(anonymous) 0xa3e22c…a1fdf8 Create alert
whale bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (24h)
-$575
Unrealized P&L
+$1.27K
Hit rate
47.6%
Resolved (24h)
121
Trades (24h)
542
306,463 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$9.96K
$3.88M lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$6.09K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 10:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 314 days
Categories
Other
77% 39% -$173,270
Politics
16% 39% -$27,076
Sports
3% 38% -$6,600
Tech
3% 35% -$4,898
Crypto
1% 36% -$1,399
Pop-Culture
1% 35% -$2,098
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1962 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026? Yes +393 $236 97¢ $382 +$146 11-09 08:43
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? No +383 $165 98¢ $376 +$211 11-05 21:26
Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +342 $188 80¢ $272 +$83 11-10 04:59
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026? Yes +301 $238 87¢ $262 +$24 11-09 14:29
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +281 $175 90¢ $252 +$77 10-31 09:16
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +358 $201 66¢ $235 +$34 11-06 05:26
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +357 $188 63¢ $225 +$37 11-10 08:00
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +239 $185 93¢ $222 +$37 11-09 09:13
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +246 $133 87¢ $215 +$82 10-31 22:15
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? No +290 $211 70¢ $203 -$9 11-09 12:18
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +240 $158 84¢ $202 +$43 07-17 09:14
Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards? Yes +249 $134 80¢ $200 +$67 11-04 11:07
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? Yes +300 $165 62¢ $188 +$23 11-10 09:36
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +271 $185 69¢ $188 +$3 11-10 06:34
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +309 $216 60¢ $187 -$29 11-09 14:29
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +198 $116 94¢ $185 +$69 10-13 21:34
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +204 $165 90¢ $183 +$17 06-14 17:08
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +207 $100 84¢ $174 +$73 10-26 00:18
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30? Yes +238 $97 72¢ $171 +$74 10-31 03:13
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +175 $122 97¢ $170 +$48 06-20 16:47
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +253 $186 66¢ $168 -$17 11-08 11:25
Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026? Yes +174 $146 97¢ $168 +$22 10-23 18:13
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +176 $151 92¢ $163 +$11 05-14 11:10
Will the Republican Party hold between 175 and 179 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +206 $173 77¢ $159 -$14 11-10 00:59
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027? No +160 $104 100¢ $159 +$55 11-09 19:54
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government? No +210 $152 75¢ $158 +$5 11-10 06:32
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +222 $144 70¢ $157 +$13 11-08 11:25
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? No +176 $69 89¢ $156 +$87 10-08 03:45
Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026? No +218 $188 72¢ $156 -$32 11-09 13:38
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30? No +176 $126 88¢ $154 +$28 11-03 07:00