(anonymous) 0x30802d…92337b
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$372
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
333
lifetime
Volume
$13.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$5.85K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-02
last 07-23 22:11
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
77% — —
Politics
17% — —
Sports
4% — —
Tech
2% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +3,478 $2,693 78¢ $2.7K +$2 07-13 08:54
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? No +1,631 $1,409 95¢ $1.5K +$138 07-23 14:53
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? No +536 $247 73¢ $391 +$144 07-06 22:18
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? Yes +683 $103 25¢ $171 +$68 07-20 07:30
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +172 $133 69¢ $119 $-14 07-24 02:17
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +116 $91 96¢ $110 +$19 07-05 13:19
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? Yes +133 $84 69¢ $92 +$8 07-23 03:43
Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +82 $73 96¢ $80 +$7 07-02 17:46
Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027? No +60 $53 90¢ $54 +$1 07-22 00:30
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +735 $59 7¢ $51 $-7 07-22 22:06
Will Adam Crum advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +54 $51 94¢ $51 +$0 07-13 20:29
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Yes +546 $56 9¢ $49 $-7 07-14 13:58
Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation? No +55 $40 88¢ $48 +$9 07-21 17:59
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +58 $45 80¢ $46 +$2 07-23 18:38
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026? No +56 $47 80¢ $45 $-2 07-24 06:07
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +54 $39 76¢ $41 +$2 07-22 07:34
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.? No +40 $35 92¢ $37 +$2 07-22 17:24
Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year? No +36 $33 94¢ $34 +$1 07-02 18:54
Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation? No +42 $34 80¢ $34 $-0 07-16 09:00
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? Yes +135 $32 22¢ $29 $-3 07-24 04:33
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? No +37 $30 78¢ $29 $-1 07-24 05:27
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +30 $23 80¢ $24 +$1 07-23 14:01
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? No +30 $21 75¢ $22 +$1 07-07 04:16
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027? Yes +96 $13 20¢ $19 +$5 07-07 17:35
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.? No +17 $12 75¢ $13 +$1 07-23 06:58
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? Yes +133 $8 5¢ $7 $-1 07-03 21:35
Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year? No +8 $6 59¢ $5 $-2 07-09 12:15
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +5 $3 90¢ $4 +$1 07-21 22:53
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? Yes +14 $3 16¢ $2 $-0 07-20 16:44
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +15 $2 10¢ $2 $-1 07-08 14:48