(anonymous) 0xa3e22c…a1fdf8
whale bot cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$206.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$966
Hit rate
47.9%
Resolved
56,202
Trades
299,546
lifetime
Volume
$3.77M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$4.67K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 08:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 303 days
Categories
Other
77% 39% -$166,282
Politics
15% 38% -$25,742
Sports
3% 38% -$6,504
Tech
3% 35% -$4,636
Crypto
1% 36% -$1,315
Pop-Culture
1% 35% -$1,726
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1971 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +269 $164 96¢ $258 +$94 10-28 16:02
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +246 $190 97¢ $239 +$49 10-27 12:57
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? Yes +327 $257 72¢ $236 -$22 10-23 07:31
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +224 $137 100¢ $223 +$86 10-28 08:12
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +223 $85 98¢ $219 +$134 10-04 02:01
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +192 $71 98¢ $188 +$117 10-29 01:22
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +198 $116 93¢ $184 +$68 10-13 21:34
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +204 $165 90¢ $183 +$17 06-14 17:08
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +198 $146 92¢ $182 +$36 10-27 19:49
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +348 $203 48¢ $167 -$36 10-29 17:05
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +175 $122 94¢ $164 +$42 06-20 16:47
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +163 $89 98¢ $160 +$71 10-10 20:29
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +304 $128 52¢ $158 +$31 10-29 07:08
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +240 $82 66¢ $157 +$75 10-13 21:32
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +147 $93 94¢ $138 +$44 10-26 02:27
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +203 $128 66¢ $135 +$7 10-29 22:58
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +308 $138 44¢ $134 -$5 10-29 14:41
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +170 $118 78¢ $132 +$13 09-04 15:12
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +231 $141 56¢ $131 -$10 10-22 08:21
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +194 $128 66¢ $128 +$0 10-30 08:32
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +150 $135 84¢ $126 -$9 10-15 08:29
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? No +210 $104 60¢ $125 +$21 10-29 06:43
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +159 $115 76¢ $120 +$5 10-30 00:25
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +120 $101 98¢ $118 +$17 10-30 01:16
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -118 -$112 98¢ $-116 -$5 10-22 13:00
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +131 $87 87¢ $114 +$27 10-08 16:38
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +136 $81 82¢ $111 +$30 10-28 08:19
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +242 $103 45¢ $110 +$8 10-30 05:31
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +111 $68 98¢ $109 +$41 09-24 02:20
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +131 $89 82¢ $107 +$17 10-20 16:15