Realized P&L
-$8.94K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.69K
Hit rate
50.1%
Resolved
303
Trades
2,178
lifetime
Volume
$101.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$737
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-02
last 10-29 16:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 59 days
Categories
Other
80% 41% -$9,140
Politics
15% 56% +$593
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
2% 100% +$9
Sports
2% 40% -$399
Crypto
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? No +601 $551 90¢ $538 -$13 09-10 13:35
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +299 $85 25¢ $75 -$10 08-24 11:40
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? Yes +102 $60 52¢ $54 -$7 09-28 14:01
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +73 $49 42¢ $31 -$18 08-21 22:02
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +20 $2 89¢ $18 +$15 08-19 05:40
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +7 $6 79¢ $6 -$1 08-27 12:19
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +5 $3 86¢ $4 +$1 07-21 22:53
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +20 $34 11¢ $2 -$31 09-01 03:02
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +31 $7 6¢ $2 -$5 07-27 12:34
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +2 -$415 78¢ $1 +$416 10-24 08:11
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +1 $70 90¢ $1 -$69 09-23 23:31
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +1 -$82 88¢ $1 +$83 10-05 20:56
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? No +1 -$4 88¢ $1 +$4 10-05 20:57
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +1 -$361 90¢ $1 +$362 10-24 08:11
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +1 -$17 94¢ $1 +$17 07-27 09:13
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? No +1 -$150 58¢ $0 +$150 09-29 12:50
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? Yes +1 $4 28¢ $0 -$3 09-24 12:00
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +0 -$6 88¢ $0 +$7 09-28 13:59
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +0 $17 57¢ $0 -$17 09-22 13:57
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +2 -$474 15¢ $0 +$474 09-28 13:42
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +0 -$278 86¢ $0 +$278 10-27 00:16
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? No +0 -$6 86¢ $0 +$6 09-28 15:40
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 -$59 69¢ $0 +$59 07-23 20:03
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? No +1 $21 16¢ $0 -$21 09-28 13:41
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 -$2 31¢ $0 +$3 09-10 06:19
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1 -$1 26¢ $0 +$1 09-13 18:58
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No +0 -$4 32¢ $0 +$4 09-10 02:52
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +0 -$11 42¢ $0 +$11 09-13 11:50
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +1 $7 15¢ $0 -$7 09-29 13:01
Blue wave in 2026? No +1 $3 15¢ $0 -$3 09-28 13:59