $101 88¢ $159 +$58 10-25 00:02
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +240 $82 65¢ $156 +$74 10-13 21:32
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +179 $75 82¢ $146 +$71 09-16 17:58
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +170 $118 82¢ $140 +$22 09-04 15:12
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +150 $135 87¢ $131 -$4 10-15 08:29
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +147 $93 88¢ $130 +$37 10-26 02:27
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes — +272 $113 45¢ $122 +$9 10-27 08:49
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +210 $148 56¢ $118 -$30 10-27 20:14
us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223 No +138 $119 84¢ $117 -$2 07-26 11:22
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -118 -$112 98¢ $-115 -$4 10-22 13:00
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +131 $89 87¢ $114 +$25 10-20 16:15
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +176 $144 62¢ $109 -$35 10-23 15:28
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +222 $119 49¢ $109 -$10 10-27 21:03
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +172 $46 64¢ $109 +$63 10-22 12:56
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +247 $108 44¢ $109 +$1 10-26 20:58
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +111 $68 98¢ $108 +$40 09-24 02:20
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +131 $87 82¢ $108 +$21 10-08 16:38
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +109 $46 97¢ $106 +$60 10-04 15:37
will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636 No +123 $55 86¢ $105 +$51 06-25 11:29