Realized P&L
-$4.75K
Unrealized P&L
-$67
Hit rate
45.7%
Resolved
607
Trades
69,682
lifetime
Volume
$1.14M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$1.92K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Other
71% 35% $-4,279
Politics
23% 34% $-259
Sports
2% 60% $-31
Tech
2% 0% $-102
Pop-Culture
1% 0% $-74
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1502 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +203 $162 74¢ $149 $-13 05-29 23:31
Will T1 make a roster change before July? No +115 $112 95¢ $109 $-2 05-31 15:03
Will Malaga CF achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season? No +180 $120 56¢ $101 $-19 06-07 18:16
Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30? No +101 $98 98¢ $99 +$1 06-02 18:41
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No -108 $-95 90¢ $-97 $-2 06-07 21:28
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +106 $96 90¢ $95 $-1 06-05 23:12
Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch? No +143 $87 65¢ $93 +$6 06-08 09:54
Will Travis Scott perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +94 $91 98¢ $92 +$2 05-29 16:01
Will SZA perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +72 $68 99¢ $71 +$3 05-29 18:28
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No -98 $-59 71¢ $-69 $-10 06-03 20:12
Will Nicki Minaj perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +70 $66 98¢ $69 +$2 05-29 18:37
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +131 $116 52¢ $68 $-48 05-31 16:51
Will Rauw Alejandro perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +71 $65 94¢ $67 +$2 05-29 18:43
Will Maluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +71 $68 94¢ $67 $-1 05-29 18:26
Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes +73 $64 88¢ $65 +$0 06-03 13:04
Will CD Castellon achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season? No +55 $42 100¢ $55 +$13 06-03 14:37
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? No +52 $47 91¢ $47 +$0 06-05 01:30
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027? Yes -50 $-43 88¢ $-44 $-2 06-02 03:09
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No -52 $-41 85¢ $-44 $-3 06-02 07:18
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30? No -47 $-42 90¢ $-42 $-0 05-31 10:12
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +69 $41 60¢ $42 +$0 06-01 01:40
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +45 $39 91¢ $41 +$1 05-30 03:12
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No -45 $-41 88¢ $-40 +$2 06-05 09:15
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +48 $38 82¢ $39 +$1 06-05 10:13
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +43 $34 88¢ $38 +$4 06-01 13:32
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes -93 $-46 40¢ $-37 +$9 05-29 23:52
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No -54 $-31 68¢ $-36 $-5 05-30 19:02
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? No +45 $35 81¢ $36 +$1 06-09 21:08
Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +70 $43 52¢ $36 $-6 06-09 19:58
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +40 $35 88¢ $35 +$0 06-04 21:22