(anonymous) 0xa3e22c…a1fdf8
whale bot cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$79.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$921
Hit rate
43.8%
Resolved (90d)
20,901
Trades (90d)
98,788
299,541 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.16M
$3.77M lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$4.68K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 11:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 303 days
Categories
Other
77% 39% -$166,436
Politics
15% 38% -$25,742
Sports
3% 38% -$6,504
Tech
3% 35% -$4,636
Crypto
1% 36% -$1,315
Pop-Culture
1% 35% -$1,726
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1971 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +269 $164 96¢ $259 +$95 10-28 16:02
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +246 $190 97¢ $239 +$49 10-27 12:57
will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 45 or higher 20260723191456650 Yes +327 $257 72¢ $236 -$22 10-23 07:31
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +224 $137 100¢ $223 +$86 10-28 08:12
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +223 $85 98¢ $219 +$134 10-04 02:01
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +192 $71 98¢ $188 +$118 10-29 01:22
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +198 $146 94¢ $187 +$41 10-27 19:49
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +198 $116 93¢ $184 +$68 10-13 21:34
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +204 $165 89¢ $182 +$16 06-14 17:08
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +348 $203 48¢ $167 -$36 10-29 17:05
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +175 $122 94¢ $164 +$41 06-20 16:47
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +163 $89 98¢ $159 +$71 10-10 20:29
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +304 $128 52¢ $158 +$31 10-29 07:08
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +240 $82 64¢ $153 +$71 10-13 21:32
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +194 $128 72¢ $139 +$11 10-30 08:32
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +147 $93 94¢ $138 +$44 10-26 02:27
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +231 $141 58¢ $134 -$7 10-22 08:21
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +170 $118 77¢ $131 +$13 09-04 15:12
will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190142923 No +308 $138 42¢ $129 -$9 10-29 14:41
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +203 $128 64¢ $129 +$1 10-29 22:58
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +150 $135 84¢ $126 -$9 10-15 08:29
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? No +210 $104 58¢ $122 +$18 10-29 06:43
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +159 $115 76¢ $120 +$5 10-30 00:25
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +120 $101 98¢ $118 +$17 10-30 01:16
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +242 $103 48¢ $116 +$14 10-30 05:31
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -118 -$112 98¢ $-116 -$5 10-22 13:00
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +176 $144 64¢ $113 -$31 10-23 15:28
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +131 $87 85¢ $111 +$25 10-08 16:38
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +136 $81 82¢ $111 +$30 10-28 08:19
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +111 $68 99¢ $110 +$41 09-24 02:20