(anonymous) 0xa3e22c…a1fdf8
whale bot cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$20.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$929
Hit rate
40.2%
Resolved (30d)
3,922
Trades (30d)
18,112
298,566 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$291.1K
$3.75M lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$4.39K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 01:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 302 days
Categories
Other
77% 39% -$166,306
Politics
15% 38% -$25,637
Sports
3% 39% -$6,337
Tech
3% 35% -$4,608
Crypto
1% 36% -$1,327
Pop-Culture
1% 35% -$1,721
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1971 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +269 $164 90¢ $243 +$79 10-28 16:02
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +246 $190 94¢ $231 +$42 10-27 12:57
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +224 $137 98¢ $220 +$83 10-28 08:12
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +223 $85 98¢ $219 +$134 10-04 02:01
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? Yes +327 $257 64¢ $211 -$47 10-23 07:31
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +198 $116 93¢ $184 +$68 10-13 21:34
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +204 $165 89¢ $182 +$16 06-14 17:08
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +198 $146 89¢ $176 +$30 10-27 19:49
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +240 $82 69¢ $166 +$84 10-13 21:32
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +175 $122 94¢ $165 +$43 06-20 16:47
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +163 $89 98¢ $160 +$71 10-10 20:29
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +294 $177 53¢ $156 -$21 10-28 13:53
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +254 $117 58¢ $149 +$32 10-27 01:19
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +170 $118 78¢ $133 +$15 09-04 15:12
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +222 $119 58¢ $128 +$9 10-27 21:03
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +147 $93 87¢ $128 +$35 10-26 02:27
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +272 $113 47¢ $128 +$14 10-27 08:49
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +150 $135 83¢ $125 -$10 10-15 08:29
us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223 No +138 $119 84¢ $117 -$2 07-26 11:22
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -118 -$112 98¢ $-116 -$4 10-22 13:00
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +207 $100 53¢ $110 +$9 10-26 00:18
will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636 No +123 $55 88¢ $109 +$54 06-25 11:29
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +111 $68 98¢ $108 +$40 09-24 02:20
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +131 $87 82¢ $108 +$21 10-08 16:38
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +109 $46 98¢ $106 +$60 10-04 15:37
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +127 $83 84¢ $106 +$23 10-19 15:46
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +131 $89 80¢ $105 +$16 10-20 16:15
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +136 $81 76¢ $103 +$22 10-28 08:19
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +176 $144 58¢ $102 -$42 10-23 15:28
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +172 $46 57¢ $99 +$52 10-22 12:56