(anonymous) 0xa3e22c…a1fdf8 Create alert
whale bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (24h)
-$551
Unrealized P&L
+$1.32K
Hit rate
46.9%
Resolved (24h)
145
Trades (24h)
490
306,297 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$8.95K
$3.88M lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$5.97K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 03:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 314 days
Categories
Other
77% 39% -$173,232
Politics
16% 39% -$27,042
Sports
3% 38% -$6,602
Tech
3% 35% -$4,906
Crypto
1% 36% -$1,399
Pop-Culture
1% 35% -$2,098
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1962 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? No +383 $165 99¢ $381 +$215 11-05 21:26
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026? Yes +393 $236 78¢ $307 +$71 11-09 08:43
Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +342 $188 79¢ $270 +$82 11-10 04:59
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026? Yes +301 $238 90¢ $269 +$32 11-09 14:29
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +358 $201 72¢ $258 +$57 11-06 05:26
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +281 $175 90¢ $253 +$79 10-31 09:16
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +239 $185 94¢ $225 +$40 11-09 09:13
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +246 $133 87¢ $213 +$81 10-31 22:15
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? No +290 $211 70¢ $203 -$9 11-09 12:18
Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards? Yes +249 $134 80¢ $199 +$65 11-04 11:07
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +294 $148 67¢ $197 +$49 11-09 15:04
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? Yes +285 $154 68¢ $194 +$40 11-09 15:04
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +309 $216 60¢ $187 -$29 11-09 14:29
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +240 $158 78¢ $186 +$28 07-17 09:14
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +198 $116 94¢ $185 +$69 10-13 21:34
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +204 $165 90¢ $184 +$18 06-14 17:08
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +175 $122 97¢ $170 +$47 06-20 16:47
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +207 $100 82¢ $170 +$69 10-26 00:18
Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026? No +261 $172 64¢ $169 -$3 11-08 08:39
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +253 $186 66¢ $168 -$17 11-08 11:25
Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026? Yes +174 $146 97¢ $168 +$22 10-23 18:13
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30? Yes +238 $97 70¢ $166 +$68 10-31 03:13
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +176 $151 92¢ $163 +$11 05-14 11:10
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027? No +160 $104 100¢ $159 +$55 11-09 19:54
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +222 $144 72¢ $159 +$15 11-08 11:25
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? No +176 $69 89¢ $156 +$87 10-08 03:45
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30? No +176 $126 88¢ $154 +$28 11-03 07:00
Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +219 $134 70¢ $154 +$20 10-31 22:31
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +221 $151 69¢ $153 +$2 11-08 03:05
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? No +152 $124 100¢ $151 +$27 10-31 18:28